TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13097441
Played Sep 8Finished
Dariusz Szlubowski
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1188111315511––
Jaroslaw Rolak
Away
2.46
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:58 and never touched — 55.1% is still 55.1%
Graded at full timeDariusz Szlubowski to win
55.1%
55.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
82 points played in total.
Set by set
1188111315511––
H2H Dariusz Szlubowski 23–7 Jaroslaw Rolak Jaroslaw Rolak has won 7 of their 30 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:58What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (63%)
Szlubowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-7 in 30
Szlubowski
Wrong
gap of 16 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Szlubowski 1316 vs Rolak 1240
Szlubowski
Wrong
both rated, 76 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szlubowski 40% vs Rolak 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szlubowski 50% vs Rolak 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Szlubowski -1 · Rolak -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Szlubowski) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szlubowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzlubowski 1.44 / Rolak 2.46
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Szlubowski)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13097441
Szlubowski1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite61% won 82 of 135
Up 2–0, closes it89% 33 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it80% 51 of 64
Rolak2.46
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog38% won 195 of 509
Down 0–1, comes back19% 52 of 277
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 125
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSzlubowski5wins
AwayRolak5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzlubowski60%3 of 5
AwayRolak60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szlubowski5Rolak5n = 10split evenly
S2Szlubowski3Rolak7n = 10Rolak took 7 of 10
S3Szlubowski5Rolak5n = 10split evenly
S4Szlubowski4Rolak4n = 8split evenly
S5Szlubowski2Rolak1n = 3Szlubowski took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSzlubowskiRolakS − RBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.539.2−0.7per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzlubowskiRolakBasisWin rate · lifetime208 / 347 vs 658 / 143959.9%45.7%208 / 347 vs 658 / 1439Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.539.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzlubowskiSzlubowski 1.44/Rolak 2.46
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.7%
Szlubowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Rolak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 18:10D. Szlubowski—71111113J. Rolak—118781
LAug 27 · 18:10D. Szlubowski—9680J. Rolak—1111113
LAug 25 · 18:10D. Szlubowski—65100J. Rolak—1111123
LAug 20 · 18:10D. Szlubowski—112841J. Rolak—81111113
LAug 13 · 18:10D. Szlubowski—9911111J. Rolak—11116133
WAug 11 · 18:10D. Szlubowski—9111110113J. Rolak—11871242
LAug 4 · 18:10D. Szlubowski—116913102J. Rolak—8111111123
WJul 30 · 16:55D. Szlubowski—12511113J. Rolak—1011451
WJul 28 · 17:00D. Szlubowski—11711113J. Rolak—611881
WJul 23 · 18:10D. Szlubowski—1115811113J. Rolak—513111392
D. Szlubowski10
WSep 8 · 18:55K. Golaszewski2.6511814662D. Szlubowski1.386111211113LSep 8 · 16:35D. Szlubowski1.80911791K. Klocek1.8611411113WSep 8 · 15:50B. Mrugala2.10115861D. Szlubowski1.6571111113WSep 4 · 20:05D. Szlubowski1.871111129113S. Wnek1.83713101162LSep 4 · 18:30D. Poloszczanski2.05111666113D. Szlubowski1.66814111182LSep 4 · 17:45D. Kotwica2.20121011113D. Szlubowski1.571012651LSep 4 · 16:55D. Szlubowski1.5491111482K. Golaszewski2.35119611113LSep 4 · 15:50D. Szlubowski1.27841171P. Strus3.3011116113WSep 1 · 19:40B. Wisniewski3.25951121D. Szlubowski1.2811117113WSep 1 · 18:55B. Mrugala2.2011791132D. Szlubowski1.57711119113
J. Rolak10
LSep 8 · 16:55B. Mrugala1.80119211133J. Rolak1.86811119112WSep 8 · 15:25P. Ostachowski5.106680J. Rolak1.121111113WSep 5 · 13:55J. Rolak1.591111113W. Suchecki2.176750LSep 5 · 12:40J. Rolak1.80961181A. Szoltysek1.9011118113LSep 5 · 11:25J. Rolak1.6011115882W. Iwasyszyn2.20951111113WSep 5 · 10:10T. Piotrowski1.60119631J. Rolak2.2071111113WSep 5 · 09:25J. Rolak1.90111111113M. Zwolinski1.75613441WSep 5 · 08:35W. Suchecki2.2022110J. Rolak1.601111133WSep 5 · 07:20J. Rolak1.8011119113A. Szoltysek1.85471181LSep 5 · 06:05M. Zwolinski1.84101112113J. Rolak1.831291051
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