TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13093695
Played Sep 7Finished
Bartlomiej Mrugala
Home
2.23
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
4111113117811––
Jacek Przewlocki
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:00 and never touched — 63.7% is still 63.7%
Graded at full timeJacek Przewlocki to win
63.7%
63.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
76 points played in total.
Set by set
4111113117811––
H2H Bartlomiej Mrugala 2–8 Jacek Przewlocki Bartlomiej Mrugala has won 2 of their 10 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Mrugala beat Przewlocki 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:00What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (59%)
Przewlocki
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-8 in 10
Przewlocki
Correct
gap of 6 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mrugala 1276 vs Przewlocki 1317
Przewlocki
Correct
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mrugala 80% vs Przewlocki 60%
Mrugala
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mrugala 60% vs Przewlocki 40%
Mrugala
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mrugala +4 · Przewlocki +1
Mrugala
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Przewlocki) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mrugala form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMrugala 2.23 / Przewlocki 1.53
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Przewlocki)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13093695
Mrugala2.23
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 115 of 261
Down 0–1, comes back21% 27 of 132
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 66
Przewlocki1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 139 of 242
Up 2–0, closes it97% 65 of 67
Up 1–0, closes it75% 106 of 141
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMrugala2wins
AwayPrzewlocki8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPrzewlocki leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMrugala40%2 of 5
AwayPrzewlocki100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mrugala5Przewlocki5n = 10split evenly
S2Mrugala2Przewlocki8n = 10Przewlocki took 8 of 10
S3Mrugala4Przewlocki6n = 10Przewlocki took 6 of 10
S4Mrugala1Przewlocki6n = 7Przewlocki took 6 of 7
S5Mrugala1Przewlocki2n = 3Przewlocki took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricMrugalaPrzewlockiM − PBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.440.5−5.1per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMrugalaPrzewlockiBasisWin rate · lifetime294 / 646 vs 529 / 107945.5%49%294 / 646 vs 529 / 1079Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrzewlockiMrugala 2.23/Przewlocki 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.7%
Przewlocki · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Przewlocki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 18:30B. Mrugala—11157113J. Przewlocki—4131171
LAug 21 · 24:35B. Mrugala—611861J. Przewlocki—11911113
WAug 20 · 17:45B. Mrugala—1161410113J. Przewlocki—811121272
LJul 29 · 24:35B. Mrugala—9990J. Przewlocki—1111113
LJul 28 · 18:55B. Mrugala—11911792J. Przewlocki—611911113
LJul 8 · 01:25B. Mrugala—119871J. Przewlocki—81111113
LJul 7 · 22:55B. Mrugala—116118112J. Przewlocki—311911133
LJul 7 · 18:30B. Mrugala—4880J. Przewlocki—1111113
LJan 16 · 11:05B. Mrugala—441171J. Przewlocki—11119113
LDec 29 · 13:35B. Mrugala—61090J. Przewlocki—1112113
B. Mrugala10
WSep 7 · 23:45B. Mrugala1.741112113K. Golaszewski1.9191060WSep 7 · 21:05B. Mrugala2.0017612113W. Iwasyszyn1.7215111081WSep 7 · 19:40B. Mrugala1.831111113P. Strus1.838870WSep 7 · 18:30B. Mrugala2.2511157113J. Przewlocki1.544131171WSep 7 · 17:20B. Mrugala1.95611811113J. Nosiadek1.7411911762LSep 7 · 16:15W. Iwasyszyn1.7181111123B. Mrugala2.001138101LSep 7 · 15:25B. Mrugala2.356590M. Trela1.511111113LSep 2 · 24:10B. Mrugala1.668970K. Marchlewski2.051111113LSep 1 · 23:20B. Mrugala1.857111031J. Rolak1.8511912113WSep 1 · 21:55B. Mrugala1.901311511113B. Wisniewski1.8015711692
J. Przewlocki10
WSep 7 · 22:15W. Iwasyszyn1.9511791172J. Przewlocki1.70711116113LSep 7 · 21:30M. Trela1.95811811113J. Przewlocki1.7411811462WSep 7 · 20:05J. Przewlocki1.80821111113J. Nosiadek1.9011118892LSep 7 · 18:30B. Mrugala2.2511157113J. Przewlocki1.544131171WSep 7 · 17:45W. Iwasyszyn2.0094111172J. Przewlocki1.71111188113LSep 7 · 16:55J. Przewlocki1.85881471M. Trela1.85111112113WSep 7 · 15:50J. Przewlocki1.90111188123P. Strus1.80991111102LSep 5 · 14:35J. Przewlocki1.85119881B. Kwodawski1.8551111113LSep 5 · 13:00J. Przewlocki1.951511610102J. Wozniak1.751391112123LSep 5 · 11:45J. Przewlocki1.959470K. Klocek1.701111113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.