TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13094270
Played Sep 8Finished
Rafal Stapor
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1185111171012117
Adam Linek
Away
1.87
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:03 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRafal Stapor to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
93 points played in total.
Set by set
1185111171012117
H2H Rafal Stapor 6–4 Adam Linek Adam Linek has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:03What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (51%)
Stapor
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-4 in 10
Stapor
Correct
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stapor 1451 vs Linek 1444
Stapor
Correct
both rated, 6 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stapor 20% vs Linek 60%
Linek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stapor 50% vs Linek 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stapor -1 · Linek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Stapor)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stapor form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStapor 1.83 / Linek 1.87
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Stapor)+3.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13094270
Stapor1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 411 of 648
Up 2–0, closes it96% 204 of 212
Up 1–0, closes it82% 316 of 385
Linek1.87
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 163 of 394
Down 0–1, comes back26% 56 of 219
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 106
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStapor6wins
AwayLinek4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderStapor leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStapor75%6 of 8
AwayLinekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stapor8Linek2n = 10Stapor took 8 of 10
S2Stapor6Linek4n = 10Stapor took 6 of 10
S3Stapor5Linek5n = 10split evenly
S4Stapor4Linek3n = 7Stapor took 4 of 7
S5Stapor1Linek2n = 3Linek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricStaporLinekS − LBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match39.433.1+6.3per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStaporLinekBasisWin rate · lifetime635 / 1121 vs 772 / 166056.7%46.5%635 / 1121 vs 772 / 1660Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.937.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StaporStapor 1.83/Linek 1.87
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Stapor · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Stapor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 6 · 07:40R. Stapor—11165692A. Linek—5141111113
WJul 30 · 03:00R. Stapor—11711113A. Linek—611691
WJul 29 · 11:20R. Stapor—1111123A. Linek—48100
WJul 29 · 03:20R. Stapor—1111113A. Linek—3620
WJul 28 · 06:00R. Stapor—1111113A. Linek—4730
LJul 19 · 17:45R. Stapor—1161081A. Linek—41112113
WJun 18 · 09:50R. Stapor—118511113A. Linek—91111762
WJun 11 · 15:50R. Stapor—111111113A. Linek—451351
LJun 8 · 15:25R. Stapor—10101161A. Linek—12126113
LMar 11 · 19:10R. Stapor—81251192A. Linek—1110117113
R. Stapor10
LSep 9 · 07:15B. Czerwinski1.8041113113R. Stapor1.911141181LSep 9 · 05:15B. Sulkowski1.8291111113R. Stapor1.90118661LSep 9 · 04:25D. Solilo1.701112113R. Stapor2.0071090WSep 9 · 03:00M. Minda1.71111171072R. Stapor2.00991112113WSep 8 · 08:10R. Stapor1.731211123A. Myszewski2.00107100LSep 8 · 06:30K. Sulkowski2.051111113R. Stapor1.656860WSep 8 · 05:40J. Glanowski1.708950R. Stapor1.911111113LSep 8 · 03:50R. Stapor1.49611891D. Wrobel2.3411511113WSep 3 · 13:55A. Mugowski2.5094100R. Stapor1.471111123LSep 3 · 13:05M. Kolek1.5012115123R. Stapor2.4010911101
A. Linek10
LSep 8 · 08:35J. Glanowski1.901523911173A. Linek1.801325118152WSep 8 · 07:20A. Linek1.75101111143A. Myszewski1.981289121LSep 8 · 06:05D. Wrobel2.35911113113A. Linek1.5011681182WSep 8 · 03:25K. Sulkowski2.208650A. Linek1.571111113LSep 7 · 24:35A. Linek1.97136681B. Sulkowski1.71111111113WSep 6 · 23:45A. Lilien1.66118991A. Linek2.1071111113WSep 6 · 22:35A. Linek1.60412811113M. Trela2.15111011842LSep 6 · 21:55A. Myszewski1.9091111113A. Linek1.75115821WAug 25 · 13:55A. Linek2.251111412113A. Sobel1.5426111482WAug 25 · 12:40A. Linek2.23911116113P. Blocho1.5611941142
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