TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13091873
Played Sep 7Finished
Artur Sobel
Home
1.14
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1412117211118––
Mariusz Zwolinski
Away
4.65
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:38 and never touched — 66.9% is still 66.9%
Graded at full timeArtur Sobel to win
66.9%
66.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
76 points played in total.
Set by set
1412117211118––
H2H Artur Sobel 8–2 Mariusz Zwolinski Mariusz Zwolinski has won 2 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:38What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.14 (80%)
Sobel
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-2 in 10
Sobel
Correct
gap of 6 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sobel 1542 vs Zwolinski 1216
Sobel
Correct
both rated, 326 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sobel 40% vs Zwolinski 20%
Sobel
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sobel 50% vs Zwolinski 20%
Sobel
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sobel +1 · Zwolinski -3
Zwolinski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 85% — Strong (leans Sobel) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sobel form (40%) is below what odds imply (88%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSobel 1.14 / Zwolinski 4.65
Signal prob.85% / 15%
Edge (Sobel)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13091873
Sobel1.14
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 174 of 314
Up 2–0, closes it93% 71 of 76
Up 1–0, closes it77% 124 of 161
Zwolinski4.65
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog32% won 41 of 128
Down 0–1, comes back19% 15 of 80
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSobel8wins
AwayZwolinski2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSobel leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSobel100%7 of 7
AwayZwolinski66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sobel7Zwolinski3n = 10Sobel took 7 of 10
S2Sobel6Zwolinski4n = 10Sobel took 6 of 10
S3Sobel10Zwolinski0n = 10Sobel took 10 of 10
S4Sobel4Zwolinski1n = 5Sobel took 4 of 5
S5Sobel1Zwolinski2n = 3Zwolinski took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSobelZwolinskiS − ZBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.032.0+8.0per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSobelZwolinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime637 / 1189 vs 121 / 33853.6%35.8%637 / 1189 vs 121 / 338Avg sets wonper match2.11.7per matchAvg pointsper match39.837.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SobelSobel 1.14/Zwolinski 4.65
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
84.7%
Sobel · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sobel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJan 6 · 10:00A. Sobel—1111123M. Zwolinski—67100
LJan 6 · 07:30A. Sobel—99111172M. Zwolinski—111166113
WFeb 11 · 10:50A. Sobel—1112113M. Zwolinski—81050
LFeb 11 · 04:25A. Sobel—99111172M. Zwolinski—111196113
WFeb 10 · 10:25A. Sobel—1111113M. Zwolinski—9480
WFeb 10 · 06:40A. Sobel—1411113M. Zwolinski—12860
WJan 7 · 14:55A. Sobel—11812113M. Zwolinski—9111091
WJan 7 · 09:40A. Sobel—711119113M. Zwolinski—11771152
WJan 6 · 11:35A. Sobel—1111113M. Zwolinski—9850
WJan 6 · 08:30A. Sobel—111211113M. Zwolinski—714741
A. Sobel10
WSep 7 · 11:50A. Sobel1.901110167133M. Minda1.809121411112LSep 7 · 10:10A. Sobel1.3065111192A. Szoltysek3.15111186113WSep 7 · 09:00A. Sobel1.461111113J. Nosiadek2.503480LSep 7 · 07:40J. Zochniak1.72119119133A. Sobel2.00711811112LSep 7 · 06:50M. Sklensky1.471112133A. Sobel2.45610110WSep 7 · 06:00A. Sobel2.60121111113K. Wisniewski1.42149591WSep 7 · 04:25A. Sobel2.2011116113D. Solilo1.57221111WSep 7 · 03:40M. Minda1.95711101182A. Sobel1.76119129113LSep 1 · 14:20A. Sobel1.9311128992K. Rudomina1.775101111113LSep 1 · 12:40P. Blocho2.001111113A. Sobel1.709830
M. Zwolinski10
WSep 7 · 13:55A. Szoltysek1.65126111182M. Zwolinski2.06141178113LSep 7 · 12:15M. Zwolinski3.401011731S. Brud1.2612911113LSep 7 · 10:35M. Zwolinski1.901854101J. Nosiadek1.75161111123LSep 7 · 09:50M. Minda1.2571111113M. Zwolinski3.40113531WSep 7 · 08:35A. Szoltysek1.90121011992M. Zwolinski1.751012911113LSep 7 · 07:20M. Zwolinski2.009912101K. Sulkowski1.70111110123LSep 7 · 06:05B. Wisniewski1.8513114133M. Zwolinski1.8511911111LSep 7 · 04:55S. Brud1.401111113M. Zwolinski2.755590LSep 7 · 03:25B. Czerwinski—117118113M. Zwolinski—71161132LSep 5 · 14:40T. Piotrowski1.411111133M. Zwolinski2.6067110
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