TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13090873
Played Sep 8Finished
Rafal Stapor
Home
1.49
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611115811911––
Dariusz Wrobel
Away
2.34
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:36 and never touched — 57.3% is still 57.3%
Graded at full timeRafal Stapor to win
57.3%
57.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
72 points played in total.
Set by set
611115811911––
H2H Rafal Stapor 8–7 Dariusz Wrobel Dariusz Wrobel has won 7 of their 15 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:36What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.49 (61%)
Stapor
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-7 in 15
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stapor 1469 vs Wrobel 1287
Stapor
Wrong
both rated, 182 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stapor 40% vs Wrobel 20%
Stapor
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stapor 50% vs Wrobel 20%
Stapor
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stapor +1 · Wrobel -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Stapor) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wrobel form (20%) is below what odds imply (43%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStapor 1.49 / Wrobel 2.34
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Stapor)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13090873
Stapor1.49
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 415 of 654
Up 2–0, closes it96% 205 of 213
Up 1–0, closes it82% 319 of 388
Wrobel2.34
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog48% won 79 of 166
Down 0–1, comes back28% 24 of 86
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStapor5wins
AwayWrobel5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStapor71.4%5 of 7
AwayWrobel100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stapor7Wrobel3n = 10Stapor took 7 of 10
S2Stapor4Wrobel6n = 10Wrobel took 6 of 10
S3Stapor8Wrobel2n = 10Stapor took 8 of 10
S4Stapor4Wrobel3n = 7Stapor took 4 of 7
S5Stapor1Wrobel4n = 5Wrobel took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricStaporWrobelS − WBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.639.0+2.6per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStaporWrobelBasisWin rate · lifetime635 / 1120 vs 547 / 114356.7%47.9%635 / 1120 vs 547 / 1143Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.037.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StaporStapor 1.49/Wrobel 2.34
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.9%
Stapor · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Wrobel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LMay 30 · 02:00R. Stapor—910111262D. Wrobel—1112310113
LMay 29 · 23:30R. Stapor—121031172D. Wrobel—1012118113
WMay 12 · 02:20R. Stapor—1111123D. Wrobel—85100
LMay 11 · 23:55R. Stapor—69111192D. Wrobel—111188113
WMay 5 · 24:20R. Stapor—1111113D. Wrobel—5980
WMay 4 · 21:55R. Stapor—127118113D. Wrobel—101181152
WApr 21 · 01:10R. Stapor—1111113D. Wrobel—7860
LApr 20 · 22:45R. Stapor—1211881D. Wrobel—14611113
WMar 28 · 02:35R. Stapor—11411113D. Wrobel—911971
LMar 28 · 24:05R. Stapor—11121110102D. Wrobel—914612123
R. Stapor10
LSep 9 · 05:15B. Sulkowski1.8291111113R. Stapor1.90118661LSep 9 · 04:25D. Solilo1.701112113R. Stapor2.0071090WSep 9 · 03:00M. Minda1.71111171072R. Stapor2.00991112113WSep 8 · 08:10R. Stapor1.731211123A. Myszewski2.00107100LSep 8 · 06:30K. Sulkowski2.051111113R. Stapor1.656860WSep 8 · 05:40J. Glanowski1.708950R. Stapor1.911111113WSep 8 · 04:55R. Stapor1.831151110113A. Linek1.8781171272WSep 3 · 13:55A. Mugowski2.5094100R. Stapor1.471111123LSep 3 · 13:05M. Kolek1.5012115123R. Stapor2.4010911101LSep 3 · 12:15R. Stapor2.156118101J. Witkowski1.6011711123
D. Wrobel10
WSep 8 · 07:40K. Sulkowski1.85611871D. Wrobel1.8511611113LSep 8 · 06:55J. Glanowski1.471991111113D. Wrobel2.40171113972WSep 8 · 06:05D. Wrobel2.35911113113A. Linek1.5011681182LSep 8 · 04:30D. Wrobel2.0691190A. Myszewski1.621113113LSep 5 · 08:05M. Minda1.451111143D. Wrobel2.4569120LSep 5 · 07:15J. Wozniak1.8581111113D. Wrobel1.80112571WSep 5 · 05:15W. Gronowski1.711131081D. Wrobel2.0071112113LSep 5 · 04:25J. Przewlocki1.801111113D. Wrobel1.864980LSep 5 · 03:00K. Klocek1.76111111113D. Wrobel1.90871361LAug 29 · 07:40D. Wrobel1.778911101K. Marchlewski1.9511119123
Upcoming Matches
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