TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13097443
Played Sep 8Finished
Kuba Golaszewski
Home
1.97
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1210911811118411
Bartlomiej Mrugala
Away
1.69
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:58 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeBartlomiej Mrugala to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
95 points played in total.
Set by set
1210911811118411
H2H Kuba Golaszewski 27–37 Bartlomiej Mrugala Kuba Golaszewski has won 27 of their 64 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:58What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.69 (54%)
Mrugala
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
27-37 in 64
Mrugala
Correct
gap of 10 in 64, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Golaszewski 1227 vs Mrugala 1290
Mrugala
Correct
both rated, 63 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Golaszewski 60% vs Mrugala 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Golaszewski 50% vs Mrugala 70%
Mrugala
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Golaszewski +1 · Mrugala +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Mrugala) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGolaszewski 1.97 / Mrugala 1.69
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Mrugala)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13097443
Golaszewski1.97
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
44%takes the first set · 4 of 9
As underdog41% won 191 of 467
Down 0–1, comes back18% 44 of 250
Down 0–2, comes back5% 6 of 131
Mrugala1.69
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite53% won 65 of 123
Up 2–0, closes it96% 25 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it78% 43 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGolaszewski3wins
AwayMrugala7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMrugala leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGolaszewski50%2 of 4
AwayMrugala83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Golaszewski4Mrugala6n = 10Mrugala took 6 of 10
S2Golaszewski3Mrugala7n = 10Mrugala took 7 of 10
S3Golaszewski2Mrugala8n = 10Mrugala took 8 of 10
S4Golaszewski4Mrugala4n = 8split evenly
S5Golaszewski2Mrugala1n = 3Golaszewski took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricGolaszewskiMrugalaG − MBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.841.0−4.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGolaszewskiMrugalaBasisWin rate · lifetime394 / 937 vs 297 / 65142.1%45.6%394 / 937 vs 297 / 651Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MrugalaGolaszewski 1.97/Mrugala 1.69
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.2%
Mrugala · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Mrugala won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 23:45K. Golaszewski—91060B. Mrugala—1112113
WAug 21 · 23:45K. Golaszewski—115611163B. Mrugala—911119142
WAug 20 · 22:55K. Golaszewski—911511113B. Mrugala—11511582
LAug 20 · 20:05K. Golaszewski—1167101B. Mrugala—91111123
LJul 27 · 23:45K. Golaszewski—811481B. Mrugala—11411113
WJul 7 · 19:40K. Golaszewski—11611113B. Mrugala—811491
LJul 6 · 20:05K. Golaszewski—101260B. Mrugala—1214113
LJun 11 · 24:20K. Golaszewski—612591B. Mrugala—111011113
LJun 10 · 21:55K. Golaszewski—971171B. Mrugala—11114113
LJun 10 · 17:55K. Golaszewski—121091172B. Mrugala—1012119113
K. Golaszewski10
LSep 8 · 18:55K. Golaszewski2.6511814662D. Szlubowski1.386111211113WSep 8 · 16:15K. Golaszewski1.851112113P. Ostachowski1.8571080LSep 8 · 15:00K. Golaszewski2.5531240K. Klocek1.411114113WSep 8 · 24:35K. Golaszewski1.931151111113J. Przewlocki1.7861113982LSep 7 · 23:45B. Mrugala1.741112113K. Golaszewski1.9191060WSep 7 · 22:35K. Golaszewski2.25111165113W. Iwasyszyn1.5498111192LSep 7 · 21:55M. Trela1.701116113K. Golaszewski2.0081460LSep 6 · 14:40K. Golaszewski2.35571181K. Sulkowski1.5011118113WSep 6 · 13:05K. Golaszewski2.4011124123M. Sinicki1.5081011101WSep 6 · 11:50K. Golaszewski1.801211125113F. Jablonski1.90108141162
B. Mrugala10
WSep 8 · 18:30P. Ostachowski2.00811831B. Mrugala1.7111411113WSep 8 · 16:55B. Mrugala1.80119211133J. Rolak1.86811119112LSep 8 · 15:50B. Mrugala2.10115861D. Szlubowski1.6571111113WSep 8 · 24:10M. Trela1.66681111102B. Mrugala2.05111179123WSep 7 · 23:45B. Mrugala1.741112113K. Golaszewski1.9191060LSep 7 · 22:55B. Mrugala2.234111181J. Przewlocki1.5311137113WSep 7 · 21:05B. Mrugala2.0017612113W. Iwasyszyn1.7215111081WSep 7 · 19:40B. Mrugala1.831111113P. Strus1.838870WSep 7 · 18:30B. Mrugala2.2511157113J. Przewlocki1.544131171WSep 7 · 17:20B. Mrugala1.95611811113J. Nosiadek1.7411911762
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