TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13088376
Played Sep 7Finished
Mateusz Trela
Home
1.70
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181614116––––
Kuba Golaszewski
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:13 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMateusz Trela to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
66 points played in total.
Set by set
1181614116––––
H2H Mateusz Trela 8–12 Kuba Golaszewski Mateusz Trela has won 8 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:13What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.70 (54%)
Trela
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-12 in 20
Golaszewski
Wrong
gap of 4 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Trela 1382 vs Golaszewski 1223
Trela
Correct
both rated, 158 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Trela 80% vs Golaszewski 40%
Trela
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Trela 70% vs Golaszewski 40%
Trela
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Trela +1 · Golaszewski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Trela) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Trela form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (59%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTrela 1.70 / Golaszewski 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Trela)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13088376
Trela1.70
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite54% won 143 of 263
Up 2–0, closes it93% 52 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it70% 95 of 135
Golaszewski2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 194 of 474
Down 0–1, comes back18% 45 of 254
Down 0–2, comes back5% 6 of 134
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTrela3wins
AwayGolaszewski7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderGolaszewski leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTrela50%2 of 4
AwayGolaszewski83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Trela4Golaszewski6n = 10Golaszewski took 6 of 10
S2Trela3Golaszewski7n = 10Golaszewski took 7 of 10
S3Trela4Golaszewski6n = 10Golaszewski took 6 of 10
S4Trela3Golaszewski5n = 8Golaszewski took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricTrelaGolaszewskiT − GBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.641.0−4.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTrelaGolaszewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime810 / 1654 vs 392 / 93149%42.1%810 / 1654 vs 392 / 931Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TrelaTrela 1.70/Golaszewski 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.9%
Trela · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Trela won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 21:55M. Trela—5611121K. Golaszewski—11119143
WSep 3 · 18:55M. Trela—11126113K. Golaszewski—7101171
LAug 23 · 03:00M. Trela—48120K. Golaszewski—1111143
LAug 19 · 22:55M. Trela—67100K. Golaszewski—1111123
LAug 19 · 18:30M. Trela—6111161K. Golaszewski—11135113
WAug 12 · 22:55M. Trela—691511113K. Golaszewski—111113992
WAug 12 · 20:05M. Trela—111111113K. Golaszewski—871341
LAug 7 · 22:55M. Trela—1131114102K. Golaszewski—811816123
LJul 29 · 03:25M. Trela—119771K. Golaszewski—71111113
LJul 9 · 24:10M. Trela—611691K. Golaszewski—11711113
M. Trela10
WSep 7 · 21:30M. Trela1.95811811113J. Przewlocki1.7411811462LSep 7 · 20:30W. Iwasyszyn1.85851111113M. Trela1.8011118352WSep 7 · 19:20M. Trela1.761491110133J. Nosiadek1.901211612112WSep 7 · 18:10P. Strus2.203111181M. Trela1.6011613113WSep 7 · 16:55J. Przewlocki1.85881471M. Trela1.85111112113WSep 7 · 15:25B. Mrugala2.356590M. Trela1.511111113WSep 6 · 23:20A. Myszewski1.91815100M. Trela1.771117123LSep 6 · 22:35A. Linek1.60412811113M. Trela2.15111011842WSep 6 · 22:15M. Trela1.941111117113B. Sulkowski1.7461341192LSep 6 · 21:05A. Lilien1.471111113M. Trela2.453880
K. Golaszewski10
LSep 6 · 14:40K. Golaszewski2.35571181K. Sulkowski1.5011118113WSep 6 · 13:05K. Golaszewski2.4011124123M. Sinicki1.5081011101WSep 6 · 11:50K. Golaszewski1.801211125113F. Jablonski1.90108141162LSep 6 · 10:10K. Golaszewski2.474101151T. Piotrowski1.4611128113LSep 6 · 09:00K. Golaszewski1.8381111632B. Wisniewski1.87115711113LSep 6 · 08:10K. Golaszewski2.261189101B. Wisniewski1.5541111123WSep 6 · 06:30K. Sulkowski1.51104100K. Golaszewski2.331211123LSep 6 · 05:40T. Piotrowski1.541111113K. Golaszewski2.254880LSep 6 · 04:55K. Golaszewski2.25611961M. Sinicki1.5511711113WSep 6 · 03:50K. Golaszewski1.7311411113F. Jablonski2.00711781
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