TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13100973
Played Sep 9Finished
Aleksander Lilien
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1181181012118––
Artur Szoltysek
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:26 and never touched — 64.3% is still 64.3%
Graded at full timeAleksander Lilien to win
64.3%
64.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
79 points played in total.
Set by set
1181181012118––
H2H Aleksander Lilien 7–2 Artur Szoltysek Artur Szoltysek has won 2 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:26What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (63%)
Lilien
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-2 in 9
Lilien
Correct
gap of 5 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lilien 1459 vs Szoltysek 1274
Lilien
Correct
both rated, 185 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lilien 80% vs Szoltysek 60%
Lilien
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lilien 70% vs Szoltysek 50%
Lilien
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lilien +2 · Szoltysek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Lilien) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szoltysek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLilien 1.44 / Szoltysek 2.50
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Lilien)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13100973
Lilien1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 259 of 437
Up 2–0, closes it96% 133 of 138
Up 1–0, closes it78% 196 of 253
Szoltysek2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 62 of 152
Down 0–1, comes back20% 15 of 75
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeLilien7wins
AwaySzoltysek2wins
3 of 9 to a deciderLilien leads 7–2, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLilien87.5%7 of 8
AwaySzoltysekn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lilien8Szoltysek1n = 9Lilien took 8 of 9
S2Lilien6Szoltysek3n = 9Lilien took 6 of 9
S3Lilien7Szoltysek2n = 9Lilien took 7 of 9
S4Lilien3Szoltysek2n = 5Lilien took 3 of 5
S5Lilien1Szoltysek2n = 3Szoltysek took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home444%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricLilienSzoltysekL − SBasisWins72+5in 9 meetingsFirst set81+7of 9Avg pointsper match40.834.1+6.7per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLilienSzoltysekBasisWin rate · lifetime833 / 1541 vs 239 / 55954.1%42.8%833 / 1541 vs 239 / 559Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LilienLilien 1.44/Szoltysek 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.9%
Lilien · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Lilien won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 9 · 04:30A. Lilien—1111113A. Szoltysek—9890
WApr 7 · 04:30A. Lilien—11911133A. Szoltysek—7114111
WFeb 9 · 05:10A. Lilien—1111113A. Szoltysek—4990
WJan 13 · 12:50A. Lilien—1211113A. Szoltysek—10630
WOct 20 · 04:55A. Lilien—1112113A. Szoltysek—91070
WJul 29 · 05:40A. Lilien—1110113113A. Szoltysek—71241182
LMay 4 · 07:35A. Lilien—57151482A. Szoltysek—11111312113
WFeb 16 · 12:05A. Lilien—11119113A. Szoltysek—691171
LJan 20 · 11:35A. Lilien—111191292A. Szoltysek—661114113
A. Lilien10
WSep 9 · 07:40B. Wisniewski3.156790A. Lilien1.301111113WSep 9 · 06:55M. Zwolinski3.3581161152A. Lilien1.27116112113LSep 9 · 06:05A. Lilien1.501111891K. Sulkowski2.4013111113WSep 9 · 04:30A. Lilien1.441111113A. Szoltysek2.509890WSep 9 · 03:50M. Lukaszewski3.30461131A. Lilien1.2711119113WSep 8 · 14:20A. Lilien1.5711119113A. Myszewski2.20851191WSep 8 · 12:40J. Glanowski1.861175111A. Lilien1.8371111133WSep 8 · 11:50S. Brud1.8098111142A. Lilien1.90111197113LSep 8 · 11:00A. Lilien1.8010911111B. Sulkowski1.9012116133LSep 8 · 09:50A. Lilien2.00351391A. Sobel1.70111111113
A. Szoltysek10
WSep 9 · 08:10M. Lukaszewski2.006890A. Szoltysek1.701111113WSep 9 · 07:20K. Sulkowski1.801071191A. Szoltysek1.8612116113LSep 9 · 05:15B. Wisniewski2.1661111143A. Szoltysek1.571168121LSep 9 · 04:30A. Lilien1.441111113A. Szoltysek2.509890WSep 9 · 03:00M. Zwolinski2.3571112582A. Szoltysek1.501181011113LSep 7 · 13:55A. Szoltysek1.65126111182M. Zwolinski2.06141178113LSep 7 · 12:40A. Szoltysek2.851051171M. Minda1.3512114113WSep 7 · 11:25A. Szoltysek1.831111113J. Nosiadek1.865560WSep 7 · 10:10A. Sobel1.3065111192A. Szoltysek3.15111186113LSep 7 · 09:25A. Szoltysek3.057101261S. Brud1.31111210113
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