TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13094265
Played Sep 8Finished
Jakub Glanowski
Home
1.70
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811911511––––
Rafal Stapor
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:03 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRafal Stapor to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
55 points played in total.
Set by set
811911511––––
H2H Jakub Glanowski 13–9 Rafal Stapor Rafal Stapor has won 9 of their 22 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:03What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.70 (53%)
Glanowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-9 in 22
Glanowski
Wrong
gap of 4 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Glanowski 1409 vs Stapor 1455
Stapor
Correct
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Glanowski 0% vs Stapor 40%
Stapor
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Glanowski 20% vs Stapor 50%
Stapor
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Glanowski -5 · Stapor +1
Glanowski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Glanowski) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stapor form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGlanowski 1.70 / Stapor 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Glanowski)+1.1pp
TT Elite Series · #13094265
Glanowski1.70
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite60% won 217 of 361
Up 2–0, closes it91% 109 of 120
Up 1–0, closes it73% 157 of 214
Stapor1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 103 of 278
Down 0–1, comes back17% 30 of 174
Down 0–2, comes back7% 7 of 99
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGlanowski6wins
AwayStapor4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderGlanowski leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGlanowski83.3%5 of 6
AwayStapor75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Glanowski6Stapor4n = 10Glanowski took 6 of 10
S2Glanowski6Stapor4n = 10Glanowski took 6 of 10
S3Glanowski3Stapor7n = 10Stapor took 7 of 10
S4Glanowski4Stapor4n = 8split evenly
S5Glanowski3Stapor1n = 4Glanowski took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricGlanowskiStaporG − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.037.9−1.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGlanowskiStaporBasisWin rate · lifetime882 / 1793 vs 637 / 112449.2%56.7%882 / 1793 vs 637 / 1124Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GlanowskiGlanowski 1.70/Stapor 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Glanowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Stapor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 05:40J. Glanowski—8950R. Stapor—1111113
WSep 2 · 11:25J. Glanowski—11511113R. Stapor—711671
LAug 23 · 06:25J. Glanowski—71111492R. Stapor—118811113
WAug 20 · 13:05J. Glanowski—713611113R. Stapor—111111742
WAug 20 · 03:20J. Glanowski—11115113R. Stapor—941171
WAug 12 · 03:20J. Glanowski—1111123R. Stapor—73100
LJul 26 · 01:25J. Glanowski—112461R. Stapor—71111113
WJul 25 · 22:55J. Glanowski—1151011113R. Stapor—71112882
WJul 24 · 07:15J. Glanowski—111134113R. Stapor—99111162
LJul 24 · 04:50J. Glanowski—411481R. Stapor—11611113
J. Glanowski10
WSep 8 · 06:55J. Glanowski1.471991111113D. Wrobel2.40171113972LSep 8 · 04:10J. Glanowski1.90711119112K. Sulkowski1.75116711133LSep 8 · 03:00J. Glanowski1.605111151A. Myszewski2.0611913113LSep 4 · 24:10J. Kuzmicz1.221111113J. Glanowski4.007890LSep 3 · 23:45J. Glanowski2.2561060M. Kolek1.571112113LSep 3 · 22:55J. Glanowski3.75121050M. Rutkowski1.251412113LSep 3 · 21:00J. Glanowski2.7511631152J. Chmielowski1.40811118113WSep 3 · 08:30G. Poliniewicz1.45891111102J. Glanowski2.50111188123WSep 3 · 07:15J. Glanowski1.861311114113K. Rudomina1.8015751182LSep 3 · 06:00J. Zochniak1.47119311173J. Glanowski2.45811114152
R. Stapor10
LSep 8 · 06:30K. Sulkowski2.051111113R. Stapor1.656860WSep 8 · 04:55R. Stapor1.831151110113A. Linek1.8781171272LSep 8 · 03:50R. Stapor1.49611891D. Wrobel2.3411511113WSep 3 · 13:55A. Mugowski2.5094100R. Stapor1.471111123LSep 3 · 13:05M. Kolek1.5012115123R. Stapor2.4010911101LSep 3 · 12:15R. Stapor2.156118101J. Witkowski1.6011711123LSep 3 · 10:35R. Stapor1.86118111192B. Czerwinski1.80611813113WSep 3 · 09:50A. Lilien1.65613481R. Stapor2.07111111113LSep 3 · 08:35A. Mugowski2.1511511113R. Stapor1.60411961WSep 3 · 07:20R. Stapor1.3891115113S. Wnek2.751151381
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