TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13093732
Played Sep 7Finished
Piotr Strus
Home
1.95
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1210911118117––
Jakub Nosiadek
Away
1.76
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:00 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Nosiadek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
79 points played in total.
Set by set
1210911118117––
H2H Piotr Strus 0–1 Jakub Nosiadek Piotr Strus has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:00What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.76 (53%)
Nosiadek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Strus 1238 vs Nosiadek 1223
Strus
Correct
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Strus 80% vs Nosiadek 40%
Strus
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Strus 50% vs Nosiadek 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Strus -1 · Nosiadek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Nosiadek) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nosiadek form (40%) is below what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrus 1.95 / Nosiadek 1.76
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Nosiadek)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13093732
Strus1.95
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog47% won 107 of 229
Down 0–1, comes back29% 33 of 114
Down 0–2, comes back14% 9 of 63
Nosiadek1.76
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite48% won 12 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it64% 9 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeStrus0wins
AwayNosiadek1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderNosiadek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricStrusNosiadekS − NBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match59.063.0−4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrusNosiadekBasisWin rate · lifetime386 / 838 vs 30 / 8646.1%34.9%386 / 838 vs 30 / 86Avg sets wonper match1.91.5per matchAvg pointsper match38.135.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NosiadekStrus 1.95/Nosiadek 1.76
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.4%
Nosiadek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Strus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 8 · 13:05P. Strus—1112111872J. Nosiadek—1310920113
P. Strus10
LSep 7 · 15:50J. Przewlocki1.90111188123P. Strus1.80991111102WSep 4 · 19:40D. Poloszczanski1.651211411112P. Strus2.07143117133WSep 4 · 18:55D. Kotwica1.47119741P. Strus2.5081111113WSep 4 · 18:10P. Strus1.908111016113K. Golaszewski1.80118121482WSep 4 · 16:35P. Strus2.0591411133S. Wnek1.6511128111WSep 4 · 15:50D. Szlubowski1.27841171P. Strus3.3011116113LSep 2 · 19:40K. Marchlewski2.001111113P. Strus1.735670LSep 2 · 18:55M. Piecowski1.8571111123P. Strus1.851179101LSep 2 · 18:10P. Strus1.809590M. Kowalczyk1.851111113LSep 2 · 16:35P. Strus1.6761114452M. Piecowski2.031191211113
J. Nosiadek10
LSep 7 · 17:20B. Mrugala1.95611811113J. Nosiadek1.7411911762WSep 7 · 15:00W. Iwasyszyn1.7598120J. Nosiadek1.951111143LSep 7 · 14:20M. Minda1.421111113J. Nosiadek2.606970LSep 7 · 13:30S. Brud1.3811611113J. Nosiadek2.75711781LSep 7 · 11:25A. Szoltysek1.831111113J. Nosiadek1.865560WSep 7 · 10:35M. Zwolinski1.901854101J. Nosiadek1.75161111123LSep 7 · 09:00A. Sobel1.461111113J. Nosiadek2.503480WAug 24 · 19:40J. Nosiadek1.36511411113P. Strus2.9511511392WAug 24 · 18:30J. Nosiadek1.441151112113W. Gluszek2.50611131082WAug 24 · 17:20J. Nosiadek1.7411119113B. Wisniewski1.95751171
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