TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13093715
Played Sep 7Finished
Mateusz Trela
Home
1.76
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
141291111610121311
Jakub Nosiadek
Away
1.90
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:03 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMateusz Trela to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
109 points played in total.
Set by set
141291111610121311
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:03What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.76 (52%)
Trela
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Trela 1373 vs Nosiadek 1199
Trela
Correct
both rated, 174 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Trela 80% vs Nosiadek 20%
Trela
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Trela 50% vs Nosiadek 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Trela +3 · Nosiadek -2
Trela
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Trela)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nosiadek form (20%) is below what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTrela 1.76 / Nosiadek 1.90
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Trela)+2.1pp
TT Elite Series · #13093715
Trela1.76
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 143 of 263
Up 2–0, closes it93% 52 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it70% 95 of 135
Nosiadek1.90
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog31% won 12 of 39
Down 0–1, comes back23% 7 of 30
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricTrelaNosiadekBasisWin rate · lifetime807 / 1650 vs 30 / 8848.9%34.1%807 / 1650 vs 30 / 88Avg sets wonper match2.01.5per matchAvg pointsper match38.335.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
TrelaTrela 1.76/Nosiadek 1.90
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Trela · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Trela won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Trela10
LSep 7 · 20:30W. Iwasyszyn1.85851111113M. Trela1.8011118352WSep 7 · 18:10P. Strus2.203111181M. Trela1.6011613113WSep 7 · 16:55J. Przewlocki1.85881471M. Trela1.85111112113WSep 7 · 15:25B. Mrugala2.356590M. Trela1.511111113WSep 6 · 23:20A. Myszewski1.91815100M. Trela1.771117123LSep 6 · 22:35A. Linek1.60412811113M. Trela2.15111011842WSep 6 · 22:15M. Trela1.941111117113B. Sulkowski1.7461341192LSep 6 · 21:05A. Lilien1.471111113M. Trela2.453880LSep 6 · 20:30M. Trela1.87991161A. Myszewski1.8311118113LSep 6 · 18:55M. Trela2.239711121B. Sulkowski1.5611112143
J. Nosiadek10
LSep 7 · 20:05J. Przewlocki1.80821111113J. Nosiadek1.9011118892LSep 7 · 17:20B. Mrugala1.95611811113J. Nosiadek1.7411911762LSep 7 · 16:35P. Strus1.9512911113J. Nosiadek1.761011871WSep 7 · 15:00W. Iwasyszyn1.7598120J. Nosiadek1.951111143LSep 7 · 14:20M. Minda1.421111113J. Nosiadek2.606970LSep 7 · 13:30S. Brud1.3811611113J. Nosiadek2.75711781LSep 7 · 11:25A. Szoltysek1.831111113J. Nosiadek1.865560WSep 7 · 10:35M. Zwolinski1.901854101J. Nosiadek1.75161111123LSep 7 · 09:00A. Sobel1.461111113J. Nosiadek2.503480WAug 24 · 19:40J. Nosiadek1.36511411113P. Strus2.9511511392
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