TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13097267
Played Sep 8Finished
Bartlomiej Mrugala
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1189112111191311
Jaroslaw Rolak
Away
1.86
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:43 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeBartlomiej Mrugala to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
96 points played in total.
Set by set
1189112111191311
H2H Bartlomiej Mrugala 33–31 Jaroslaw Rolak Jaroslaw Rolak has won 31 of their 64 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:43What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Mrugala
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
33-31 in 64
Mrugala
Correct
gap of 2 in 64, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mrugala 1280 vs Rolak 1250
Mrugala
Correct
both rated, 30 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mrugala 60% vs Rolak 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mrugala 60% vs Rolak 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mrugala -1 · Rolak +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Mrugala)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMrugala 1.80 / Rolak 1.86
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Mrugala)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13097267
Mrugala1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite53% won 65 of 123
Up 2–0, closes it96% 25 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it78% 43 of 55
Rolak1.86
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog38% won 195 of 509
Down 0–1, comes back19% 52 of 277
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 125
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMrugala4wins
AwayRolak6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderRolak leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMrugala75%3 of 4
AwayRolak83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mrugala4Rolak6n = 10Rolak took 6 of 10
S2Mrugala5Rolak5n = 10split evenly
S3Mrugala1Rolak9n = 10Rolak took 9 of 10
S4Mrugala3Rolak5n = 8Rolak took 5 of 8
S5Mrugala4Rolak1n = 5Mrugala took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMrugalaRolakM − RBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.140.6−1.5per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMrugalaRolakBasisWin rate · lifetime296 / 650 vs 658 / 143845.5%45.8%296 / 650 vs 658 / 1438Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.439.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MrugalaMrugala 1.80/Rolak 1.86
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Mrugala · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Mrugala won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 23:20B. Mrugala—7111031J. Rolak—11912113
LSep 1 · 20:30B. Mrugala—8114101J. Rolak—11811123
WAug 31 · 22:35B. Mrugala—111176113J. Rolak—64111122
LAug 31 · 16:55B. Mrugala—66100J. Rolak—1111123
LAug 20 · 22:15B. Mrugala—10119111J. Rolak—12511133
LAug 20 · 16:55B. Mrugala—1010130J. Rolak—1212153
LJul 28 · 22:15B. Mrugala—11671172J. Rolak—611116113
WJul 28 · 18:10B. Mrugala—113118113J. Rolak—51171182
WJul 8 · 24:35B. Mrugala—911911113J. Rolak—11711582
WJul 7 · 22:10B. Mrugala—117811113J. Rolak—61111882
B. Mrugala10
WSep 8 · 18:30P. Ostachowski2.00811831B. Mrugala1.7111411113WSep 8 · 17:45K. Golaszewski1.9712981142B. Mrugala1.691011118113LSep 8 · 15:50B. Mrugala2.10115861D. Szlubowski1.6571111113WSep 8 · 24:10M. Trela1.66681111102B. Mrugala2.05111179123WSep 7 · 23:45B. Mrugala1.741112113K. Golaszewski1.9191060LSep 7 · 22:55B. Mrugala2.234111181J. Przewlocki1.5311137113WSep 7 · 21:05B. Mrugala2.0017612113W. Iwasyszyn1.7215111081WSep 7 · 19:40B. Mrugala1.831111113P. Strus1.838870WSep 7 · 18:30B. Mrugala2.2511157113J. Przewlocki1.544131171WSep 7 · 17:20B. Mrugala1.95611811113J. Nosiadek1.7411911762
J. Rolak10
WSep 8 · 18:10D. Szlubowski1.441181351J. Rolak2.4681115113WSep 8 · 15:25P. Ostachowski5.106680J. Rolak1.121111113WSep 5 · 13:55J. Rolak1.591111113W. Suchecki2.176750LSep 5 · 12:40J. Rolak1.80961181A. Szoltysek1.9011118113LSep 5 · 11:25J. Rolak1.6011115882W. Iwasyszyn2.20951111113WSep 5 · 10:10T. Piotrowski1.60119631J. Rolak2.2071111113WSep 5 · 09:25J. Rolak1.90111111113M. Zwolinski1.75613441WSep 5 · 08:35W. Suchecki2.2022110J. Rolak1.601111133WSep 5 · 07:20J. Rolak1.8011119113A. Szoltysek1.85471181LSep 5 · 06:05M. Zwolinski1.84101112113J. Rolak1.831291051
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