TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13097047
Played Sep 8Finished
Aleksander Lilien
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118115911119––
Adrian Myszewski
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:09 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdrian Myszewski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
75 points played in total.
Set by set
118115911119––
H2H Aleksander Lilien 25–18 Adrian Myszewski Adrian Myszewski has won 18 of their 43 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 04:09What took a side0 for · 4 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (58%)
Lilien
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-18 in 43
Lilien
Correct
gap of 7 in 43, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lilien 1441 vs Myszewski 1348
Lilien
Correct
both rated, 93 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lilien 60% vs Myszewski 20%
Lilien
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lilien 50% vs Myszewski 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lilien +2 · Myszewski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Lilien) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Myszewski form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLilien 1.57 / Myszewski 2.20
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Lilien)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13097047
Lilien1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 256 of 433
Up 2–0, closes it96% 131 of 136
Up 1–0, closes it77% 194 of 251
Myszewski2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 61 of 168
Down 0–1, comes back18% 18 of 99
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLilien5wins
AwayMyszewski5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLilien50%2 of 4
AwayMyszewski50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lilien4Myszewski6n = 10Myszewski took 6 of 10
S2Lilien5Myszewski5n = 10split evenly
S3Lilien5Myszewski5n = 10split evenly
S4Lilien4Myszewski4n = 8split evenly
S5Lilien2Myszewski2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricLilienMyszewskiL − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.140.4−1.3per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLilienMyszewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime832 / 1540 vs 444 / 90554%49.1%832 / 1540 vs 444 / 905Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LilienLilien 1.57/Myszewski 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.6%
Lilien · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Lilien won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 24:10A. Lilien—10490A. Myszewski—1211113
LSep 6 · 19:20A. Lilien—8560A. Myszewski—1111113
WSep 4 · 09:25A. Lilien—1011118113A. Myszewski—12891182
WAug 17 · 13:30A. Lilien—512115163A. Myszewski—1110911142
WAug 14 · 13:55A. Lilien—141210113A. Myszewski—12101251
WAug 7 · 09:50A. Lilien—41111133A. Myszewski—1156111
WMay 28 · 12:40A. Lilien—11118113A. Myszewski—861161
LMay 28 · 08:35A. Lilien—11912892A. Myszewski—7111011113
LMay 27 · 10:35A. Lilien—79111182A. Myszewski—111174113
LMay 19 · 07:20A. Lilien—112681A. Myszewski—41111113
A. Lilien10
LSep 9 · 14:40A. Lilien1.751110981P. Blocho1.9561211113WSep 9 · 13:05A. Lilien1.95811119113J. Krawczyk1.7511581162WSep 9 · 11:50A. Lilien2.00151113113M. Minda1.7013131171WSep 9 · 10:10A. Lilien1.27141111133M. Zwolinski3.351679111WSep 9 · 09:00A. Lilien1.44111110113A. Szoltysek2.50881281WSep 9 · 07:40B. Wisniewski3.156790A. Lilien1.301111113WSep 9 · 06:55M. Zwolinski3.3581161152A. Lilien1.27116112113LSep 9 · 06:05A. Lilien1.501111891K. Sulkowski2.4013111113WSep 9 · 04:30A. Lilien1.441111113A. Szoltysek2.509890WSep 9 · 03:50M. Lukaszewski3.30461131A. Lilien1.2711119113
A. Myszewski10
WSep 9 · 18:10P. Strus2.507850A. Myszewski1.461111113LSep 9 · 16:55K. Klocek1.8011911123A. Myszewski1.857115101WSep 9 · 15:25K. Golaszewski2.37691661A. Myszewski1.52111114113WSep 8 · 13:30B. Sulkowski1.7431151182A. Myszewski1.95115116113LSep 8 · 11:25J. Glanowski1.511111128113A. Myszewski2.2887141192LSep 8 · 10:35A. Sobel1.431111113A. Myszewski2.505890LSep 8 · 09:00S. Brud1.55111111113A. Myszewski2.25413681LSep 8 · 08:10R. Stapor1.731211123A. Myszewski2.00107100LSep 8 · 07:20A. Linek1.75101111143A. Myszewski1.981289121WSep 8 · 05:15K. Sulkowski1.9591060A. Myszewski1.741112113
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