TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13091018
Played Sep 7Finished
Michal Minda
Home
1.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
711113115113––
Mariusz Zwolinski
Away
3.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:36 and never touched — 58.2% is still 58.2%
Graded at full timeMichal Minda to win
58.2%
58.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
62 points played in total.
Set by set
711113115113––
H2H Michal Minda 4–0 Mariusz Zwolinski Mariusz Zwolinski has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 07:36What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (73%)
Minda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-0 in 4
Minda
Correct
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Minda 1509 vs Zwolinski 1238
Minda
Correct
both rated, 271 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Minda 20% vs Zwolinski 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Minda 50% vs Zwolinski 30%
Minda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Minda -3 · Zwolinski +1
Minda
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Minda) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Minda form (20%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMinda 1.25 / Zwolinski 3.40
Signal prob.76% / 24%
Edge (Minda)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13091018
Minda1.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite62% won 298 of 484
Up 2–0, closes it97% 124 of 128
Up 1–0, closes it81% 222 of 275
Zwolinski3.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
0%takes the first set · 0 of 10
As underdog32% won 41 of 128
Down 0–1, comes back19% 15 of 80
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeMinda4wins
AwayZwolinski0wins
3 of 4 to a deciderMinda leads 4–0, and 3 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMinda100%3 of 3
AwayZwolinskin = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Minda3Zwolinski1n = 4Minda took 3 of 4
S2Minda2Zwolinski2n = 4split evenly
S3Minda2Zwolinski2n = 4split evenly
S4Minda2Zwolinski2n = 4split evenly
S5Minda3Zwolinski0n = 3Minda took 3 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home375%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricMindaZwolinskiM − ZBasisWins40+4in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match46.241.5+4.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMindaZwolinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime1025 / 2011 vs 121 / 33851%35.8%1025 / 2011 vs 121 / 338Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match39.137.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MindaMinda 1.25/Zwolinski 3.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.9%
Minda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Minda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 5 · 11:25M. Minda—1111119113M. Zwolinski—81381162
WMay 17 · 05:00M. Minda—118115113M. Zwolinski—91191192
WFeb 1 · 10:50M. Minda—912711113M. Zwolinski—111011732
WJan 7 · 10:50M. Minda—11113113M. Zwolinski—581151
M. Minda10
WSep 7 · 11:00M. Minda1.907111111113S. Brud1.8011813872LSep 7 · 08:05M. Minda1.5910860D. Solilo2.161211113LSep 7 · 06:25J. Zochniak1.54111111113M. Minda2.25881381LSep 7 · 05:35M. Sklensky1.471111113M. Minda2.459480WSep 7 · 04:50M. Minda2.80101113153K. Wisniewski1.3712811131LSep 7 · 03:40M. Minda1.95711101182A. Sobel1.76119129113WSep 5 · 14:15K. Klocek2.70101113121M. Minda1.3512815143WSep 5 · 13:25B. Kwodawski2.90911621M. Minda1.3511911113WSep 5 · 11:20A. Mugowski2.609980M. Minda1.421111113LSep 5 · 10:30J. Wozniak2.10117911113M. Minda1.6791111872
M. Zwolinski10
LSep 7 · 10:35M. Zwolinski1.901854101J. Nosiadek1.75161111123WSep 7 · 08:35A. Szoltysek1.90121011992M. Zwolinski1.751012911113LSep 7 · 07:20M. Zwolinski2.009912101K. Sulkowski1.70111110123LSep 7 · 06:05B. Wisniewski1.8513114133M. Zwolinski1.8511911111LSep 7 · 04:55S. Brud1.401111113M. Zwolinski2.755590LSep 7 · 03:25B. Czerwinski—117118113M. Zwolinski—71161132LSep 5 · 14:40T. Piotrowski1.411111133M. Zwolinski2.6067110WSep 5 · 13:30M. Zwolinski2.1581112113W. Iwasyszyn1.601161081WSep 5 · 12:15W. Suchecki1.80121011482M. Zwolinski1.861012511113LSep 5 · 11:00A. Szoltysek1.55111110123M. Zwolinski2.262812101
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.