TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13001403
Played Aug 24Finished
Jakub Nosiadek
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012311811––––
Aleksander Lilien
Away
1.85
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:59 and never touched — 66.5% is still 66.5%
Graded at full timeAleksander Lilien to win
66.5%
66.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
55 points played in total.
Set by set
1012311811––––
H2H Jakub Nosiadek 0–2 Aleksander Lilien Jakub Nosiadek has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:59What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Nosiadek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Nosiadek 1220 vs Lilien 1530
Lilien
Correct
both rated, 310 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nosiadek 20% vs Lilien 80%
Lilien
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nosiadek 20% vs Lilien 60%
Lilien
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Nosiadek -2 · Lilien +4
Lilien
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Lilien) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lilien form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNosiadek 1.80 / Lilien 1.85
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Lilien)+7.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13001403
Nosiadek1.80
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite42% won 8 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it55% 6 of 11
Lilien1.85
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 84 of 236
Down 0–1, comes back18% 24 of 134
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 84
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeNosiadek0wins
AwayLilien2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLilien leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricNosiadekLilienN − LBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match31.541.5−10.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNosiadekLilienBasisWin rate · lifetime23 / 71 vs 842 / 156532.4%53.8%23 / 71 vs 842 / 1565Avg sets wonper match1.52.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.838.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LilienNosiadek 1.80/Lilien 1.85
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.3%
Lilien · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Lilien won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LJul 26 · 16:55J. Nosiadek—11211592A. Lilien—811911113
LMar 19 · 14:30J. Nosiadek—8890A. Lilien—1111113
J. Nosiadek10
LSep 7 · 09:00A. Sobel1.461111113J. Nosiadek2.503480WAug 24 · 19:40J. Nosiadek1.36511411113P. Strus2.9511511392WAug 24 · 18:30J. Nosiadek1.441151112113W. Gluszek2.50611131082WAug 24 · 17:20J. Nosiadek1.7411119113B. Wisniewski1.95751171WAug 24 · 16:15M. Trela1.574390J. Nosiadek2.201111113LAug 24 · 15:25J. Nosiadek1.8391090M. Kowalczyk1.871112113LAug 24 · 14:40J. Nosiadek4.9066111172L. Pietraszko1.12111157113LAug 24 · 13:05J. Nosiadek4.0061171192A. Sobel1.19115117113WAug 24 · 11:50J. Nosiadek1.85118812113P. Blocho1.85411111092LAug 24 · 09:00J. Nosiadek4.857111371M. Balcerzak1.1311815113
A. Lilien10
LSep 7 · 24:10A. Myszewski2.401211113A. Lilien1.5110490LSep 6 · 23:45A. Lilien1.66118991A. Linek2.1071111113LSep 6 · 22:55A. Lilien1.66511961B. Sulkowski2.0511711113WSep 6 · 21:05A. Lilien1.471111113M. Trela2.453880WSep 6 · 20:05A. Wos1.63115111082A. Lilien2.10911712113LSep 6 · 19:20A. Myszewski2.301111113A. Lilien1.528560LSep 6 · 17:20J. Michalczyk1.90111275113A. Lilien1.80710111182WSep 6 · 16:35B. Sulkowski2.258115101A. Lilien1.5511811123LSep 6 · 15:00M. Trela3.051111113A. Lilien1.319890LSep 6 · 24:10A. Lilien1.83713291K. Kufel1.83111111113
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