TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13091101
Played Sep 8Finished
Artur Sobel
Home
1.70
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7111012117311––
Aleksander Lilien
Away
1.95
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:47 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeArtur Sobel to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
72 points played in total.
Set by set
7111012117311––
H2H Artur Sobel 62–48 Aleksander Lilien Aleksander Lilien has won 48 of their 110 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:47What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.70 (53%)
Sobel
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
62-48 in 110
Sobel
Wrong
gap of 14 in 110, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sobel 1533 vs Lilien 1399
Sobel
Wrong
both rated, 134 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sobel 60% vs Lilien 40%
Sobel
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sobel 60% vs Lilien 30%
Sobel
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sobel -1 · Lilien -3
Lilien
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Sobel) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lilien form (40%) is below what odds imply (51%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSobel 1.70 / Lilien 1.95
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Sobel)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13091101
Sobel1.70
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 174 of 314
Up 2–0, closes it93% 71 of 76
Up 1–0, closes it77% 124 of 161
Lilien1.95
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog36% won 92 of 257
Down 0–1, comes back18% 26 of 145
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 91
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSobel6wins
AwayLilien4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSobel leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSobel75%3 of 4
AwayLilien50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sobel4Lilien6n = 10Lilien took 6 of 10
S2Sobel6Lilien4n = 10Sobel took 6 of 10
S3Sobel5Lilien5n = 10split evenly
S4Sobel7Lilien3n = 10Sobel took 7 of 10
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSobelLilienS − LBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.341.1−0.8per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSobelLilienBasisWin rate · lifetime637 / 1190 vs 832 / 154253.5%54%637 / 1190 vs 832 / 1542Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.838.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SobelSobel 1.70/Lilien 1.95
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.6%
Sobel · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Lilien won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 25 · 10:35A. Sobel—891111113A. Lilien—11116582
WAug 24 · 13:55A. Sobel—15116133A. Lilien—13911111
WAug 18 · 09:00A. Sobel—51113113A. Lilien—1191181
LAug 17 · 09:00A. Sobel—75111162A. Lilien—111178113
LJul 27 · 11:00A. Sobel—911561A. Lilien—11711113
WJul 20 · 10:35A. Sobel—11711113A. Lilien—611981
WJul 14 · 07:20A. Sobel—13119153A. Lilien—11911131
LJul 14 · 04:55A. Sobel—119471A. Lilien—91111113
WJul 7 · 06:05A. Sobel—91116113A. Lilien—1151461
LJul 7 · 03:50A. Sobel—4116101A. Lilien—11911123
A. Sobel10
WSep 8 · 13:55J. Glanowski2.01118911112A. Sobel1.66811118133WSep 8 · 13:05S. Brud1.861110111172A. Sobel1.80512813113WSep 8 · 12:15A. Sobel1.60111110113B. Sulkowski2.15961261WSep 8 · 10:35A. Sobel1.431111113A. Myszewski2.505890WSep 8 · 09:50A. Lilien2.00351391A. Sobel1.70111111113WSep 8 · 08:30A. Sobel3.50811811113M. Sklensky1.2511411592WSep 8 · 06:50A. Sobel1.861071111113S. Brud1.8012116572LSep 8 · 05:35A. Sobel1.801011891M. Minda1.8512211113LSep 8 · 04:00A. Sobel1.80114751B. Czerwinski1.9071111113LSep 7 · 14:40A. Sobel1.77121112742S. Brud1.951091411113
A. Lilien10
LSep 9 · 06:05A. Lilien1.501111891K. Sulkowski2.4013111113WSep 9 · 04:30A. Lilien1.441111113A. Szoltysek2.509890WSep 9 · 03:50M. Lukaszewski3.30461131A. Lilien1.2711119113WSep 8 · 14:20A. Lilien1.5711119113A. Myszewski2.20851191WSep 8 · 12:40J. Glanowski1.861175111A. Lilien1.8371111133WSep 8 · 11:50S. Brud1.8098111142A. Lilien1.90111197113LSep 8 · 11:00A. Lilien1.8010911111B. Sulkowski1.9012116133LSep 8 · 09:50A. Lilien2.00351391A. Sobel1.70111111113WSep 8 · 08:05M. Minda1.7610670A. Lilien1.881211113LSep 8 · 07:15M. Sklensky1.201111113A. Lilien3.953670
Upcoming Matches
A. Sobel
Nothing scheduled
A. Lilien
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.