TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13103071
Played Sep 9Finished
Mateusz Trela
Home
1.56
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116117115––––
Piotr Strus
Away
2.17
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:47 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMateusz Trela to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
51 points played in total.
Set by set
116117115––––
H2H Mateusz Trela 16–17 Piotr Strus Mateusz Trela has won 16 of their 33 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:47What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.56 (58%)
Trela
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-17 in 33
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Trela 1358 vs Strus 1201
Trela
Correct
both rated, 157 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Trela 40% vs Strus 20%
Trela
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Trela 60% vs Strus 40%
Trela
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Trela +1 · Strus -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Trela) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Strus form (20%) is below what odds imply (46%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTrela 1.56 / Strus 2.17
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Trela)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13103071
Trela1.56
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 146 of 266
Up 2–0, closes it92% 54 of 59
Up 1–0, closes it71% 99 of 140
Strus2.17
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog46% won 104 of 228
Down 0–1, comes back28% 32 of 115
Down 0–2, comes back14% 9 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTrela6wins
AwayStrus4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderTrela leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTrela75%3 of 4
AwayStrus50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Trela4Strus6n = 10Strus took 6 of 10
S2Trela5Strus5n = 10split evenly
S3Trela7Strus3n = 10Trela took 7 of 10
S4Trela4Strus4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricTrelaStrusT − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.136.2+1.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTrelaStrusBasisWin rate · lifetime813 / 1660 vs 387 / 84349%45.9%813 / 1660 vs 387 / 843Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TrelaTrela 1.56/Strus 2.17
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.4%
Trela · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Trela won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 18:10M. Trela—11613113P. Strus—3111181
WAug 28 · 18:55M. Trela—911116113P. Strus—11851172
LAug 24 · 18:55M. Trela—6960P. Strus—1111113
LAug 19 · 15:50M. Trela—9101161P. Strus—11128113
WAug 12 · 16:35M. Trela—81111113P. Strus—118961
WJul 15 · 18:55M. Trela—1111123P. Strus—29100
LJul 8 · 18:10M. Trela—711881P. Strus—11811113
LJul 3 · 15:50M. Trela—118961P. Strus—91111113
WApr 19 · 06:05M. Trela—111211113P. Strus—814661
WApr 7 · 20:40M. Trela—91611113P. Strus—1114781
M. Trela10
WSep 9 · 17:45M. Trela1.961110118113K. Klocek1.7091271152LSep 9 · 16:15M. Trela1.49991361K. Golaszewski2.33111111113WSep 9 · 15:00M. Trela1.441111113P. Ostachowski2.504160LSep 8 · 24:10M. Trela1.66681111102B. Mrugala2.05111179123LSep 7 · 23:20M. Trela1.86811811132W. Iwasyszyn1.83119117153WSep 7 · 21:55M. Trela1.701116113K. Golaszewski2.0081460WSep 7 · 21:30M. Trela1.95811811113J. Przewlocki1.7411811462LSep 7 · 20:30W. Iwasyszyn1.85851111113M. Trela1.8011118352WSep 7 · 19:20M. Trela1.761491110133J. Nosiadek1.901211612112WSep 7 · 18:10P. Strus2.203111181M. Trela1.6011613113
P. Strus10
LSep 9 · 18:10P. Strus2.507850A. Myszewski1.461111113WSep 9 · 16:35P. Strus1.8091111113P. Ostachowski1.86113571LSep 9 · 15:50K. Klocek1.501111113P. Strus2.327680LSep 7 · 19:40B. Mrugala1.831111113P. Strus1.838870LSep 7 · 18:55W. Iwasyszyn1.631111113P. Strus2.064890LSep 7 · 18:10P. Strus2.203111181M. Trela1.6011613113WSep 7 · 16:35P. Strus1.9512911113J. Nosiadek1.761011871LSep 7 · 15:50J. Przewlocki1.90111188123P. Strus1.80991111102WSep 4 · 19:40D. Poloszczanski1.651211411112P. Strus2.07143117133WSep 4 · 18:55D. Kotwica1.47119741P. Strus2.5081111113
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