TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13091878
Played Sep 7Finished
Mariusz Zwolinski
Home
3.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012119711311––
Szymon Brud
Away
1.26
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:42 and never touched — 71.3% is still 71.3%
Graded at full timeSzymon Brud to win
71.3%
71.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
74 points played in total.
Set by set
1012119711311––
H2H Mariusz Zwolinski 1–3 Szymon Brud Mariusz Zwolinski has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:42What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.26 (73%)
Brud
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Brud
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zwolinski 1221 vs Brud 1485
Brud
Correct
both rated, 265 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zwolinski 20% vs Brud 80%
Brud
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zwolinski 30% vs Brud 70%
Brud
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zwolinski -2 · Brud -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Brud) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZwolinski 3.40 / Brud 1.26
Signal prob.24% / 76%
Edge (Brud)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13091878
Zwolinski3.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog32% won 41 of 128
Down 0–1, comes back19% 15 of 80
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 45
Brud1.26
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 184 of 290
Up 2–0, closes it94% 80 of 85
Up 1–0, closes it79% 128 of 162
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeZwolinski1wins
AwayBrud3wins
2 of 4 to a deciderBrud leads 3–1, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zwolinski2Brud2n = 4split evenly
S2Zwolinski1Brud3n = 4Brud took 3 of 4
S3Zwolinski1Brud3n = 4Brud took 3 of 4
S4Zwolinski3Brud0n = 3Zwolinski took 3 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away250%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricZwolinskiBrudZ − BBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match38.840.8−2.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZwolinskiBrudBasisWin rate · lifetime121 / 338 vs 619 / 120135.8%51.5%121 / 338 vs 619 / 1201Avg sets wonper match1.72.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrudZwolinski 3.40/Brud 1.26
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.8%
Brud · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Brud won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 7 · 04:55M. Zwolinski—5590S. Brud—1111113
LSep 2 · 12:15M. Zwolinski—117111162S. Brud—811139113
WJan 6 · 01:10M. Zwolinski—111011113S. Brud—412921
LJan 5 · 22:45M. Zwolinski—511121182S. Brud—119146113
M. Zwolinski10
LSep 7 · 13:05A. Sobel1.1414112113M. Zwolinski4.651271181LSep 7 · 10:35M. Zwolinski1.901854101J. Nosiadek1.75161111123LSep 7 · 09:50M. Minda1.2571111113M. Zwolinski3.40113531WSep 7 · 08:35A. Szoltysek1.90121011992M. Zwolinski1.751012911113LSep 7 · 07:20M. Zwolinski2.009912101K. Sulkowski1.70111110123LSep 7 · 06:05B. Wisniewski1.8513114133M. Zwolinski1.8511911111LSep 7 · 04:55S. Brud1.401111113M. Zwolinski2.755590LSep 7 · 03:25B. Czerwinski—117118113M. Zwolinski—71161132LSep 5 · 14:40T. Piotrowski1.411111133M. Zwolinski2.6067110WSep 5 · 13:30M. Zwolinski2.1581112113W. Iwasyszyn1.601161081
S. Brud10
WSep 7 · 13:30S. Brud1.3811611113J. Nosiadek2.75711781LSep 7 · 11:00M. Minda1.907111111113S. Brud1.8011813872WSep 7 · 09:25A. Szoltysek3.057101261S. Brud1.31111210113WSep 7 · 08:10S. Brud1.50611117113K. Sulkowski2.3511641142WSep 7 · 06:30B. Czerwinski1.86115751S. Brud1.8361111113WSep 7 · 05:40A. Szoltysek2.7557110S. Brud1.381111133WSep 7 · 04:55S. Brud1.401111113M. Zwolinski2.755590WSep 7 · 03:50S. Brud—1411133B. Wisniewski—126110LSep 2 · 13:55J. Glanowski1.851111113S. Brud1.858890LSep 2 · 13:05B. Kwodawski2.851111113S. Brud1.357960
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