TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13096760
Played Sep 8Finished
Jakub Glanowski
Home
1.86
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1177115111113––
Aleksander Lilien
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:50 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeAleksander Lilien to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
76 points played in total.
Set by set
1177115111113––
H2H Jakub Glanowski 50–55 Aleksander Lilien Jakub Glanowski has won 50 of their 105 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:50What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Lilien
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
50-55 in 105
Lilien
Correct
gap of 5 in 105, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Glanowski 1417 vs Lilien 1429
Lilien
Correct
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Glanowski 60% vs Lilien 40%
Glanowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Glanowski 30% vs Lilien 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Glanowski +1 · Lilien +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Lilien) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lilien form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGlanowski 1.86 / Lilien 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Lilien)+3.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13096760
Glanowski1.86
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 162 of 390
Down 0–1, comes back21% 42 of 196
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 105
Lilien1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 256 of 433
Up 2–0, closes it96% 131 of 136
Up 1–0, closes it77% 194 of 251
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGlanowski6wins
AwayLilien4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderGlanowski leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGlanowski60%3 of 5
AwayLilien40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Glanowski5Lilien5n = 10split evenly
S2Glanowski7Lilien3n = 10Glanowski took 7 of 10
S3Glanowski5Lilien5n = 10split evenly
S4Glanowski3Lilien3n = 6split evenly
S5Glanowski2Lilien2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricGlanowskiLilienG − LBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.139.9+0.2per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGlanowskiLilienBasisWin rate · lifetime883 / 1793 vs 831 / 154149.3%53.9%883 / 1793 vs 831 / 1541Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LilienGlanowski 1.86/Lilien 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Lilien · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Lilien won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 26 · 08:05J. Glanowski—1112193A. Lilien—810170
LAug 24 · 05:40J. Glanowski—11118692A. Lilien—561111113
WAug 21 · 05:15J. Glanowski—1213123A. Lilien—1011100
WAug 20 · 04:50J. Glanowski—1141111113A. Lilien—71151382
LAug 19 · 04:25J. Glanowski—6770A. Lilien—1111113
LAug 9 · 21:30J. Glanowski—38110A. Lilien—1111133
WAug 9 · 17:45J. Glanowski—71111133A. Lilien—1167111
WAug 6 · 13:30J. Glanowski—911911113A. Lilien—11911962
LJul 26 · 15:25J. Glanowski—111175122A. Lilien—981111143
WJul 20 · 11:25J. Glanowski—111111153A. Lilien—1389131
J. Glanowski10
LSep 8 · 13:55J. Glanowski2.01118911112A. Sobel1.66811118133WSep 8 · 11:25J. Glanowski1.511111128113A. Myszewski2.2887141192LSep 8 · 10:10S. Brud1.75619612143J. Glanowski1.9511171110122LSep 8 · 09:25J. Glanowski1.87118781B. Sulkowski1.8351111113WSep 8 · 08:35J. Glanowski1.901523911173A. Linek1.801325118152WSep 8 · 06:55J. Glanowski1.471991111113D. Wrobel2.40171113972LSep 8 · 05:40J. Glanowski1.708950R. Stapor1.911111113LSep 8 · 04:10J. Glanowski1.90711119112K. Sulkowski1.75116711133LSep 8 · 03:00J. Glanowski1.605111151A. Myszewski2.0611913113LSep 4 · 24:10J. Kuzmicz1.221111113J. Glanowski4.007890
A. Lilien10
WSep 8 · 11:50S. Brud1.8098111142A. Lilien1.90111197113LSep 8 · 11:00A. Lilien1.8010911111B. Sulkowski1.9012116133LSep 8 · 09:50A. Lilien2.00351391A. Sobel1.70111111113WSep 8 · 08:05M. Minda1.7610670A. Lilien1.881211113LSep 8 · 07:15M. Sklensky1.201111113A. Lilien3.953670WSep 8 · 05:15B. Czerwinski1.75871481A. Lilien1.95111112113LSep 8 · 04:25S. Brud1.85101111113A. Lilien1.85129681WSep 8 · 03:00A. Sobel1.707101131A. Lilien1.9511127113LSep 7 · 24:10A. Myszewski2.401211113A. Lilien1.5110490LSep 6 · 23:45A. Lilien1.66118991A. Linek2.1071111113
Upcoming Matches
J. Glanowski
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A. Lilien
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