TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13098633
Played Sep 9Finished
Mariusz Zwolinski
Home
2.35
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
7111181210511811
Artur Szoltysek
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:30 and never touched — 55.6% is still 55.6%
Graded at full timeArtur Szoltysek to win
55.6%
55.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
94 points played in total.
Set by set
7111181210511811
H2H Mariusz Zwolinski 34–35 Artur Szoltysek Mariusz Zwolinski has won 34 of their 69 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:30What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (61%)
Szoltysek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
34-35 in 69
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zwolinski 1226 vs Szoltysek 1254
Szoltysek
Correct
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zwolinski 20% vs Szoltysek 40%
Szoltysek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zwolinski 20% vs Szoltysek 40%
Szoltysek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zwolinski +1 · Szoltysek -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Szoltysek) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szoltysek form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZwolinski 2.35 / Szoltysek 1.50
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Szoltysek)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13098633
Zwolinski2.35
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog31% won 42 of 136
Down 0–1, comes back18% 15 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 49
Szoltysek1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite53% won 48 of 90
Up 2–0, closes it100% 26 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it79% 37 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZwolinski7wins
AwaySzoltysek3wins
6 of 10 to a deciderZwolinski leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZwolinski100%5 of 5
AwaySzoltysek60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zwolinski5Szoltysek5n = 10split evenly
S2Zwolinski5Szoltysek5n = 10split evenly
S3Zwolinski3Szoltysek7n = 10Szoltysek took 7 of 10
S4Zwolinski3Szoltysek5n = 8Szoltysek took 5 of 8
S5Zwolinski6Szoltysek0n = 6Zwolinski took 6 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home660%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricZwolinskiSzoltysekZ − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.941.1−1.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZwolinskiSzoltysekBasisWin rate · lifetime122 / 339 vs 236 / 55436%42.6%122 / 339 vs 236 / 554Avg sets wonper match1.71.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzoltysekZwolinski 2.35/Szoltysek 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.4%
Szoltysek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Szoltysek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 13:55M. Zwolinski—141178113A. Szoltysek—126111182
WSep 7 · 08:35M. Zwolinski—1012911113A. Szoltysek—121011992
LSep 5 · 11:00M. Zwolinski—2812101A. Szoltysek—111110123
WSep 5 · 04:30M. Zwolinski—118117113A. Szoltysek—51171172
WAug 19 · 09:50M. Zwolinski—311811113A. Szoltysek—11811882
WAug 19 · 08:35M. Zwolinski—11113113A. Szoltysek—361171
WAug 2 · 13:05M. Zwolinski—118116113A. Szoltysek—61181172
LAug 2 · 04:30M. Zwolinski—10860A. Szoltysek—1211113
LJul 29 · 14:40M. Zwolinski—9350A. Szoltysek—1111113
WJul 29 · 03:50M. Zwolinski—111159113A. Szoltysek—96111172
M. Zwolinski10
WSep 9 · 04:10M. Zwolinski1.8011119113B. Wisniewski1.80761181WSep 7 · 13:55A. Szoltysek1.65126111182M. Zwolinski2.06141178113LSep 7 · 13:05A. Sobel1.1414112113M. Zwolinski4.651271181LSep 7 · 12:15M. Zwolinski3.401011731S. Brud1.2612911113LSep 7 · 10:35M. Zwolinski1.901854101J. Nosiadek1.75161111123LSep 7 · 09:50M. Minda1.2571111113M. Zwolinski3.40113531WSep 7 · 08:35A. Szoltysek1.90121011992M. Zwolinski1.751012911113LSep 7 · 07:20M. Zwolinski2.009912101K. Sulkowski1.70111110123LSep 7 · 06:05B. Wisniewski1.8513114133M. Zwolinski1.8511911111LSep 7 · 04:55S. Brud1.401111113M. Zwolinski2.755590
A. Szoltysek10
LSep 7 · 13:55A. Szoltysek1.65126111182M. Zwolinski2.06141178113LSep 7 · 12:40A. Szoltysek2.851051171M. Minda1.3512114113WSep 7 · 11:25A. Szoltysek1.831111113J. Nosiadek1.865560WSep 7 · 10:10A. Sobel1.3065111192A. Szoltysek3.15111186113LSep 7 · 09:25A. Szoltysek3.057101261S. Brud1.31111210113LSep 7 · 08:35A. Szoltysek1.90121011992M. Zwolinski1.751012911113WSep 7 · 06:55A. Szoltysek1.68111211113B. Wisniewski2.05714631LSep 7 · 05:40A. Szoltysek2.7557110S. Brud1.381111133LSep 7 · 04:10A. Szoltysek2.6511561182B. Czerwinski1.40711119113WSep 7 · 03:00A. Szoltysek2.0512117113K. Sulkowski1.681021181
Upcoming Matches
M. Zwolinski
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A. Szoltysek
Sep 9 · 04:30A. Szoltysek2.50A. Lilien1.44—Sep 9 · 05:15A. Szoltysek1.57B. Wisniewski2.16—Sep 9 · 07:20A. Szoltysek1.86K. Sulkowski1.80—Sep 9 · 08:10A. Szoltysek1.49M. Lukaszewski2.33—Sep 9 · 09:00A. Szoltysek2.50A. Lilien1.43—Sep 9 · 10:35A. Szoltysek2.09J. Krawczyk1.61—Sep 9 · 11:25A. Szoltysek1.47M. Zwolinski2.38—Sep 9 · 13:30A. Szoltysek2.65P. Blocho1.38—Sep 9 · 14:20A. Szoltysek2.75M. Minda1.35—
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