TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13104134
Played Sep 9Finished
Kuba Golaszewski
Home
2.15
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911119811611––
Mateusz Trela
Away
1.60
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:14 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKuba Golaszewski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
76 points played in total.
Set by set
911119811611––
H2H Kuba Golaszewski 13–10 Mateusz Trela Mateusz Trela has won 10 of their 23 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Golaszewski beat Trela 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:14What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Trela
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-10 in 23
Golaszewski
Wrong
gap of 3 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Golaszewski 1195 vs Trela 1376
Trela
Correct
both rated, 181 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Golaszewski 60% vs Trela 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Golaszewski 40% vs Trela 60%
Trela
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Golaszewski +1 · Trela -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Trela) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Golaszewski form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (47%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGolaszewski 2.15 / Trela 1.60
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Trela)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13104134
Golaszewski2.15
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 191 of 470
Down 0–1, comes back18% 45 of 251
Down 0–2, comes back5% 6 of 132
Trela1.60
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 146 of 266
Up 2–0, closes it92% 54 of 59
Up 1–0, closes it71% 99 of 140
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGolaszewski5wins
AwayTrela5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGolaszewski83.3%5 of 6
AwayTrela100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Golaszewski6Trela4n = 10Golaszewski took 6 of 10
S2Golaszewski7Trela3n = 10Golaszewski took 7 of 10
S3Golaszewski4Trela6n = 10Trela took 6 of 10
S4Golaszewski3Trela4n = 7Trela took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricGolaszewskiTrelaG − TBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.136.8+1.3per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGolaszewskiTrelaBasisWin rate · lifetime400 / 950 vs 815 / 166342.1%49%400 / 950 vs 815 / 1663Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TrelaGolaszewski 2.15/Trela 1.60
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.7%
Trela · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Trela won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 22:35K. Golaszewski—911861M. Trela—11911113
WSep 9 · 16:15K. Golaszewski—111111113M. Trela—991361
LSep 7 · 21:55K. Golaszewski—81460M. Trela—1116113
WSep 3 · 21:55K. Golaszewski—11119143M. Trela—5611121
LSep 3 · 18:55K. Golaszewski—7101171M. Trela—11126113
WAug 23 · 03:00K. Golaszewski—1111143M. Trela—48120
WAug 19 · 22:55K. Golaszewski—1111123M. Trela—67100
WAug 19 · 18:30K. Golaszewski—11135113M. Trela—6111161
LAug 12 · 22:55K. Golaszewski—111113992M. Trela—691511113
LAug 12 · 20:05K. Golaszewski—871341M. Trela—111111113
K. Golaszewski10
WSep 9 · 21:55A. Myszewski1.52116491K. Golaszewski2.3061111113LSep 9 · 19:40K. Golaszewski1.85117111172P. Strus1.85131198113LSep 9 · 18:30K. Golaszewski2.6051160K. Klocek1.411113113WSep 9 · 17:20K. Golaszewski1.861115113P. Ostachowski1.8361380WSep 9 · 16:15M. Trela1.49991361K. Golaszewski2.33111111113LSep 9 · 15:25K. Golaszewski2.37691661A. Myszewski1.52111114113LSep 8 · 23:20J. Rolak1.8011117113K. Golaszewski1.86871131WSep 8 · 22:35P. Ostachowski2.0511881182K. Golaszewski1.70911113113LSep 8 · 22:15K. Golaszewski2.00111555112B. Mrugala1.678131111133LSep 8 · 21:05K. Klocek1.4411813113K. Golaszewski2.469111171
M. Trela10
WSep 9 · 23:20A. Myszewski1.8511115992M. Trela1.75981111113LSep 9 · 22:15M. Trela1.9686111192K. Klocek1.70111188113WSep 9 · 21:05P. Ostachowski3.408740M. Trela1.281111113WSep 9 · 20:30M. Trela1.8511113113A. Myszewski1.80851161WSep 9 · 18:55M. Trela1.561111113P. Strus2.176750WSep 9 · 17:45M. Trela1.961110118113K. Klocek1.7091271152LSep 9 · 16:15M. Trela1.49991361K. Golaszewski2.33111111113WSep 9 · 15:00M. Trela1.441111113P. Ostachowski2.504160LSep 8 · 24:10M. Trela1.66681111102B. Mrugala2.05111179123LSep 7 · 23:20M. Trela1.86811811132W. Iwasyszyn1.83119117153
Upcoming Matches
K. Golaszewski
M. Trela
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.