TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13093722
Played Sep 7Finished
Piotr Strus
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
3111161113811––
Mateusz Trela
Away
1.60
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:03 and never touched — 59.1% is still 59.1%
Graded at full timeMateusz Trela to win
59.1%
59.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
74 points played in total.
Set by set
3111161113811––
H2H Piotr Strus 17–16 Mateusz Trela Mateusz Trela has won 16 of their 33 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:03What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (58%)
Trela
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-16 in 33
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Strus 1216 vs Trela 1386
Trela
Correct
both rated, 170 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Strus 80% vs Trela 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Strus 60% vs Trela 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Strus +1 · Trela +3
Trela
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Trela) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Trela form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (63%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrus 2.20 / Trela 1.60
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Trela)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13093722
Strus2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 107 of 229
Down 0–1, comes back29% 33 of 114
Down 0–2, comes back14% 9 of 63
Trela1.60
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 143 of 263
Up 2–0, closes it93% 52 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it70% 95 of 135
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStrus4wins
AwayTrela6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderTrela leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStrus50%3 of 6
AwayTrela75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strus6Trela4n = 10Strus took 6 of 10
S2Strus5Trela5n = 10split evenly
S3Strus3Trela7n = 10Trela took 7 of 10
S4Strus4Trela4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricStrusTrelaS − TBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.238.1−1.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrusTrelaBasisWin rate · lifetime387 / 842 vs 809 / 165246%49%387 / 842 vs 809 / 1652Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TrelaStrus 2.20/Trela 1.60
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.1%
Trela · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Trela won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 18:10P. Strus—3111181M. Trela—11613113
LAug 28 · 18:55P. Strus—11851172M. Trela—911116113
WAug 24 · 18:55P. Strus—1111113M. Trela—6960
WAug 19 · 15:50P. Strus—11128113M. Trela—9101161
LAug 12 · 16:35P. Strus—118961M. Trela—81111113
LJul 15 · 18:55P. Strus—29100M. Trela—1111123
WJul 8 · 18:10P. Strus—11811113M. Trela—711881
WJul 3 · 15:50P. Strus—91111113M. Trela—118961
LApr 19 · 06:05P. Strus—814661M. Trela—111211113
LApr 7 · 20:40P. Strus—1114781M. Trela—91611113
P. Strus10
LSep 7 · 19:40B. Mrugala1.831111113P. Strus1.838870LSep 7 · 18:55W. Iwasyszyn1.631111113P. Strus2.064890WSep 7 · 16:35P. Strus1.9512911113J. Nosiadek1.761011871LSep 7 · 15:50J. Przewlocki1.90111188123P. Strus1.80991111102WSep 4 · 19:40D. Poloszczanski1.651211411112P. Strus2.07143117133WSep 4 · 18:55D. Kotwica1.47119741P. Strus2.5081111113WSep 4 · 18:10P. Strus1.908111016113K. Golaszewski1.80118121482WSep 4 · 16:35P. Strus2.0591411133S. Wnek1.6511128111WSep 4 · 15:50D. Szlubowski1.27841171P. Strus3.3011116113LSep 2 · 19:40K. Marchlewski2.001111113P. Strus1.735670
M. Trela10
LSep 7 · 20:30W. Iwasyszyn1.85851111113M. Trela1.8011118352WSep 7 · 19:20M. Trela1.761491110133J. Nosiadek1.901211612112WSep 7 · 16:55J. Przewlocki1.85881471M. Trela1.85111112113WSep 7 · 15:25B. Mrugala2.356590M. Trela1.511111113WSep 6 · 23:20A. Myszewski1.91815100M. Trela1.771117123LSep 6 · 22:35A. Linek1.60412811113M. Trela2.15111011842WSep 6 · 22:15M. Trela1.941111117113B. Sulkowski1.7461341192LSep 6 · 21:05A. Lilien1.471111113M. Trela2.453880LSep 6 · 20:30M. Trela1.87991161A. Myszewski1.8311118113LSep 6 · 18:55M. Trela2.239711121B. Sulkowski1.5611112143
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