TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13094360
Played Sep 8Finished
Karol Sulkowski
Home
2.05
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116118116––––
Rafal Stapor
Away
1.65
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:46 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKarol Sulkowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
53 points played in total.
Set by set
116118116––––
H2H Karol Sulkowski 16–13 Rafal Stapor Rafal Stapor has won 13 of their 29 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:46What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.65 (55%)
Stapor
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-13 in 29
Sulkowski
Correct
gap of 3 in 29, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sulkowski 1341 vs Stapor 1455
Stapor
Wrong
both rated, 115 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sulkowski 40% vs Stapor 60%
Stapor
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sulkowski 50% vs Stapor 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sulkowski -1 · Stapor +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Stapor) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSulkowski 2.05 / Stapor 1.65
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Stapor)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13094360
Sulkowski2.05
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 156 of 431
Down 0–1, comes back15% 38 of 255
Down 0–2, comes back1% 2 of 142
Stapor1.65
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 411 of 648
Up 2–0, closes it96% 204 of 212
Up 1–0, closes it82% 316 of 385
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSulkowski5wins
AwayStapor5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSulkowski75%3 of 4
AwayStapor66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sulkowski4Stapor6n = 10Stapor took 6 of 10
S2Sulkowski5Stapor5n = 10split evenly
S3Sulkowski5Stapor5n = 10split evenly
S4Sulkowski3Stapor4n = 7Stapor took 4 of 7
S5Sulkowski2Stapor1n = 3Sulkowski took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSulkowskiStaporSulkowski − StaporBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.137.7−1.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSulkowskiStaporBasisWin rate · lifetime627 / 1265 vs 637 / 112449.6%56.7%627 / 1265 vs 637 / 1124Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StaporSulkowski 2.05/Stapor 1.65
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.8%
Stapor · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sulkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 06:30K. Sulkowski—1111113R. Stapor—6860
LAug 11 · 08:35K. Sulkowski—10660R. Stapor—1211113
WAug 10 · 06:30K. Sulkowski—311115113R. Stapor—11961142
LJul 26 · 24:10K. Sulkowski—812661R. Stapor—111011113
LJul 25 · 21:45K. Sulkowski—11912452R. Stapor—5111011113
WJul 15 · 05:15K. Sulkowski—11119163R. Stapor—8711141
WJul 15 · 03:00K. Sulkowski—81111113R. Stapor—119841
LJul 14 · 09:25K. Sulkowski—7550R. Stapor—1111113
WJul 13 · 13:30K. Sulkowski—117911113R. Stapor—81111782
LJul 12 · 13:25K. Sulkowski—6121191R. Stapor—11145113
K. Sulkowski10
LSep 8 · 05:15K. Sulkowski1.9591060A. Myszewski1.741112113WSep 8 · 04:10J. Glanowski1.90711119112K. Sulkowski1.75116711133LSep 8 · 03:25K. Sulkowski2.208650A. Linek1.571111113LSep 7 · 08:10S. Brud1.50611117113K. Sulkowski2.3511641142WSep 7 · 07:20M. Zwolinski2.009912101K. Sulkowski1.70111110123LSep 7 · 05:15B. Czerwinski1.541111113K. Sulkowski2.254950WSep 7 · 04:30B. Wisniewski2.3411791262K. Sulkowski1.519111110113LSep 7 · 03:00A. Szoltysek2.0512117113K. Sulkowski1.681021181WSep 6 · 14:40K. Golaszewski2.35571181K. Sulkowski1.5011118113WSep 6 · 13:30K. Sulkowski1.601111123B. Wisniewski2.2058100
R. Stapor10
WSep 8 · 05:40J. Glanowski1.708950R. Stapor1.911111113WSep 8 · 04:55R. Stapor1.831151110113A. Linek1.8781171272LSep 8 · 03:50R. Stapor1.49611891D. Wrobel2.3411511113WSep 3 · 13:55A. Mugowski2.5094100R. Stapor1.471111123LSep 3 · 13:05M. Kolek1.5012115123R. Stapor2.4010911101LSep 3 · 12:15R. Stapor2.156118101J. Witkowski1.6011711123LSep 3 · 10:35R. Stapor1.86118111192B. Czerwinski1.80611813113WSep 3 · 09:50A. Lilien1.65613481R. Stapor2.07111111113LSep 3 · 08:35A. Mugowski2.1511511113R. Stapor1.60411961WSep 3 · 07:20R. Stapor1.3891115113S. Wnek2.751151381
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