TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13099707
Played Sep 9Finished
Michal Minda
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711119911411––
Bartosz Sulkowski
Away
1.98
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:49 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeBartosz Sulkowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
73 points played in total.
Set by set
711119911411––
H2H Michal Minda 20–22 Bartosz Sulkowski Michal Minda has won 20 of their 42 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:49What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (53%)
Minda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-22 in 42
Sulkowski
Correct
gap of 2 in 42, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Minda 1497 vs Sulkowski 1414
Minda
Wrong
both rated, 83 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Minda 20% vs Sulkowski 40%
Sulkowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Minda 50% vs Sulkowski 30%
Minda
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Minda -3 · Sulkowski -1
Minda
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Minda) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sulkowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (51%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMinda 1.73 / Sulkowski 1.98
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Minda)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13099707
Minda1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 302 of 490
Up 2–0, closes it97% 127 of 131
Up 1–0, closes it81% 225 of 278
Sulkowski1.98
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog32% won 163 of 510
Down 0–1, comes back17% 51 of 295
Down 0–2, comes back2% 3 of 138
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMinda5wins
AwaySulkowski5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMinda50%4 of 8
AwaySulkowskin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Minda8Sulkowski2n = 10Minda took 8 of 10
S2Minda3Sulkowski7n = 10Sulkowski took 7 of 10
S3Minda6Sulkowski4n = 10Minda took 6 of 10
S4Minda5Sulkowski5n = 10split evenly
S5Minda2Sulkowski4n = 6Sulkowski took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMindaSulkowskiM − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match44.244.0+0.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMindaSulkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime1027 / 2016 vs 543 / 123150.9%44.1%1027 / 2016 vs 543 / 1231Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.237.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MindaMinda 1.73/Sulkowski 1.98
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.6%
Minda · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sulkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 20 · 13:30M. Minda—11118872B. Sulkowski—981111113
WAug 5 · 13:30M. Minda—111011113B. Sulkowski—712881
LJul 15 · 11:50M. Minda—11111091B. Sulkowski—81312113
WJul 11 · 12:10M. Minda—11911113B. Sulkowski—511871
LJul 10 · 13:30M. Minda—611111162B. Sulkowski—117138113
LJun 29 · 13:30M. Minda—1311114112B. Sulkowski—1113911133
WJun 26 · 13:55M. Minda—911117113B. Sulkowski—11551152
WJun 25 · 11:25M. Minda—134411113B. Sulkowski—111111582
LJun 24 · 12:15M. Minda—11511382B. Sulkowski—711911113
WJun 19 · 09:50M. Minda—111211123B. Sulkowski—9148101
M. Minda10
LSep 9 · 03:00M. Minda1.71111171072R. Stapor2.00991112113LSep 8 · 08:05M. Minda1.7610670A. Lilien1.881211113LSep 8 · 06:25B. Czerwinski1.901121011113M. Minda1.8091112782WSep 8 · 05:35A. Sobel1.801011891M. Minda1.8512211113LSep 8 · 04:50M. Minda4.28731191M. Sklensky1.1411118113WSep 8 · 03:40M. Minda1.821111113S. Brud1.884840WSep 7 · 14:20M. Minda1.421111113J. Nosiadek2.606970WSep 7 · 12:40A. Szoltysek2.851051171M. Minda1.3512114113LSep 7 · 11:50A. Sobel1.901110167133M. Minda1.809121411112WSep 7 · 11:00M. Minda1.907111111113S. Brud1.8011813872
B. Sulkowski10
LSep 9 · 03:20B. Sulkowski2.301051181B. Czerwinski1.5512118113WSep 8 · 14:40S. Brud1.60611961B. Sulkowski2.1511711113LSep 8 · 13:30B. Sulkowski1.7431151182A. Myszewski1.95115116113LSep 8 · 12:15A. Sobel1.60111110113B. Sulkowski2.15961261WSep 8 · 11:00A. Lilien1.8010911111B. Sulkowski1.9012116133WSep 8 · 09:25J. Glanowski1.87118781B. Sulkowski1.8351111113LSep 8 · 24:35B. Sulkowski3.75811781K. Kapik1.2511211113LSep 7 · 23:45K. Kostyk1.5011411113B. Sulkowski2.50511591LSep 7 · 22:35B. Sulkowski3.5095100K. Staszczyk1.281111123LSep 7 · 21:50M. Rutkowski1.171111113B. Sulkowski4.507880
Upcoming Matches
M. Minda
Sep 9 · 05:35M. Minda1.83P. Blocho1.86—Sep 9 · 06:50M. Minda2.00D. Solilo1.67—Sep 9 · 08:30M. Minda1.95B. Czerwinski1.70—Sep 9 · 09:50M. Minda1.50J. Krawczyk2.31—Sep 9 · 11:00M. Minda1.80P. Blocho1.84—Sep 9 · 11:50M. Minda1.66A. Lilien2.01—Sep 9 · 12:40M. Minda1.19M. Zwolinski3.90—Sep 9 · 14:20M. Minda1.35A. Szoltysek2.75—
B. Sulkowski
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