TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13099710
Played Sep 8Finished
Piotr Ostachowski
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811114811311––
Bartlomiej Mrugala
Away
1.71
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:51 and never touched — 57.8% is still 57.8%
Graded at full timeBartlomiej Mrugala to win
57.8%
57.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
67 points played in total.
Set by set
811114811311––
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:51What took a side3 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.71 (54%)
Mrugala
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Ostachowski 40% vs Mrugala 80%
Mrugala
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ostachowski 30% vs Mrugala 80%
Mrugala
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ostachowski -3 · Mrugala +2
Ostachowski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Mrugala) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mrugala form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOstachowski 2.00 / Mrugala 1.71
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Mrugala)+0.1pp
TT Elite Series · #13099710
Ostachowski2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Mrugala1.71
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite53% won 65 of 123
Up 2–0, closes it96% 25 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it78% 43 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricOstachowskiMrugalaBasisWin rate · lifetime3 / 10 vs 298 / 65230%45.7%3 / 10 vs 298 / 652Avg sets wonper match1.51.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
MrugalaOstachowski 2.00/Mrugala 1.71
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Mrugala · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Mrugala won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
P. Ostachowski10
LSep 8 · 17:20P. Ostachowski2.60411471K. Klocek1.4111311113LSep 8 · 16:15K. Golaszewski1.851112113P. Ostachowski1.8571080LSep 8 · 15:25P. Ostachowski5.106680J. Rolak1.121111113WDec 9 · 03:30S. Radlo—9480P. Ostachowski—1111113WDec 9 · 02:40P. Ostachowski—14811113K. Rudomina—1211771LDec 9 · 01:50P. Ostachowski—101211892K. Marchlewski—1210411113LDec 9 · 01:05A. Linek—129114123P. Ostachowski—1011811102LDec 8 · 23:40S. Radlo—61114113P. Ostachowski—1161261LDec 8 · 22:25P. Ostachowski—67110A. Linek—1111133WDec 8 · 21:10K. Marchlewski—13611672P. Ostachowski—1111911113
B. Mrugala10
WSep 8 · 17:45K. Golaszewski1.9712981142B. Mrugala1.691011118113WSep 8 · 16:55B. Mrugala1.80119211133J. Rolak1.86811119112LSep 8 · 15:50B. Mrugala2.10115861D. Szlubowski1.6571111113WSep 8 · 24:10M. Trela1.66681111102B. Mrugala2.05111179123WSep 7 · 23:45B. Mrugala1.741112113K. Golaszewski1.9191060LSep 7 · 22:55B. Mrugala2.234111181J. Przewlocki1.5311137113WSep 7 · 21:05B. Mrugala2.0017612113W. Iwasyszyn1.7215111081WSep 7 · 19:40B. Mrugala1.831111113P. Strus1.838870WSep 7 · 18:30B. Mrugala2.2511157113J. Przewlocki1.544131171WSep 7 · 17:20B. Mrugala1.95611811113J. Nosiadek1.7411911762
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