TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13099584
Played Sep 9Finished
Mikolaj Lukaszewski
Home
3.30
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
411611119311––
Aleksander Lilien
Away
1.27
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:08 and never touched — 57.3% is still 57.3%
Graded at full timeAleksander Lilien to win
57.3%
57.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
66 points played in total.
Set by set
411611119311––
H2H Mikolaj Lukaszewski 11–15 Aleksander Lilien Mikolaj Lukaszewski has won 11 of their 26 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:08What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.27 (72%)
Lilien
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-15 in 26
Lilien
Correct
gap of 4 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lukaszewski 1242 vs Lilien 1450
Lilien
Correct
both rated, 208 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lukaszewski 40% vs Lilien 60%
Lilien
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lukaszewski 30% vs Lilien 60%
Lilien
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lukaszewski -2 · Lilien +3
Lilien
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Lilien) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lilien form (60%) is below what odds imply (79%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLukaszewski 3.30 / Lilien 1.27
Signal prob.24% / 76%
Edge (Lilien)+3.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13099584
Lukaszewski3.30
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest0%takes the first set · 0 of 10
As underdog41% won 275 of 672
Down 0–1, comes back14% 54 of 375
Down 0–2, comes back2% 4 of 198
Lilien1.27
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 256 of 433
Up 2–0, closes it96% 131 of 136
Up 1–0, closes it77% 194 of 251
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLukaszewski5wins
AwayLilien5wins
Level at 5–5.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLukaszewski100%4 of 4
AwayLilien83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lukaszewski4Lilien6n = 10Lilien took 6 of 10
S2Lukaszewski8Lilien2n = 10Lukaszewski took 8 of 10
S3Lukaszewski6Lilien4n = 10Lukaszewski took 6 of 10
S4Lukaszewski2Lilien5n = 7Lilien took 5 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLukaszewskiLilienLukaszewski − LilienBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.536.4−1.9per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLukaszewskiLilienBasisWin rate · lifetime925 / 2031 vs 833 / 154045.5%54.1%925 / 2031 vs 833 / 1540Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.238.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LilienLukaszewski 3.30/Lilien 1.27
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.8%
Lilien · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Lilien won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 12:15M. Lukaszewski—81512113A. Lilien—11131081
WAug 18 · 04:30M. Lukaszewski—13711153A. Lilien—11115131
LFeb 10 · 11:30M. Lukaszewski—511591A. Lilien—11911113
LJan 28 · 13:35M. Lukaszewski—1011681A. Lilien—12911113
WJan 27 · 10:00M. Lukaszewski—1113113A. Lilien—91190
LJan 20 · 14:50M. Lukaszewski—411871A. Lilien—11411113
LDec 2 · 11:55M. Lukaszewski—351141A. Lilien—11119113
WNov 27 · 04:25M. Lukaszewski—1111153A. Lilien—75130
LNov 18 · 14:25M. Lukaszewski—811471A. Lilien—11911113
WOct 9 · 13:30M. Lukaszewski—1111113A. Lilien—4990
M. Lukaszewski10
LSep 4 · 13:55A. Myszewski1.28131111113M. Lukaszewski3.251113761LSep 4 · 13:05M. Misiak1.221111113M. Lukaszewski3.704840WSep 4 · 12:15M. Lukaszewski3.7581512113A. Lilien1.2211131081WSep 4 · 10:35M. Lukaszewski2.55811911113W. Gronowski1.4311911772LSep 4 · 09:50M. Minda1.23111111123M. Lukaszewski3.558134101WSep 4 · 08:35A. Myszewski1.411111111192M. Lukaszewski2.60213713113LSep 4 · 07:20M. Lukaszewski3.355770B. Sulkowski1.271111113LSep 4 · 06:05M. Misiak1.2511119113M. Lukaszewski3.45771121LSep 4 · 04:55W. Gronowski1.3611117113M. Lukaszewski2.80281171LSep 4 · 03:25K. Klocek1.651311113M. Lukaszewski2.0511810
A. Lilien10
WSep 9 · 04:30A. Lilien1.441111113A. Szoltysek2.509890WSep 8 · 14:20A. Lilien1.5711119113A. Myszewski2.20851191WSep 8 · 12:40J. Glanowski1.861175111A. Lilien1.8371111133WSep 8 · 11:50S. Brud1.8098111142A. Lilien1.90111197113LSep 8 · 11:00A. Lilien1.8010911111B. Sulkowski1.9012116133LSep 8 · 09:50A. Lilien2.00351391A. Sobel1.70111111113WSep 8 · 08:05M. Minda1.7610670A. Lilien1.881211113LSep 8 · 07:15M. Sklensky1.201111113A. Lilien3.953670WSep 8 · 05:15B. Czerwinski1.75871481A. Lilien1.95111112113LSep 4 · 12:15M. Lukaszewski3.7581512113A. Lilien1.2211131081
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A. Lilien
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