TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13093689
Played Sep 7Finished
Bartlomiej Mrugala
Home
1.74
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1191210116––––
Kuba Golaszewski
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:58 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeBartlomiej Mrugala to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
59 points played in total.
Set by set
1191210116––––
H2H Bartlomiej Mrugala 36–27 Kuba Golaszewski Kuba Golaszewski has won 27 of their 63 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:58What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.74 (52%)
Mrugala
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
36-27 in 63
Mrugala
Correct
gap of 9 in 63, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mrugala 1265 vs Golaszewski 1228
Mrugala
Correct
both rated, 37 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mrugala 80% vs Golaszewski 60%
Mrugala
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mrugala 50% vs Golaszewski 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mrugala -1 · Golaszewski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Mrugala)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mrugala form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMrugala 1.74 / Golaszewski 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Mrugala)+1.7pp
TT Elite Series · #13093689
Mrugala1.74
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite52% won 64 of 124
Up 2–0, closes it96% 23 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it77% 41 of 53
Golaszewski1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 194 of 474
Down 0–1, comes back18% 45 of 254
Down 0–2, comes back5% 6 of 134
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMrugala7wins
AwayGolaszewski3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMrugala leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMrugala83.3%5 of 6
AwayGolaszewski50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mrugala6Golaszewski4n = 10Mrugala took 6 of 10
S2Mrugala7Golaszewski3n = 10Mrugala took 7 of 10
S3Mrugala7Golaszewski3n = 10Mrugala took 7 of 10
S4Mrugala5Golaszewski4n = 9Mrugala took 5 of 9
S5Mrugala1Golaszewski2n = 3Golaszewski took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMrugalaGolaszewskiM − GBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.937.8+4.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMrugalaGolaszewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime294 / 647 vs 393 / 93345.4%42.1%294 / 647 vs 393 / 933Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MrugalaMrugala 1.74/Golaszewski 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Mrugala · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Mrugala won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 21 · 23:45B. Mrugala—911119142K. Golaszewski—115611163
LAug 20 · 22:55B. Mrugala—11511582K. Golaszewski—911511113
WAug 20 · 20:05B. Mrugala—91111123K. Golaszewski—1167101
WJul 27 · 23:45B. Mrugala—11411113K. Golaszewski—811481
LJul 7 · 19:40B. Mrugala—811491K. Golaszewski—11611113
WJul 6 · 20:05B. Mrugala—1214113K. Golaszewski—101260
WJun 11 · 24:20B. Mrugala—111011113K. Golaszewski—612591
WJun 10 · 21:55B. Mrugala—11114113K. Golaszewski—971171
WJun 10 · 17:55B. Mrugala—1012119113K. Golaszewski—121091172
WJun 6 · 01:10B. Mrugala—11138113K. Golaszewski—4111191
B. Mrugala10
WSep 8 · 24:10M. Trela1.66681111102B. Mrugala2.05111179123LSep 7 · 22:55B. Mrugala2.234111181J. Przewlocki1.5311137113WSep 7 · 21:05B. Mrugala2.0017612113W. Iwasyszyn1.7215111081WSep 7 · 19:40B. Mrugala1.831111113P. Strus1.838870WSep 7 · 18:30B. Mrugala2.2511157113J. Przewlocki1.544131171WSep 7 · 17:20B. Mrugala1.95611811113J. Nosiadek1.7411911762LSep 7 · 16:15W. Iwasyszyn1.7181111123B. Mrugala2.001138101LSep 7 · 15:25B. Mrugala2.356590M. Trela1.511111113LSep 2 · 24:10B. Mrugala1.668970K. Marchlewski2.051111113LSep 1 · 23:20B. Mrugala1.857111031J. Rolak1.8511912113
K. Golaszewski10
WSep 8 · 24:35K. Golaszewski1.931151111113J. Przewlocki1.7861113982WSep 7 · 22:35K. Golaszewski2.25111165113W. Iwasyszyn1.5498111192LSep 7 · 21:55M. Trela1.701116113K. Golaszewski2.0081460LSep 6 · 14:40K. Golaszewski2.35571181K. Sulkowski1.5011118113WSep 6 · 13:05K. Golaszewski2.4011124123M. Sinicki1.5081011101WSep 6 · 11:50K. Golaszewski1.801211125113F. Jablonski1.90108141162LSep 6 · 10:10K. Golaszewski2.474101151T. Piotrowski1.4611128113LSep 6 · 09:00K. Golaszewski1.8381111632B. Wisniewski1.87115711113LSep 6 · 08:10K. Golaszewski2.261189101B. Wisniewski1.5541111123WSep 6 · 06:30K. Sulkowski1.51104100K. Golaszewski2.331211123
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