TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13100988
Played Sep 9Finished
Karol Sulkowski
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012711116911––
Artur Szoltysek
Away
1.86
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:27 and never touched — 55.2% is still 55.2%
Graded at full timeKarol Sulkowski to win
55.2%
55.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
77 points played in total.
Set by set
1012711116911––
H2H Karol Sulkowski 5–4 Artur Szoltysek Artur Szoltysek has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:27What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Sulkowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-4 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sulkowski 1300 vs Szoltysek 1260
Sulkowski
Wrong
both rated, 40 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sulkowski 40% vs Szoltysek 20%
Sulkowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sulkowski 40% vs Szoltysek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sulkowski +1 · Szoltysek -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sulkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szoltysek form (20%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSulkowski 1.80 / Szoltysek 1.86
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sulkowski)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13100988
Sulkowski1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 224 of 409
Up 2–0, closes it97% 96 of 99
Up 1–0, closes it80% 169 of 212
Szoltysek1.86
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 62 of 152
Down 0–1, comes back20% 15 of 75
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeSulkowski5wins
AwaySzoltysek4wins
3 of 9 to a deciderSulkowski leads 5–4, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSulkowski80%4 of 5
AwaySzoltysek75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sulkowski5Szoltysek4n = 9Sulkowski took 5 of 9
S2Sulkowski3Szoltysek6n = 9Szoltysek took 6 of 9
S3Sulkowski7Szoltysek2n = 9Sulkowski took 7 of 9
S4Sulkowski3Szoltysek5n = 8Szoltysek took 5 of 8
S5Sulkowski2Szoltysek1n = 3Sulkowski took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away333%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricSulkowskiSzoltysekSulkowski − SzoltysekBasisWins54+1in 9 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match39.238.7+0.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSulkowskiSzoltysekBasisWin rate · lifetime628 / 1270 vs 238 / 55849.5%42.7%628 / 1270 vs 238 / 558Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SulkowskiSulkowski 1.80/Szoltysek 1.86
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Sulkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Szoltysek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 9 · 07:20K. Sulkowski—1071191A. Szoltysek—12116113
LSep 7 · 03:00K. Sulkowski—1021181A. Szoltysek—12117113
WAug 19 · 04:55K. Sulkowski—1171110113A. Szoltysek—61171262
LAug 8 · 07:20K. Sulkowski—12411862A. Szoltysek—1011811113
WJul 22 · 07:20K. Sulkowski—1111123A. Szoltysek—78100
LJul 22 · 04:55K. Sulkowski—711671A. Szoltysek—11611113
WMay 10 · 04:30K. Sulkowski—1141011113A. Szoltysek—61112782
WApr 4 · 07:55K. Sulkowski—61111113A. Szoltysek—118561
WDec 30 · 21:05K. Sulkowski—111011113A. Szoltysek—912781
K. Sulkowski10
WSep 9 · 06:05A. Lilien1.501111891K. Sulkowski2.4013111113LSep 9 · 04:55M. Lukaszewski2.4311118113K. Sulkowski1.45671171LSep 9 · 03:25B. Wisniewski2.101211113K. Sulkowski1.6510990LSep 8 · 07:40K. Sulkowski1.85611871D. Wrobel1.8511611113WSep 8 · 06:30K. Sulkowski2.051111113R. Stapor1.656860LSep 8 · 05:15K. Sulkowski1.9591060A. Myszewski1.741112113WSep 8 · 04:10J. Glanowski1.90711119112K. Sulkowski1.75116711133LSep 8 · 03:25K. Sulkowski2.208650A. Linek1.571111113LSep 7 · 08:10S. Brud1.50611117113K. Sulkowski2.3511641142WSep 7 · 07:20M. Zwolinski2.009912101K. Sulkowski1.70111110123
A. Szoltysek10
LSep 9 · 05:15B. Wisniewski2.1661111143A. Szoltysek1.571168121LSep 9 · 04:30A. Lilien1.441111113A. Szoltysek2.509890WSep 9 · 03:00M. Zwolinski2.3571112582A. Szoltysek1.501181011113LSep 7 · 13:55A. Szoltysek1.65126111182M. Zwolinski2.06141178113LSep 7 · 12:40A. Szoltysek2.851051171M. Minda1.3512114113WSep 7 · 11:25A. Szoltysek1.831111113J. Nosiadek1.865560WSep 7 · 10:10A. Sobel1.3065111192A. Szoltysek3.15111186113LSep 7 · 09:25A. Szoltysek3.057101261S. Brud1.31111210113LSep 7 · 08:35A. Szoltysek1.90121011992M. Zwolinski1.751012911113WSep 7 · 06:55A. Szoltysek1.68111211113B. Wisniewski2.05714631
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