TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13098847
Played Sep 8Finished
Jaroslaw Rolak
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118117711113––
Kuba Golaszewski
Away
1.86
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:24 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJaroslaw Rolak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
69 points played in total.
Set by set
118117711113––
H2H Jaroslaw Rolak 40–55 Kuba Golaszewski Jaroslaw Rolak has won 40 of their 95 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Golaszewski beat Rolak 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:24What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Rolak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
40-55 in 95
Golaszewski
Wrong
gap of 15 in 95, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rolak 1255 vs Golaszewski 1201
Rolak
Correct
both rated, 54 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rolak 60% vs Golaszewski 40%
Rolak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rolak 50% vs Golaszewski 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Rolak +2 · Golaszewski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Rolak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Golaszewski form (40%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRolak 1.80 / Golaszewski 1.86
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Rolak)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13098847
Rolak1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite48% won 146 of 306
Up 2–0, closes it88% 72 of 82
Up 1–0, closes it68% 118 of 174
Golaszewski1.86
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 191 of 467
Down 0–1, comes back18% 44 of 250
Down 0–2, comes back5% 6 of 131
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRolak4wins
AwayGolaszewski6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderGolaszewski leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRolak60%3 of 5
AwayGolaszewski80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rolak5Golaszewski5n = 10split evenly
S2Rolak5Golaszewski5n = 10split evenly
S3Rolak2Golaszewski8n = 10Golaszewski took 8 of 10
S4Rolak3Golaszewski4n = 7Golaszewski took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricRolakGolaszewskiR − GBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.237.3−3.1per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRolakGolaszewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime661 / 1444 vs 397 / 94345.8%42.1%661 / 1444 vs 397 / 943Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.137.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RolakRolak 1.80/Golaszewski 1.86
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Rolak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Rolak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 20:30J. Rolak—111211972K. Golaszewski—914511113
LSep 3 · 22:35J. Rolak—2940K. Golaszewski—1111113
WSep 3 · 18:10J. Rolak—121110113K. Golaszewski—1071281
WAug 20 · 21:05J. Rolak—41111113K. Golaszewski—114861
WAug 20 · 19:20J. Rolak—1111610113K. Golaszewski—67111282
LAug 13 · 21:55J. Rolak—115591K. Golaszewski—51111113
WAug 11 · 22:35J. Rolak—11113113K. Golaszewski—941191
LAug 7 · 19:40J. Rolak—9990K. Golaszewski—1111113
LAug 6 · 22:35J. Rolak—81090K. Golaszewski—1112113
LJul 24 · 24:35J. Rolak—811441K. Golaszewski—11911113
J. Rolak10
WSep 8 · 21:55J. Rolak1.541111113P. Ostachowski2.256350WSep 8 · 21:30J. Rolak1.911211113B. Mrugala1.7410870LSep 8 · 20:30K. Golaszewski1.87914511113J. Rolak1.83111211972LSep 8 · 19:20J. Rolak2.46711614102K. Klocek1.441171112123WSep 8 · 18:10D. Szlubowski1.441181351J. Rolak2.4681115113LSep 8 · 16:55B. Mrugala1.80119211133J. Rolak1.86811119112WSep 8 · 15:25P. Ostachowski5.106680J. Rolak1.121111113WSep 5 · 13:55J. Rolak1.591111113W. Suchecki2.176750LSep 5 · 12:40J. Rolak1.80961181A. Szoltysek1.9011118113LSep 5 · 11:25J. Rolak1.6011115882W. Iwasyszyn2.20951111113
K. Golaszewski10
WSep 8 · 22:35P. Ostachowski2.0511881182K. Golaszewski1.70911113113LSep 8 · 22:15K. Golaszewski2.00111555112B. Mrugala1.678131111133LSep 8 · 21:05K. Klocek1.4411813113K. Golaszewski2.469111171WSep 8 · 20:30K. Golaszewski1.87914511113J. Rolak1.83111211972LSep 8 · 18:55K. Golaszewski2.6511814662D. Szlubowski1.386111211113LSep 8 · 17:45K. Golaszewski1.9712981142B. Mrugala1.691011118113WSep 8 · 16:15K. Golaszewski1.851112113P. Ostachowski1.8571080LSep 8 · 15:00K. Golaszewski2.5531240K. Klocek1.411114113WSep 8 · 24:35K. Golaszewski1.931151111113J. Przewlocki1.7861113982LSep 7 · 23:45B. Mrugala1.741112113K. Golaszewski1.9191060
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