TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13002412
Played Aug 24Finished
Jakub Nosiadek
Home
4.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
611115711117911
Artur Sobel
Away
1.19
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:52 and never touched — 84.1% is still 84.1%
Graded at full timeArtur Sobel to win
84.1%
84.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
89 points played in total.
Set by set
611115711117911
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:52What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.19 (77%)
Sobel
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Nosiadek 1237 vs Sobel 1593
Sobel
Correct
both rated, 356 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nosiadek 40% vs Sobel 80%
Sobel
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nosiadek 30% vs Sobel 70%
Sobel
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Nosiadek +1 · Sobel +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 84% — Strong (leans Sobel)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nosiadek form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (25%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNosiadek 4.00 / Sobel 1.19
Signal prob.16% / 84%
Edge (Sobel)+7.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13002412
Nosiadek4.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog31% won 11 of 35
Down 0–1, comes back26% 7 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 16
Sobel1.19
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 183 of 331
Up 2–0, closes it95% 87 of 92
Up 1–0, closes it76% 136 of 178
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricNosiadekSobelBasisWin rate · lifetime24 / 73 vs 637 / 118732.9%53.7%24 / 73 vs 637 / 1187Avg sets wonper match1.52.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.839.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
SobelNosiadek 4.00/Sobel 1.19
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
84.1%
Sobel · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Sobel won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Nosiadek10
LSep 7 · 09:00A. Sobel1.461111113J. Nosiadek2.503480WAug 24 · 19:40J. Nosiadek1.36511411113P. Strus2.9511511392WAug 24 · 18:30J. Nosiadek1.441151112113W. Gluszek2.50611131082WAug 24 · 17:20J. Nosiadek1.7411119113B. Wisniewski1.95751171WAug 24 · 16:15M. Trela1.574390J. Nosiadek2.201111113LAug 24 · 15:25J. Nosiadek1.8391090M. Kowalczyk1.871112113LAug 24 · 14:40J. Nosiadek4.9066111172L. Pietraszko1.12111157113WAug 24 · 11:50J. Nosiadek1.85118812113P. Blocho1.85411111092LAug 24 · 10:10J. Nosiadek1.8010380A. Lilien1.851211113LAug 24 · 09:00J. Nosiadek4.857111371M. Balcerzak1.1311815113
A. Sobel10
WSep 7 · 09:00A. Sobel1.461111113J. Nosiadek2.503480LSep 7 · 07:40J. Zochniak1.72119119133A. Sobel2.00711811112LSep 7 · 06:50M. Sklensky1.471112133A. Sobel2.45610110WSep 7 · 06:00A. Sobel2.60121111113K. Wisniewski1.42149591WSep 7 · 04:25A. Sobel2.2011116113D. Solilo1.57221111WSep 7 · 03:40M. Minda1.95711101182A. Sobel1.76119129113LSep 1 · 14:20A. Sobel1.9311128992K. Rudomina1.775101111113LSep 1 · 12:40P. Blocho2.001111113A. Sobel1.709830LSep 1 · 11:50G. Kesik2.10611135113A. Sobel1.65112111162LSep 1 · 11:00A. Sobel1.937811111B. Czerwinski1.7811118133
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