TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13105179
Played Sep 10Finished
Adam Linek
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1171315117611119
Rafal Stapor
Away
1.81
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:33 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdam Linek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
101 points played in total.
Set by set
1171315117611119
H2H Adam Linek 4–8 Rafal Stapor Adam Linek has won 4 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:33What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.81 (50%)
Stapor
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-8 in 12
Stapor
Wrong
gap of 4 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Linek 1444 vs Stapor 1405
Linek
Correct
both rated, 40 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Linek 40% vs Stapor 0%
Linek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Linek 50% vs Stapor 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Linek +1 · Stapor -5
Stapor
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Linek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stapor form (0%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLinek 1.83 / Stapor 1.81
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Linek)+4.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13105179
Linek1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 162 of 390
Down 0–1, comes back26% 57 of 218
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 104
Stapor1.81
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 405 of 637
Up 2–0, closes it96% 202 of 210
Up 1–0, closes it82% 312 of 381
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLinek2wins
AwayStapor8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderStapor leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLinekn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayStapor80%8 of 10
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Linek0Stapor10n = 10Stapor took 10 of 10
S2Linek5Stapor5n = 10split evenly
S3Linek4Stapor6n = 10Stapor took 6 of 10
S4Linek4Stapor3n = 7Linek took 4 of 7
S5Linek1Stapor3n = 4Stapor took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricLinekStaporL − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set010−10of 10Avg pointsper match34.141.5−7.4per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLinekStaporBasisWin rate · lifetime774 / 1665 vs 639 / 113246.5%56.5%774 / 1665 vs 639 / 1132Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LinekLinek 1.83/Stapor 1.81
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Linek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Linek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 04:55A. Linek—81171272R. Stapor—1151110113
LAug 23 · 22:35A. Linek—912151192R. Stapor—1110176113
WAug 6 · 07:40A. Linek—5141111113R. Stapor—11165692
LJul 30 · 03:00A. Linek—611691R. Stapor—11711113
LJul 29 · 11:20A. Linek—48100R. Stapor—1111123
LJul 29 · 03:20A. Linek—3620R. Stapor—1111113
LJul 28 · 06:00A. Linek—4730R. Stapor—1111113
WJul 19 · 17:45A. Linek—41112113R. Stapor—1161081
LJun 18 · 09:50A. Linek—91111762R. Stapor—118511113
LJun 11 · 15:50A. Linek—451351R. Stapor—111111113
A. Linek10
WSep 10 · 03:40F. Krcil1.80111171152A. Linek1.86813115113LSep 8 · 08:35J. Glanowski1.901523911173A. Linek1.801325118152WSep 8 · 07:20A. Linek1.75101111143A. Myszewski1.981289121LSep 8 · 06:05D. Wrobel2.35911113113A. Linek1.5011681182LSep 8 · 04:55R. Stapor1.831151110113A. Linek1.8781171272WSep 8 · 03:25K. Sulkowski2.208650A. Linek1.571111113LSep 7 · 24:35A. Linek1.97136681B. Sulkowski1.71111111113WSep 6 · 23:45A. Lilien1.66118991A. Linek2.1071111113WSep 6 · 22:35A. Linek1.60412811113M. Trela2.15111011842LSep 6 · 21:55A. Myszewski1.9091111113A. Linek1.75115821
R. Stapor10
LSep 10 · 05:30B. Sulkowski1.851211113R. Stapor1.8510490LSep 10 · 03:00D. Kosmal1.251111113R. Stapor3.354690LSep 9 · 08:05P. Blocho1.6561111113R. Stapor2.02119791LSep 9 · 07:15B. Czerwinski1.8041113113R. Stapor1.911141181LSep 9 · 05:15B. Sulkowski1.8291111113R. Stapor1.90118661LSep 9 · 04:25D. Solilo1.701112113R. Stapor2.0071090WSep 9 · 03:00M. Minda1.71111171072R. Stapor2.00991112113WSep 8 · 08:10R. Stapor1.731211123A. Myszewski2.00107100LSep 8 · 06:30K. Sulkowski2.051111113R. Stapor1.656860WSep 8 · 04:55R. Stapor1.831151110113A. Linek1.8781171272
Upcoming Matches
A. Linek
Sep 10 · 06:15A. Linek2.07P. Blocho1.62—Sep 10 · 06:55A. Linek3.25D. Kosmal1.26—Sep 10 · 07:40A. Linek1.67B. Sulkowski2.00—Sep 10 · 09:25A. Linek2.32B. Czerwinski1.49—Sep 10 · 10:10A. Linek1.74M. Misiak1.90—Sep 10 · 11:25A. Linek2.33D. Solilo1.49—Sep 10 · 12:40A. Linek1.72B. Sulkowski1.93—Sep 10 · 13:55A. Linek2.07P. Blocho1.62—
R. Stapor
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