TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13106098
Played Sep 9Finished
Piotr Ostachowski
Home
3.40
At publish
Lost last 10Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 10
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811711411––––
Mateusz Trela
Away
1.28
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:08 and never touched — 77.3% is still 77.3%
Graded at full timeMateusz Trela to win
77.3%
77.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
52 points played in total.
Set by set
811711411––––
H2H Piotr Ostachowski 0–1 Mateusz Trela Piotr Ostachowski has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Trela beat Ostachowski 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:08What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Trela
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Ostachowski 752 vs Trela 1369
Trela
Correct
both rated, 616 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ostachowski 0% vs Trela 80%
Trela
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ostachowski 0% vs Trela 60%
Trela
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ostachowski -5 · Trela +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Trela) · live re-read · sealed at 77% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ostachowski form (0%) is below what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOstachowski 3.40 / Trela 1.28
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Trela)-0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13106098
Ostachowski3.40
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 10
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Trela1.28
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 146 of 266
Up 2–0, closes it92% 54 of 59
Up 1–0, closes it71% 99 of 140
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeOstachowski0wins
AwayTrela1wins
Trela leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricOstachowskiTrelaO − TBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match11.033.0−22.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOstachowskiTrelaBasisWin rate · lifetime0 / 14 vs 816 / 16640%49%0 / 14 vs 816 / 1664Avg sets wonper match0.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match27.738.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TrelaOstachowski 3.40/Trela 1.28
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.6%
Trela · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Trela won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 9 · 15:00P. Ostachowski—4160M. Trela—1111113
P. Ostachowski10
LSep 9 · 20:05K. Klocek1.25114711123P. Ostachowski3.45411115102LSep 9 · 19:20A. Myszewski1.5011119123P. Ostachowski2.375511101LSep 9 · 17:20K. Golaszewski1.861115113P. Ostachowski1.8361380LSep 9 · 16:35P. Strus1.8091111113P. Ostachowski1.86113571LSep 9 · 15:00M. Trela1.441111113P. Ostachowski2.504160LSep 9 · 24:35P. Ostachowski2.05981191B. Mrugala1.6611115113LSep 8 · 23:45K. Klocek1.3811116113P. Ostachowski2.75421161LSep 8 · 22:35P. Ostachowski2.0511881182K. Golaszewski1.70911113113LSep 8 · 21:55J. Rolak1.541111113P. Ostachowski2.256350LSep 8 · 19:40P. Ostachowski2.451061141D. Szlubowski1.4712118113
M. Trela10
WSep 9 · 23:20A. Myszewski1.8511115992M. Trela1.75981111113WSep 9 · 22:35K. Golaszewski2.15911861M. Trela1.6011911113LSep 9 · 22:15M. Trela1.9686111192K. Klocek1.70111188113WSep 9 · 20:30M. Trela1.8511113113A. Myszewski1.80851161WSep 9 · 18:55M. Trela1.561111113P. Strus2.176750WSep 9 · 17:45M. Trela1.961110118113K. Klocek1.7091271152LSep 9 · 16:15M. Trela1.49991361K. Golaszewski2.33111111113WSep 9 · 15:00M. Trela1.441111113P. Ostachowski2.504160LSep 8 · 24:10M. Trela1.66681111102B. Mrugala2.05111179123LSep 7 · 23:20M. Trela1.86811811132W. Iwasyszyn1.83119117153
Upcoming Matches
P. Ostachowski
M. Trela
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