TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13100379
Played Sep 9Finished
Bartosz Sulkowski
Home
1.82
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911118116116––
Rafal Stapor
Away
1.90
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:01 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeBartosz Sulkowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
73 points played in total.
Set by set
911118116116––
H2H Bartosz Sulkowski 17–13 Rafal Stapor Rafal Stapor has won 13 of their 30 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:01What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.82 (51%)
Sulkowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-13 in 30
Sulkowski
Correct
gap of 4 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sulkowski 1428 vs Stapor 1471
Stapor
Wrong
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sulkowski 40% vs Stapor 60%
Stapor
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sulkowski 40% vs Stapor 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sulkowski +1 · Stapor -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sulkowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sulkowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSulkowski 1.82 / Stapor 1.90
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sulkowski)+2.9pp
TT Elite Series · #13100379
Sulkowski1.82
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite58% won 209 of 359
Up 2–0, closes it98% 95 of 97
Up 1–0, closes it82% 152 of 186
Stapor1.90
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 105 of 279
Down 0–1, comes back18% 31 of 174
Down 0–2, comes back8% 8 of 100
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSulkowski5wins
AwayStapor5wins
Level at 5–5.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSulkowski100%5 of 5
AwayStapor100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sulkowski5Stapor5n = 10split evenly
S2Sulkowski5Stapor5n = 10split evenly
S3Sulkowski4Stapor6n = 10Stapor took 6 of 10
S4Sulkowski3Stapor2n = 5Sulkowski took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSulkowskiStaporSulkowski − StaporBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match32.032.00.0per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSulkowskiStaporBasisWin rate · lifetime544 / 1232 vs 639 / 112744.2%56.7%544 / 1232 vs 639 / 1127Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SulkowskiSulkowski 1.82/Stapor 1.90
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Sulkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sulkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 06:05B. Sulkowski—94100R. Stapor—1111123
WAug 27 · 14:20B. Sulkowski—11115133R. Stapor—5511111
LAug 26 · 09:25B. Sulkowski—9920R. Stapor—1111113
WAug 23 · 21:55B. Sulkowski—11128113R. Stapor—7101141
WAug 22 · 15:00B. Sulkowski—1111123R. Stapor—47100
LAug 20 · 14:40B. Sulkowski—8390R. Stapor—1111113
WAug 19 · 09:25B. Sulkowski—111111113R. Stapor—881361
LAug 13 · 11:50B. Sulkowski—751251R. Stapor—111110113
WAug 12 · 13:55B. Sulkowski—1111113R. Stapor—6960
LAug 10 · 08:10B. Sulkowski—991161R. Stapor—11113113
B. Sulkowski10
WSep 10 · 05:30B. Sulkowski1.851211113R. Stapor1.8510490LSep 10 · 04:00D. Kosmal1.30163118113B. Sulkowski3.10141141172WSep 10 · 03:20B. Sulkowski2.2511118113P. Blocho1.54671191LSep 9 · 07:40B. Sulkowski2.45851131D. Solilo1.4511118113LSep 9 · 06:25B. Sulkowski2.206870P. Blocho1.571111113WSep 9 · 04:00M. Minda1.73711941B. Sulkowski1.9811911113LSep 9 · 03:20B. Sulkowski2.301051181B. Czerwinski1.5512118113WSep 8 · 14:40S. Brud1.60611961B. Sulkowski2.1511711113LSep 8 · 13:30B. Sulkowski1.7431151182A. Myszewski1.95115116113LSep 8 · 12:15A. Sobel1.60111110113B. Sulkowski2.15961261
R. Stapor10
LSep 10 · 05:30B. Sulkowski1.851211113R. Stapor1.8510490LSep 10 · 04:20A. Linek1.831113116113R. Stapor1.8171571192LSep 10 · 03:00D. Kosmal1.251111113R. Stapor3.354690LSep 9 · 08:05P. Blocho1.6561111113R. Stapor2.02119791LSep 9 · 07:15B. Czerwinski1.8041113113R. Stapor1.911141181LSep 9 · 04:25D. Solilo1.701112113R. Stapor2.0071090WSep 9 · 03:00M. Minda1.71111171072R. Stapor2.00991112113WSep 8 · 08:10R. Stapor1.731211123A. Myszewski2.00107100LSep 8 · 06:30K. Sulkowski2.051111113R. Stapor1.656860WSep 8 · 05:40J. Glanowski1.708950R. Stapor1.911111113
Upcoming Matches
B. Sulkowski
Sep 10 · 06:35B. Sulkowski2.00F. Krcil1.71—Sep 10 · 07:40B. Sulkowski2.00A. Linek1.67—Sep 10 · 09:50B. Sulkowski2.25P. Blocho1.54—Sep 10 · 11:00B. Sulkowski2.48B. Czerwinski1.43—Sep 10 · 11:50B. Sulkowski1.90M. Misiak1.80—Sep 10 · 12:40B. Sulkowski1.93A. Linek1.72—Sep 10 · 14:20B. Sulkowski2.55D. Solilo1.41—
R. Stapor
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.