TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12480663
Played Aug 24Finished
Jakub Nosiadek
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9111012911––––
Marcin Kowalczyk
Away
1.87
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:16 and never touched — 68.8% is still 68.8%
Graded at full timeMarcin Kowalczyk to win
68.8%
68.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
62 points played in total.
Set by set
9111012911––––
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:16What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (51%)
Nosiadek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Nosiadek 1234 vs Kowalczyk 1279
Kowalczyk
Correct
both rated, 45 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nosiadek 20% vs Kowalczyk 80%
Kowalczyk
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nosiadek 20% vs Kowalczyk 60%
Kowalczyk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Nosiadek -1 · Kowalczyk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kowalczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kowalczyk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNosiadek 1.83 / Kowalczyk 1.87
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kowalczyk)+4.5pp
TT Elite Series · #12480663
Nosiadek1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite42% won 8 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it55% 6 of 11
Kowalczyk1.87
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog43% won 171 of 395
Down 0–1, comes back22% 44 of 199
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 90
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricNosiadekKowalczykBasisWin rate · lifetime24 / 74 vs 714 / 146932.4%48.6%24 / 74 vs 714 / 1469Avg sets wonper match1.52.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.936.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
KowalczykNosiadek 1.83/Kowalczyk 1.87
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kowalczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kowalczyk won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Nosiadek10
LSep 7 · 09:00A. Sobel1.461111113J. Nosiadek2.503480WAug 24 · 19:40J. Nosiadek1.36511411113P. Strus2.9511511392WAug 24 · 18:30J. Nosiadek1.441151112113W. Gluszek2.50611131082WAug 24 · 17:20J. Nosiadek1.7411119113B. Wisniewski1.95751171WAug 24 · 16:15M. Trela1.574390J. Nosiadek2.201111113LAug 24 · 14:40J. Nosiadek4.9066111172L. Pietraszko1.12111157113LAug 24 · 13:05J. Nosiadek4.0061171192A. Sobel1.19115117113WAug 24 · 11:50J. Nosiadek1.85118812113P. Blocho1.85411111092LAug 24 · 10:10J. Nosiadek1.8010380A. Lilien1.851211113LAug 24 · 09:00J. Nosiadek4.857111371M. Balcerzak1.1311815113
M. Kowalczyk10
WSep 3 · 19:40M. Kowalczyk1.54811116113K. Golaszewski2.3511981192WSep 3 · 18:30M. Kowalczyk1.86111159113K. Sulkowski1.8084111192WSep 3 · 17:20M. Kowalczyk1.751111113W. Gluszek1.904460WSep 3 · 16:15M. Trela1.6531011121M. Kowalczyk2.0611124143LSep 3 · 15:25M. Kowalczyk2.5591141182J. Rolak1.44117118113LSep 2 · 23:20M. Piecowski1.831114113M. Kowalczyk1.8691270WSep 2 · 22:35K. Marchlewski1.8512940M. Kowalczyk1.801411113WSep 2 · 22:15M. Kowalczyk1.66118311113W. Gluszek2.0561111482LSep 2 · 21:05M. Piecowski1.9081111113M. Kowalczyk1.75119861LSep 2 · 20:30M. Piecowski1.86111011113M. Kowalczyk1.83912691
Upcoming Matches
J. Nosiadek1 of 3 neutral
M. Kowalczyk
Nothing scheduled
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