TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13093704
Played Sep 7Finished
Bartlomiej Mrugala
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
17156111210118––
Wojciech Iwasyszyn
Away
1.72
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:04 and never touched — 57.2% is still 57.2%
Graded at full timeWojciech Iwasyszyn to win
57.2%
57.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
90 points played in total.
Set by set
17156111210118––
H2H Bartlomiej Mrugala 3–3 Wojciech Iwasyszyn Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Iwasyszyn beat Mrugala 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:04What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.72 (54%)
Iwasyszyn
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mrugala 1262 vs Iwasyszyn 1316
Iwasyszyn
Wrong
both rated, 53 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mrugala 60% vs Iwasyszyn 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mrugala 50% vs Iwasyszyn 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mrugala +3 · Iwasyszyn +2
Mrugala
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Iwasyszyn) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMrugala 2.00 / Iwasyszyn 1.72
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Iwasyszyn)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13093704
Mrugala2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 115 of 261
Down 0–1, comes back21% 27 of 132
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 66
Iwasyszyn1.72
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite53% won 78 of 148
Up 2–0, closes it100% 20 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it77% 49 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeMrugala3wins
AwayIwasyszyn3wins
2 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMrugala60%3 of 5
AwayIwasyszynn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mrugala5Iwasyszyn1n = 6Mrugala took 5 of 6
S2Mrugala4Iwasyszyn2n = 6Mrugala took 4 of 6
S3Mrugala2Iwasyszyn4n = 6Iwasyszyn took 4 of 6
S4Mrugala1Iwasyszyn4n = 5Iwasyszyn took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricMrugalaIwasyszynM − IBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set51+4of 6Avg pointsper match38.239.2−1.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMrugalaIwasyszynBasisWin rate · lifetime293 / 645 vs 529 / 103645.4%51.1%293 / 645 vs 529 / 1036Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.439.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
IwasyszynMrugala 2.00/Iwasyszyn 1.72
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.6%
Iwasyszyn · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Mrugala won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 7 · 16:15B. Mrugala—1138101W. Iwasyszyn—81111123
LMar 24 · 13:10B. Mrugala—12128882W. Iwasyszyn—10101111113
WJan 22 · 03:20B. Mrugala—1111113W. Iwasyszyn—4760
WJan 22 · 24:55B. Mrugala—11114113W. Iwasyszyn—861171
WJan 16 · 14:00B. Mrugala—112127113W. Iwasyszyn—711101192
LDec 30 · 10:20B. Mrugala—1011691W. Iwasyszyn—12911113
B. Mrugala10
WSep 7 · 19:40B. Mrugala1.831111113P. Strus1.838870WSep 7 · 18:30B. Mrugala2.2511157113J. Przewlocki1.544131171WSep 7 · 17:20B. Mrugala1.95611811113J. Nosiadek1.7411911762LSep 7 · 16:15W. Iwasyszyn1.7181111123B. Mrugala2.001138101LSep 7 · 15:25B. Mrugala2.356590M. Trela1.511111113LSep 2 · 24:10B. Mrugala1.668970K. Marchlewski2.051111113LSep 1 · 23:20B. Mrugala1.857111031J. Rolak1.8511912113WSep 1 · 21:55B. Mrugala1.901311511113B. Wisniewski1.8015711692WSep 1 · 21:30B. Mrugala1.911111113W. Gluszek1.803680LSep 1 · 20:30B. Mrugala1.908114101J. Rolak1.8011811123
W. Iwasyszyn10
WSep 7 · 20:30W. Iwasyszyn1.85851111113M. Trela1.8011118352WSep 7 · 18:55W. Iwasyszyn1.631111113P. Strus2.064890LSep 7 · 17:45W. Iwasyszyn2.0094111172J. Przewlocki1.71111188113WSep 7 · 16:15W. Iwasyszyn1.7181111123B. Mrugala2.001138101LSep 7 · 15:00W. Iwasyszyn1.7598120J. Nosiadek1.951111143WSep 5 · 14:20A. Szoltysek1.851191361W. Iwasyszyn1.8561115113LSep 5 · 13:30M. Zwolinski2.1581112113W. Iwasyszyn1.601161081WSep 5 · 11:25J. Rolak1.6011115882W. Iwasyszyn2.20951111113LSep 5 · 10:35W. Suchecki2.601111113W. Iwasyszyn1.417490WSep 5 · 09:00T. Piotrowski1.74119981W. Iwasyszyn1.9581111113
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