TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13105182
Played Sep 10Finished
Dawid Kosmal
Home
1.30
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1614311114811117
Bartosz Sulkowski
Away
3.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:33 and never touched — 57.1% is still 57.1%
Graded at full timeDawid Kosmal to win
57.1%
57.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
96 points played in total.
Set by set
1614311114811117
H2H Dawid Kosmal 9–3 Bartosz Sulkowski Bartosz Sulkowski has won 3 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:33What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (70%)
Kosmal
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-3 in 12
Kosmal
Correct
gap of 6 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kosmal 1655 vs Sulkowski 1459
Kosmal
Correct
both rated, 196 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kosmal 40% vs Sulkowski 60%
Sulkowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kosmal 50% vs Sulkowski 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kosmal +2 · Sulkowski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Kosmal) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sulkowski form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (32%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKosmal 1.30 / Sulkowski 3.10
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Kosmal)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13105182
Kosmal1.30
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 167 of 259
Up 2–0, closes it96% 90 of 94
Up 1–0, closes it83% 136 of 164
Sulkowski3.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog32% won 164 of 510
Down 0–1, comes back17% 51 of 296
Down 0–2, comes back2% 3 of 139
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKosmal7wins
AwaySulkowski3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKosmal leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKosmal80%4 of 5
AwaySulkowski40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kosmal5Sulkowski5n = 10split evenly
S2Kosmal7Sulkowski3n = 10Kosmal took 7 of 10
S3Kosmal7Sulkowski3n = 10Kosmal took 7 of 10
S4Kosmal6Sulkowski1n = 7Kosmal took 6 of 7
S5Kosmal1Sulkowski2n = 3Sulkowski took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKosmalSulkowskiK − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.432.8+7.6per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosmalSulkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime353 / 649 vs 547 / 123754.4%44.2%353 / 649 vs 547 / 1237Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosmalKosmal 1.30/Sulkowski 3.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.9%
Kosmal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kosmal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 15 · 09:50D. Kosmal—111111113B. Sulkowski—134961
WJun 24 · 09:50D. Kosmal—1111113B. Sulkowski—7460
WMay 25 · 09:25D. Kosmal—613811113B. Sulkowski—111111572
LMay 12 · 12:15D. Kosmal—711911102B. Sulkowski—117117123
WApr 22 · 14:40D. Kosmal—1411113B. Sulkowski—12880
WApr 21 · 13:05D. Kosmal—111111113B. Sulkowski—132481
LMar 25 · 20:20D. Kosmal—571181B. Sulkowski—11117113
WMar 18 · 17:55D. Kosmal—11711113B. Sulkowski—611451
WMar 11 · 12:50D. Kosmal—1111113B. Sulkowski—8930
LFeb 24 · 20:40D. Kosmal—117711102B. Sulkowski—511116123
D. Kosmal10
WSep 10 · 05:55D. Kosmal1.551211113F. Krcil2.2010870WSep 10 · 03:00D. Kosmal1.251111113R. Stapor3.354690WSep 1 · 14:15M. Sklensky1.908780D. Kosmal1.801111113LSep 1 · 13:25D. Prokopcov1.851111113D. Kosmal1.854660LSep 1 · 11:20A. Spychala2.00116118113D. Kosmal1.7171171162LSep 1 · 10:30K. Wisniewski2.20611117113D. Kosmal1.5811661182LSep 1 · 09:00L. Jarocki1.7071111113D. Kosmal2.00118961WSep 1 · 07:40D. Kosmal1.371111113G. Kesik2.758780WSep 1 · 06:25D. Kosmal1.301113113M. Minda3.2091160LSep 1 · 05:15D. Kosmal1.52118841J. Zochniak2.3061111113
B. Sulkowski10
WSep 10 · 05:30B. Sulkowski1.851211113R. Stapor1.8510490WSep 10 · 03:20B. Sulkowski2.2511118113P. Blocho1.54671191LSep 9 · 07:40B. Sulkowski2.45851131D. Solilo1.4511118113LSep 9 · 06:25B. Sulkowski2.206870P. Blocho1.571111113WSep 9 · 05:15B. Sulkowski1.8291111113R. Stapor1.90118661WSep 9 · 04:00M. Minda1.73711941B. Sulkowski1.9811911113LSep 9 · 03:20B. Sulkowski2.301051181B. Czerwinski1.5512118113WSep 8 · 14:40S. Brud1.60611961B. Sulkowski2.1511711113LSep 8 · 13:30B. Sulkowski1.7431151182A. Myszewski1.95115116113LSep 8 · 12:15A. Sobel1.60111110113B. Sulkowski2.15961261
Upcoming Matches
D. Kosmal
B. Sulkowski
Sep 10 · 06:35B. Sulkowski2.00F. Krcil1.71—Sep 10 · 07:40B. Sulkowski2.00A. Linek1.67—Sep 10 · 09:50B. Sulkowski2.25P. Blocho1.54—Sep 10 · 11:00B. Sulkowski2.48B. Czerwinski1.43—Sep 10 · 11:50B. Sulkowski1.90M. Misiak1.80—Sep 10 · 12:40B. Sulkowski1.93A. Linek1.72—Sep 10 · 14:20B. Sulkowski2.55D. Solilo1.41—
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