TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13103020
Played Sep 10Finished
Dawid Kosmal
Home
1.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114116119––––
Rafal Stapor
Away
3.35
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:38 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDawid Kosmal to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
52 points played in total.
Set by set
114116119––––
H2H Dawid Kosmal 4–3 Rafal Stapor Rafal Stapor has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:38What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (73%)
Kosmal
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kosmal 1637 vs Stapor 1437
Kosmal
Correct
both rated, 200 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kosmal 20% vs Stapor 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kosmal 50% vs Stapor 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kosmal +1 · Stapor -4
Stapor
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Kosmal) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kosmal form (20%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKosmal 1.25 / Stapor 3.35
Signal prob.76% / 24%
Edge (Kosmal)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13103020
Kosmal1.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite64% won 166 of 258
Up 2–0, closes it96% 89 of 93
Up 1–0, closes it83% 135 of 163
Stapor3.35
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 105 of 279
Down 0–1, comes back18% 31 of 174
Down 0–2, comes back8% 8 of 100
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeKosmal4wins
AwayStapor3wins
3 of 7 to a deciderKosmal leads 4–3, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKosmal60%3 of 5
AwayStaporn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kosmal5Stapor2n = 7Kosmal took 5 of 7
S2Kosmal4Stapor3n = 7Kosmal took 4 of 7
S3Kosmal6Stapor1n = 7Kosmal took 6 of 7
S4Kosmal1Stapor3n = 4Stapor took 3 of 4
S5Kosmal1Stapor2n = 3Stapor took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home343%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricKosmalStaporK − SBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set52+3of 7Avg pointsper match39.335.1+4.2per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosmalStaporBasisWin rate · lifetime352 / 648 vs 639 / 113154.3%56.5%352 / 648 vs 639 / 1131Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosmalKosmal 1.25/Stapor 3.35
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76%
Kosmal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kosmal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 10 · 03:00D. Kosmal—1111113R. Stapor—4690
LAug 5 · 08:30D. Kosmal—111161182R. Stapor—813119113
WAug 4 · 07:15D. Kosmal—1211123R. Stapor—105100
WJul 24 · 06:25D. Kosmal—1111113R. Stapor—6960
LJul 24 · 04:00D. Kosmal—11611962R. Stapor—911611113
WJun 23 · 08:30D. Kosmal—1011116113R. Stapor—12841152
LJun 23 · 06:00D. Kosmal—1071171R. Stapor—12117113
D. Kosmal10
WSep 1 · 14:15M. Sklensky1.908780D. Kosmal1.801111113LSep 1 · 13:25D. Prokopcov1.851111113D. Kosmal1.854660LSep 1 · 11:20A. Spychala2.00116118113D. Kosmal1.7171171162LSep 1 · 10:30K. Wisniewski2.20611117113D. Kosmal1.5811661182LSep 1 · 09:00L. Jarocki1.7071111113D. Kosmal2.00118961WSep 1 · 07:40D. Kosmal1.371111113G. Kesik2.758780WSep 1 · 06:25D. Kosmal1.301113113M. Minda3.2091160LSep 1 · 05:15D. Kosmal1.52118841J. Zochniak2.3061111113WSep 1 · 04:00S. Brud3.40114981D. Kosmal1.2671111113WSep 1 · 03:20D. Kosmal1.3214117113A. Sobel3.051291151
R. Stapor10
LSep 9 · 08:05P. Blocho1.6561111113R. Stapor2.02119791LSep 9 · 07:15B. Czerwinski1.8041113113R. Stapor1.911141181LSep 9 · 05:15B. Sulkowski1.8291111113R. Stapor1.90118661LSep 9 · 04:25D. Solilo1.701112113R. Stapor2.0071090WSep 9 · 03:00M. Minda1.71111171072R. Stapor2.00991112113WSep 8 · 08:10R. Stapor1.731211123A. Myszewski2.00107100LSep 8 · 06:30K. Sulkowski2.051111113R. Stapor1.656860WSep 8 · 05:40J. Glanowski1.708950R. Stapor1.911111113WSep 8 · 04:55R. Stapor1.831151110113A. Linek1.8781171272LSep 8 · 03:50R. Stapor1.49611891D. Wrobel2.3411511113
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