TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13098006
Played Sep 9Finished
Bartosz Sulkowski
Home
2.30
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012511118811––
Bartosz Czerwinski
Away
1.55
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:39 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeBartosz Czerwinski to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
76 points played in total.
Set by set
1012511118811––
H2H Bartosz Sulkowski 3–7 Bartosz Czerwinski Bartosz Sulkowski has won 3 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:39What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.55 (60%)
Czerwinski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-7 in 10
Czerwinski
Correct
gap of 4 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sulkowski 1425 vs Czerwinski 1455
Czerwinski
Correct
both rated, 30 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sulkowski 60% vs Czerwinski 40%
Sulkowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sulkowski 40% vs Czerwinski 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sulkowski +1 · Czerwinski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Czerwinski) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Czerwinski form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSulkowski 2.30 / Czerwinski 1.55
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Czerwinski)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13098006
Sulkowski2.30
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog32% won 163 of 510
Down 0–1, comes back17% 51 of 295
Down 0–2, comes back2% 3 of 138
Czerwinski1.55
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 73 of 121
Up 2–0, closes it100% 31 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it81% 52 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSulkowski3wins
AwayCzerwinski7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderCzerwinski leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSulkowski75%3 of 4
AwayCzerwinski100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sulkowski4Czerwinski6n = 10Czerwinski took 6 of 10
S2Sulkowski4Czerwinski6n = 10Czerwinski took 6 of 10
S3Sulkowski3Czerwinski7n = 10Czerwinski took 7 of 10
S4Sulkowski1Czerwinski7n = 8Czerwinski took 7 of 8
S5Sulkowski3Czerwinski1n = 4Sulkowski took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSulkowskiCzerwinskiS − CBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.842.6−5.8per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSulkowskiCzerwinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime543 / 1230 vs 496 / 106744.2%46.5%543 / 1230 vs 496 / 1067Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CzerwinskiSulkowski 2.30/Czerwinski 1.55
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.3%
Czerwinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Czerwinski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 30 · 06:50B. Sulkowski—119138113B. Czerwinski—911111142
LJun 30 · 04:25B. Sulkowski—112961B. Czerwinski—81111113
LJun 29 · 14:20B. Sulkowski—611661B. Czerwinski—11811113
LJun 11 · 03:00B. Sulkowski—511571B. Czerwinski—11911113
LJun 9 · 08:10B. Sulkowski—88111172B. Czerwinski—111188113
WJun 8 · 03:25B. Sulkowski—1111811113B. Czerwinski—99111362
LJun 2 · 03:25B. Sulkowski—12121091B. Czerwinski—141012113
LMay 29 · 05:15B. Sulkowski—9890B. Czerwinski—1111113
WMay 27 · 05:15B. Sulkowski—113117113B. Czerwinski—71191182
LMay 22 · 06:40B. Sulkowski—9670B. Czerwinski—1111113
B. Sulkowski10
WSep 9 · 04:00M. Minda1.73711941B. Sulkowski1.9811911113WSep 8 · 14:40S. Brud1.60611961B. Sulkowski2.1511711113LSep 8 · 13:30B. Sulkowski1.7431151182A. Myszewski1.95115116113LSep 8 · 12:15A. Sobel1.60111110113B. Sulkowski2.15961261WSep 8 · 11:00A. Lilien1.8010911111B. Sulkowski1.9012116133WSep 8 · 09:25J. Glanowski1.87118781B. Sulkowski1.8351111113LSep 8 · 24:35B. Sulkowski3.75811781K. Kapik1.2511211113LSep 7 · 23:45K. Kostyk1.5011411113B. Sulkowski2.50511591LSep 7 · 22:35B. Sulkowski3.5095100K. Staszczyk1.281111123LSep 7 · 21:50M. Rutkowski1.171111113B. Sulkowski4.507880
B. Czerwinski10
LSep 8 · 07:40B. Czerwinski1.85891281S. Brud1.85111110113WSep 8 · 06:25B. Czerwinski1.901121011113M. Minda1.8091112782LSep 8 · 05:15B. Czerwinski1.75871481A. Lilien1.95111112113WSep 8 · 04:00A. Sobel1.80114751B. Czerwinski1.9071111113LSep 8 · 03:20B. Czerwinski4.056770M. Sklensky1.171111113LSep 7 · 07:40B. Czerwinski1.40119871B. Wisniewski2.7541111113LSep 7 · 06:30B. Czerwinski1.86115751S. Brud1.8361111113WSep 7 · 05:15B. Czerwinski1.541111113K. Sulkowski2.254950WSep 7 · 04:10A. Szoltysek2.6511561182B. Czerwinski1.40711119113WSep 7 · 03:25B. Czerwinski—117118113M. Zwolinski—71161132
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