TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13095040
Played Sep 8Finished
Rafal Stapor
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
12101171210––––
Adrian Myszewski
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:45 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeAdrian Myszewski to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
62 points played in total.
Set by set
12101171210––––
H2H Rafal Stapor 2–2 Adrian Myszewski Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:45What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Stapor
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stapor 1455 vs Myszewski 1370
Stapor
Correct
both rated, 85 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stapor 60% vs Myszewski 80%
Myszewski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stapor 40% vs Myszewski 80%
Myszewski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stapor -1 · Myszewski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Stapor) · live re-read · sealed at 41% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Myszewski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStapor 1.73 / Myszewski 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Stapor)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13095040
Stapor1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 411 of 648
Up 2–0, closes it96% 204 of 212
Up 1–0, closes it82% 316 of 385
Myszewski2.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog36% won 61 of 168
Down 0–1, comes back18% 18 of 99
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeStapor2wins
AwayMyszewski2wins
1 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stapor2Myszewski2n = 4split evenly
S2Stapor2Myszewski2n = 4split evenly
S3Stapor3Myszewski1n = 4Stapor took 3 of 4
S4Stapor2Myszewski2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricStaporMyszewskiS − MBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match41.237.2+4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStaporMyszewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime637 / 1124 vs 443 / 90056.7%49.2%637 / 1124 vs 443 / 900Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StaporStapor 1.73/Myszewski 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.4%
Stapor · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Stapor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 29 · 21:55R. Stapor—20117113A. Myszewski—1871191
WAug 29 · 18:55R. Stapor—111011113A. Myszewski—312441
LAug 9 · 04:25R. Stapor—91111562A. Myszewski—119311113
LMay 19 · 12:10R. Stapor—881141A. Myszewski—11113113
R. Stapor10
LSep 8 · 06:30K. Sulkowski2.051111113R. Stapor1.656860WSep 8 · 05:40J. Glanowski1.708950R. Stapor1.911111113WSep 8 · 04:55R. Stapor1.831151110113A. Linek1.8781171272LSep 8 · 03:50R. Stapor1.49611891D. Wrobel2.3411511113WSep 3 · 13:55A. Mugowski2.5094100R. Stapor1.471111123LSep 3 · 13:05M. Kolek1.5012115123R. Stapor2.4010911101LSep 3 · 12:15R. Stapor2.156118101J. Witkowski1.6011711123LSep 3 · 10:35R. Stapor1.86118111192B. Czerwinski1.80611813113WSep 3 · 09:50A. Lilien1.65613481R. Stapor2.07111111113LSep 3 · 08:35A. Mugowski2.1511511113R. Stapor1.60411961
A. Myszewski10
LSep 8 · 10:35A. Sobel1.431111113A. Myszewski2.505890LSep 8 · 09:00S. Brud1.55111111113A. Myszewski2.25413681LSep 8 · 07:20A. Linek1.75101111143A. Myszewski1.981289121WSep 8 · 05:15K. Sulkowski1.9591060A. Myszewski1.741112113WSep 8 · 04:30D. Wrobel2.0691190A. Myszewski1.621113113WSep 8 · 03:00J. Glanowski1.605111151A. Myszewski2.0611913113WSep 7 · 24:10A. Myszewski2.401211113A. Lilien1.5110490LSep 6 · 23:20A. Myszewski1.91815100M. Trela1.771117123WSep 6 · 21:55A. Myszewski1.9091111113A. Linek1.75115821WSep 6 · 21:30A. Myszewski2.3711711113B. Sulkowski1.51511451
Upcoming Matches
R. Stapor
Nothing scheduled
A. Myszewski
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