TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13096228
Played Sep 8Finished
Szymon Brud
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911811119117411
Aleksander Lilien
Away
1.90
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:30 and never touched — 62.1% is still 62.1%
Graded at full timeSzymon Brud to win
62.1%
62.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
92 points played in total.
Set by set
911811119117411
H2H Szymon Brud 7–4 Aleksander Lilien Aleksander Lilien has won 4 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:30What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Brud
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-4 in 11
Brud
Wrong
gap of 3 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Brud 1515 vs Lilien 1414
Brud
Wrong
both rated, 100 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Brud 60% vs Lilien 40%
Brud
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Brud 70% vs Lilien 30%
Brud
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Brud +3 · Lilien -2
Brud
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Brud) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lilien form (40%) is below what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrud 1.80 / Lilien 1.90
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Brud)+2.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13096228
Brud1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 191 of 298
Up 2–0, closes it94% 83 of 88
Up 1–0, closes it79% 133 of 168
Lilien1.90
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 93 of 258
Down 0–1, comes back18% 26 of 145
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 91
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBrud6wins
AwayLilien4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderBrud leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBrud100%4 of 4
AwayLilien66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Brud4Lilien6n = 10Lilien took 6 of 10
S2Brud6Lilien4n = 10Brud took 6 of 10
S3Brud5Lilien5n = 10split evenly
S4Brud3Lilien3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBrudLilienB − LBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.736.0−1.3per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrudLilienBasisWin rate · lifetime621 / 1200 vs 830 / 154051.8%53.9%621 / 1200 vs 830 / 1540Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrudBrud 1.80/Lilien 1.90
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Brud · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Lilien won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 04:25S. Brud—101111113A. Lilien—129681
WAug 18 · 14:40S. Brud—1111113A. Lilien—6840
LAug 17 · 14:20S. Brud—4480A. Lilien—1111113
WJun 19 · 10:55S. Brud—131326113A. Lilien—1111111152
WMay 6 · 13:30S. Brud—511811113A. Lilien—11811782
WApr 29 · 10:35S. Brud—11611143A. Lilien—4119121
LApr 29 · 07:20S. Brud—951181A. Lilien—11119113
WApr 28 · 14:40S. Brud—1411123A. Lilien—126100
LJan 6 · 18:45S. Brud—8660A. Lilien—1111113
LDec 21 · 20:50S. Brud—611781A. Lilien—11811113
S. Brud10
WSep 8 · 10:10S. Brud1.75619612143J. Glanowski1.9511171110122WSep 8 · 09:00S. Brud1.55111111113A. Myszewski2.25413681WSep 8 · 07:40B. Czerwinski1.85891281S. Brud1.85111110113LSep 8 · 06:50A. Sobel1.861071111113S. Brud1.8012116572LSep 8 · 06:00S. Brud4.0010450M. Sklensky1.211211113WSep 8 · 04:25S. Brud1.85101111113A. Lilien1.85129681LSep 8 · 03:40M. Minda1.821111113S. Brud1.884840WSep 7 · 14:40A. Sobel1.77121112742S. Brud1.951091411113WSep 7 · 13:30S. Brud1.3811611113J. Nosiadek2.75711781WSep 7 · 12:15M. Zwolinski3.401011731S. Brud1.2612911113
A. Lilien10
WSep 8 · 12:40J. Glanowski1.861175111A. Lilien1.8371111133LSep 8 · 11:00A. Lilien1.8010911111B. Sulkowski1.9012116133LSep 8 · 09:50A. Lilien2.00351391A. Sobel1.70111111113WSep 8 · 08:05M. Minda1.7610670A. Lilien1.881211113LSep 8 · 07:15M. Sklensky1.201111113A. Lilien3.953670WSep 8 · 05:15B. Czerwinski1.75871481A. Lilien1.95111112113LSep 8 · 04:25S. Brud1.85101111113A. Lilien1.85129681WSep 8 · 03:00A. Sobel1.707101131A. Lilien1.9511127113LSep 7 · 24:10A. Myszewski2.401211113A. Lilien1.5110490LSep 6 · 23:45A. Lilien1.66118991A. Linek2.1071111113
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