TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13100523
Played Sep 8Finished
Jaroslaw Rolak
Home
1.54
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116113115––––
Piotr Ostachowski
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:36 and never touched — 66.2% is still 66.2%
Graded at full timeJaroslaw Rolak to win
66.2%
66.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
47 points played in total.
Set by set
116113115––––
H2H Jaroslaw Rolak 1–0 Piotr Ostachowski Piotr Ostachowski has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 7h before this match
Rolak beat Ostachowski 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:36What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.54 (59%)
Rolak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Rolak 1252 vs Ostachowski 851
Rolak
Correct
both rated, 400 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rolak 40% vs Ostachowski 0%
Rolak
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rolak 50% vs Ostachowski 20%
Rolak
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rolak +1 · Ostachowski -5
Ostachowski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Rolak) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ostachowski form (0%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRolak 1.54 / Ostachowski 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Rolak)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13100523
Rolak1.54
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite48% won 146 of 306
Up 2–0, closes it88% 72 of 82
Up 1–0, closes it68% 118 of 174
Ostachowski2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeRolak1wins
AwayOstachowski0wins
Rolak leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricRolakOstachowskiR − OBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.020.0+13.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRolakOstachowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime660 / 1443 vs 0 / 545.7%0%660 / 1443 vs 0 / 5Avg sets wonper match2.00.6per matchAvg pointsper match39.126.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RolakRolak 1.54/Ostachowski 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.4%
Rolak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Rolak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 8 · 15:25J. Rolak—1111113P. Ostachowski—6680
J. Rolak10
WSep 8 · 23:20J. Rolak1.8011117113K. Golaszewski1.86871131WSep 8 · 21:30J. Rolak1.911211113B. Mrugala1.7410870LSep 8 · 20:30K. Golaszewski1.87914511113J. Rolak1.83111211972LSep 8 · 19:20J. Rolak2.46711614102K. Klocek1.441171112123WSep 8 · 18:10D. Szlubowski1.441181351J. Rolak2.4681115113LSep 8 · 16:55B. Mrugala1.80119211133J. Rolak1.86811119112WSep 8 · 15:25P. Ostachowski5.106680J. Rolak1.121111113WSep 5 · 13:55J. Rolak1.591111113W. Suchecki2.176750LSep 5 · 12:40J. Rolak1.80961181A. Szoltysek1.9011118113LSep 5 · 11:25J. Rolak1.6011115882W. Iwasyszyn2.20951111113
P. Ostachowski10
LSep 8 · 22:35P. Ostachowski2.0511881182K. Golaszewski1.70911113113LSep 8 · 19:40P. Ostachowski2.451061141D. Szlubowski1.4712118113LSep 8 · 18:30P. Ostachowski2.00811831B. Mrugala1.7111411113LSep 8 · 17:20P. Ostachowski2.60411471K. Klocek1.4111311113LSep 8 · 16:15K. Golaszewski1.851112113P. Ostachowski1.8571080LSep 8 · 15:25P. Ostachowski5.106680J. Rolak1.121111113WDec 9 · 03:30S. Radlo—9480P. Ostachowski—1111113WDec 9 · 02:40P. Ostachowski—14811113K. Rudomina—1211771LDec 9 · 01:50P. Ostachowski—101211892K. Marchlewski—1210411113LDec 9 · 01:05A. Linek—129114123P. Ostachowski—1011811102
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