TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13094795
Played Sep 8Finished
Karol Sulkowski
Home
1.85
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611116811711––
Dariusz Wrobel
Away
1.85
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:26 and never touched — 71.0% is still 71.0%
Graded at full timeKarol Sulkowski to win
71.0%
71.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
71 points played in total.
Set by set
611116811711––
H2H Karol Sulkowski 5–3 Dariusz Wrobel Dariusz Wrobel has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:26What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.85 (50%)
Wrobel
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-3 in 8
Sulkowski
Wrong
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sulkowski 1327 vs Wrobel 1313
Sulkowski
Wrong
both rated, 14 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sulkowski 40% vs Wrobel 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sulkowski 50% vs Wrobel 30%
Sulkowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sulkowski +1 · Wrobel -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sulkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wrobel form (40%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSulkowski 1.85 / Wrobel 1.85
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sulkowski)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13094795
Sulkowski1.85
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Wrobel1.85
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeSulkowski5wins
AwayWrobel3wins
2 of 8 to a deciderSulkowski leads 5–3, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSulkowski100%3 of 3
AwayWrobel60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sulkowski3Wrobel5n = 8Wrobel took 5 of 8
S2Sulkowski3Wrobel5n = 8Wrobel took 5 of 8
S3Sulkowski5Wrobel3n = 8Sulkowski took 5 of 8
S4Sulkowski4Wrobel3n = 7Sulkowski took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home338%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricSulkowskiWrobelS − WBasisWins53+2in 8 meetingsFirst set35−2of 8Avg pointsper match38.237.4+0.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSulkowskiWrobelBasisWin rate · lifetime627 / 1266 vs 550 / 114849.5%47.9%627 / 1266 vs 550 / 1148Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SulkowskiSulkowski 1.85/Wrobel 1.85
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Sulkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Wrobel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 8 · 07:40K. Sulkowski—611871D. Wrobel—11611113
LAug 20 · 04:55K. Sulkowski—961141D. Wrobel—11116113
WAug 8 · 08:10K. Sulkowski—11611113D. Wrobel—411851
WMay 30 · 24:45K. Sulkowski—119113113D. Wrobel—81191192
WMay 29 · 22:20K. Sulkowski—811911113D. Wrobel—11911772
LMar 21 · 07:40K. Sulkowski—6780D. Wrobel—1111113
WJan 28 · 24:45K. Sulkowski—11711113D. Wrobel—511571
WJan 27 · 22:20K. Sulkowski—161111113D. Wrobel—184891
K. Sulkowski10
WSep 8 · 06:30K. Sulkowski2.051111113R. Stapor1.656860LSep 8 · 05:15K. Sulkowski1.9591060A. Myszewski1.741112113WSep 8 · 04:10J. Glanowski1.90711119112K. Sulkowski1.75116711133LSep 8 · 03:25K. Sulkowski2.208650A. Linek1.571111113LSep 7 · 08:10S. Brud1.50611117113K. Sulkowski2.3511641142WSep 7 · 07:20M. Zwolinski2.009912101K. Sulkowski1.70111110123LSep 7 · 05:15B. Czerwinski1.541111113K. Sulkowski2.254950WSep 7 · 04:30B. Wisniewski2.3411791262K. Sulkowski1.519111110113LSep 7 · 03:00A. Szoltysek2.0512117113K. Sulkowski1.681021181WSep 6 · 14:40K. Golaszewski2.35571181K. Sulkowski1.5011118113
D. Wrobel10
LSep 8 · 06:55J. Glanowski1.471991111113D. Wrobel2.40171113972WSep 8 · 06:05D. Wrobel2.35911113113A. Linek1.5011681182LSep 8 · 04:30D. Wrobel2.0691190A. Myszewski1.621113113WSep 8 · 03:50R. Stapor1.49611891D. Wrobel2.3411511113LSep 5 · 08:05M. Minda1.451111143D. Wrobel2.4569120LSep 5 · 07:15J. Wozniak1.8581111113D. Wrobel1.80112571WSep 5 · 05:15W. Gronowski1.711131081D. Wrobel2.0071112113LSep 5 · 04:25J. Przewlocki1.801111113D. Wrobel1.864980LSep 5 · 03:00K. Klocek1.76111111113D. Wrobel1.90871361LAug 29 · 07:40D. Wrobel1.778911101K. Marchlewski1.9511119123
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