TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13093712
Played Sep 7Finished
Bartlomiej Mrugala
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118118117––––
Piotr Strus
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:03 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePiotr Strus to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
56 points played in total.
Set by set
118118117––––
H2H Bartlomiej Mrugala 7–19 Piotr Strus Bartlomiej Mrugala has won 7 of their 26 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:03What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Strus
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-19 in 26
Strus
Wrong
gap of 12 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mrugala 1249 vs Strus 1237
Mrugala
Correct
both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mrugala 40% vs Strus 60%
Strus
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mrugala 40% vs Strus 60%
Strus
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mrugala +2 · Strus -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Strus)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mrugala form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMrugala 1.83 / Strus 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Strus)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13093712
Mrugala1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Strus1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMrugala3wins
AwayStrus7wins
6 of 10 to a deciderStrus leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMrugala50%2 of 4
AwayStrus83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mrugala4Strus6n = 10Strus took 6 of 10
S2Mrugala4Strus6n = 10Strus took 6 of 10
S3Mrugala3Strus7n = 10Strus took 7 of 10
S4Mrugala4Strus3n = 7Mrugala took 4 of 7
S5Mrugala2Strus4n = 6Strus took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricMrugalaStrusM − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.644.0−4.4per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMrugalaStrusBasisWin rate · lifetime292 / 644 vs 387 / 84045.3%46.1%292 / 644 vs 387 / 840Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrusMrugala 1.83/Strus 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Strus · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Mrugala won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 15:50B. Mrugala—61560P. Strus—1117113
WAug 21 · 16:35B. Mrugala—111211113P. Strus—8101391
LJul 6 · 15:50B. Mrugala—9390P. Strus—1111113
WJun 10 · 19:05B. Mrugala—1091111113P. Strus—12118652
WJun 8 · 19:50B. Mrugala—1121110113P. Strus—91151282
LJun 4 · 19:50B. Mrugala—7880P. Strus—1111113
LMay 14 · 20:40B. Mrugala—713101142P. Strus—1111127113
LMay 12 · 19:50B. Mrugala—1013111082P. Strus—1211812113
LMay 5 · 19:50B. Mrugala—115911102P. Strus—811118123
LApr 21 · 19:50B. Mrugala—12116562P. Strus—1091111113
B. Mrugala10
WSep 7 · 18:30B. Mrugala2.2511157113J. Przewlocki1.544131171WSep 7 · 17:20B. Mrugala1.95611811113J. Nosiadek1.7411911762LSep 7 · 16:15W. Iwasyszyn1.7181111123B. Mrugala2.001138101LSep 7 · 15:25B. Mrugala2.356590M. Trela1.511111113LSep 2 · 24:10B. Mrugala1.668970K. Marchlewski2.051111113LSep 1 · 23:20B. Mrugala1.857111031J. Rolak1.8511912113WSep 1 · 21:55B. Mrugala1.901311511113B. Wisniewski1.8015711692WSep 1 · 21:30B. Mrugala1.911111113W. Gluszek1.803680LSep 1 · 20:30B. Mrugala1.908114101J. Rolak1.8011811123LSep 1 · 18:55B. Mrugala2.2011791132D. Szlubowski1.57711119113
P. Strus10
LSep 7 · 18:55W. Iwasyszyn1.631111113P. Strus2.064890LSep 7 · 18:10P. Strus2.203111181M. Trela1.6011613113WSep 7 · 16:35P. Strus1.9512911113J. Nosiadek1.761011871LSep 7 · 15:50J. Przewlocki1.90111188123P. Strus1.80991111102WSep 4 · 19:40D. Poloszczanski1.651211411112P. Strus2.07143117133WSep 4 · 18:55D. Kotwica1.47119741P. Strus2.5081111113WSep 4 · 18:10P. Strus1.908111016113K. Golaszewski1.80118121482WSep 4 · 16:35P. Strus2.0591411133S. Wnek1.6511128111WSep 4 · 15:50D. Szlubowski1.27841171P. Strus3.3011116113LSep 2 · 19:40K. Marchlewski2.001111113P. Strus1.735670
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