TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13099699
Played Sep 9Finished
Mikolaj Lukaszewski
Home
2.43
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116117811117––
Karol Sulkowski
Away
1.45
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:48 and never touched — 55.1% is still 55.1%
Graded at full timeKarol Sulkowski to win
55.1%
55.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
72 points played in total.
Set by set
116117811117––
H2H Mikolaj Lukaszewski 13–20 Karol Sulkowski Mikolaj Lukaszewski has won 13 of their 33 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:48What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.45 (63%)
Sulkowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-20 in 33
Sulkowski
Wrong
gap of 7 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lukaszewski 1236 vs Sulkowski 1311
Sulkowski
Wrong
both rated, 75 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lukaszewski 40% vs Sulkowski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lukaszewski 30% vs Sulkowski 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lukaszewski -3 · Sulkowski -2
Lukaszewski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Sulkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sulkowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLukaszewski 2.43 / Sulkowski 1.45
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Sulkowski)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13099699
Lukaszewski2.43
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest0%takes the first set · 0 of 10
As underdog41% won 274 of 670
Down 0–1, comes back14% 54 of 374
Down 0–2, comes back2% 4 of 198
Sulkowski1.45
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 224 of 409
Up 2–0, closes it97% 96 of 99
Up 1–0, closes it80% 169 of 212
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLukaszewski4wins
AwaySulkowski6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSulkowski leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLukaszewski66.7%4 of 6
AwaySulkowski100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lukaszewski6Sulkowski4n = 10Lukaszewski took 6 of 10
S2Lukaszewski4Sulkowski6n = 10Sulkowski took 6 of 10
S3Lukaszewski4Sulkowski6n = 10Sulkowski took 6 of 10
S4Lukaszewski3Sulkowski5n = 8Sulkowski took 5 of 8
S5Lukaszewski2Sulkowski2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLukaszewskiSulkowskiL − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.640.8−3.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLukaszewskiSulkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime911 / 2009 vs 627 / 126745.4%49.5%911 / 2009 vs 627 / 1267Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.337.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SulkowskiLukaszewski 2.43/Sulkowski 1.45
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.8%
Sulkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Lukaszewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 27 · 21:55M. Lukaszewski—811751K. Sulkowski—11611113
WAug 27 · 24:10M. Lukaszewski—11114113K. Sulkowski—681181
WAug 26 · 15:00M. Lukaszewski—1112116113K. Sulkowski—71461182
LAug 25 · 22:55M. Lukaszewski—8990K. Sulkowski—1111113
WAug 21 · 06:30M. Lukaszewski—1111113K. Sulkowski—9880
LAug 20 · 07:20M. Lukaszewski—71311862K. Sulkowski—1111911113
LAug 19 · 06:30M. Lukaszewski—14581182K. Sulkowski—1211119113
LAug 9 · 09:00M. Lukaszewski—871171K. Sulkowski—11119113
WAug 9 · 07:40M. Lukaszewski—115811113K. Sulkowski—81111652
LJun 18 · 23:20M. Lukaszewski—114581K. Sulkowski—91111113
M. Lukaszewski10
LSep 9 · 03:50M. Lukaszewski3.30461131A. Lilien1.2711119113LSep 4 · 13:55A. Myszewski1.28131111113M. Lukaszewski3.251113761LSep 4 · 13:05M. Misiak1.221111113M. Lukaszewski3.704840WSep 4 · 12:15M. Lukaszewski3.7581512113A. Lilien1.2211131081WSep 4 · 10:35M. Lukaszewski2.55811911113W. Gronowski1.4311911772LSep 4 · 09:50M. Minda1.23111111123M. Lukaszewski3.558134101WSep 4 · 08:35A. Myszewski1.411111111192M. Lukaszewski2.60213713113LSep 4 · 07:20M. Lukaszewski3.355770B. Sulkowski1.271111113LSep 4 · 06:05M. Misiak1.2511119113M. Lukaszewski3.45771121LSep 4 · 04:55W. Gronowski1.3611117113M. Lukaszewski2.80281171
K. Sulkowski10
LSep 9 · 03:25B. Wisniewski2.101211113K. Sulkowski1.6510990LSep 8 · 07:40K. Sulkowski1.85611871D. Wrobel1.8511611113WSep 8 · 06:30K. Sulkowski2.051111113R. Stapor1.656860LSep 8 · 05:15K. Sulkowski1.9591060A. Myszewski1.741112113WSep 8 · 04:10J. Glanowski1.90711119112K. Sulkowski1.75116711133LSep 8 · 03:25K. Sulkowski2.208650A. Linek1.571111113LSep 7 · 08:10S. Brud1.50611117113K. Sulkowski2.3511641142WSep 7 · 07:20M. Zwolinski2.009912101K. Sulkowski1.70111110123LSep 7 · 05:15B. Czerwinski1.541111113K. Sulkowski2.254950WSep 7 · 04:30B. Wisniewski2.3411791262K. Sulkowski1.519111110113
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