TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13094362
Played Sep 8Finished
Bartosz Czerwinski
Home
1.90
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1192111012117118
Michal Minda
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:46 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Minda to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
92 points played in total.
Set by set
1192111012117118
H2H Bartosz Czerwinski 5–3 Michal Minda Michal Minda has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:46What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Minda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-3 in 8
Czerwinski
Correct
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Czerwinski 1455 vs Minda 1510
Minda
Wrong
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Czerwinski 20% vs Minda 80%
Minda
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Czerwinski 60% vs Minda 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Czerwinski -1 · Minda +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Minda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Minda form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCzerwinski 1.90 / Minda 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Minda)+2.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13094362
Czerwinski1.90
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 29 of 79
Down 0–1, comes back24% 11 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 24
Minda1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 302 of 490
Up 2–0, closes it97% 127 of 131
Up 1–0, closes it81% 225 of 278
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeCzerwinski5wins
AwayMinda3wins
3 of 8 to a deciderCzerwinski leads 5–3, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCzerwinski80%4 of 5
AwayMinda66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Czerwinski5Minda3n = 8Czerwinski took 5 of 8
S2Czerwinski3Minda5n = 8Minda took 5 of 8
S3Czerwinski6Minda2n = 8Czerwinski took 6 of 8
S4Czerwinski3Minda2n = 5Czerwinski took 3 of 5
S5Czerwinski2Minda1n = 3Czerwinski took 2 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home338%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricCzerwinskiMindaC − MBasisWins53+2in 8 meetingsFirst set53+2of 8Avg pointsper match40.838.2+2.6per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCzerwinskiMindaBasisWin rate · lifetime496 / 1067 vs 1031 / 202146.5%51%496 / 1067 vs 1031 / 2021Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.839.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MindaCzerwinski 1.90/Minda 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Minda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Czerwinski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 8 · 06:25B. Czerwinski—1121011113M. Minda—91112782
WJun 29 · 11:00B. Czerwinski—1111143M. Minda—48120
LJun 17 · 06:05B. Czerwinski—137611112M. Minda—1111119133
LJun 17 · 03:50B. Czerwinski—6820121M. Minda—111118143
WJun 16 · 05:40B. Czerwinski—1111113M. Minda—4680
WJun 16 · 03:25B. Czerwinski—1111113M. Minda—4690
LMay 29 · 03:25B. Czerwinski—991151M. Minda—11119113
WMay 20 · 03:25B. Czerwinski—1081111113M. Minda—12118972
B. Czerwinski10
LSep 8 · 07:40B. Czerwinski1.85891281S. Brud1.85111110113LSep 8 · 05:15B. Czerwinski1.75871481A. Lilien1.95111112113WSep 8 · 04:00A. Sobel1.80114751B. Czerwinski1.9071111113LSep 8 · 03:20B. Czerwinski4.056770M. Sklensky1.171111113LSep 7 · 07:40B. Czerwinski1.40119871B. Wisniewski2.7541111113LSep 7 · 06:30B. Czerwinski1.86115751S. Brud1.8361111113WSep 7 · 05:15B. Czerwinski1.541111113K. Sulkowski2.254950WSep 7 · 04:10A. Szoltysek2.6511561182B. Czerwinski1.40711119113WSep 7 · 03:25B. Czerwinski—117118113M. Zwolinski—71161132WSep 3 · 14:20A. Lilien2.05116117102B. Czerwinski1.66511711123
M. Minda10
LSep 8 · 08:05M. Minda1.7610670A. Lilien1.881211113WSep 8 · 05:35A. Sobel1.801011891M. Minda1.8512211113LSep 8 · 04:50M. Minda4.28731191M. Sklensky1.1411118113WSep 8 · 03:40M. Minda1.821111113S. Brud1.884840WSep 7 · 14:20M. Minda1.421111113J. Nosiadek2.606970WSep 7 · 12:40A. Szoltysek2.851051171M. Minda1.3512114113LSep 7 · 11:50A. Sobel1.901110167133M. Minda1.809121411112WSep 7 · 11:00M. Minda1.907111111113S. Brud1.8011813872WSep 7 · 09:50M. Minda1.2571111113M. Zwolinski3.40113531LSep 7 · 08:05M. Minda1.5910860D. Solilo2.161211113
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