TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13098850
Played Sep 8Finished
Kamil Klocek
Home
1.51
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 6
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1189111141113911
Bartlomiej Mrugala
Away
2.28
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:25 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKamil Klocek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
98 points played in total.
Set by set
1189111141113911
H2H Kamil Klocek 23–17 Bartlomiej Mrugala Bartlomiej Mrugala has won 17 of their 40 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Klocek beat Mrugala 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:25What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.51 (60%)
Klocek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-17 in 40
Klocek
Wrong
gap of 6 in 40, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Klocek 1400 vs Mrugala 1292
Klocek
Wrong
both rated, 108 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Klocek 100% vs Mrugala 60%
Klocek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Klocek 90% vs Mrugala 60%
Klocek
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Klocek +5 · Mrugala +1
Klocek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Klocek) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mrugala form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKlocek 1.51 / Mrugala 2.28
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Klocek)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13098850
Klocek1.51
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite61% won 240 of 394
Up 2–0, closes it96% 124 of 129
Up 1–0, closes it81% 180 of 223
Mrugala2.28
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 116 of 261
Down 0–1, comes back21% 28 of 131
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKlocek5wins
AwayMrugala5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKlocek50%3 of 6
AwayMrugala50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Klocek6Mrugala4n = 10Klocek took 6 of 10
S2Klocek5Mrugala5n = 10split evenly
S3Klocek8Mrugala2n = 10Klocek took 8 of 10
S4Klocek5Mrugala3n = 8Klocek took 5 of 8
S5Klocek0Mrugala4n = 4Mrugala took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKlocekMrugalaK − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.236.6+1.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKlocekMrugalaBasisWin rate · lifetime436 / 836 vs 300 / 65652.2%45.7%436 / 836 vs 300 / 656Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KlocekKlocek 1.51/Mrugala 2.28
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.4%
Klocek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Mrugala won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 20:05K. Klocek—1111113B. Mrugala—8780
LJun 11 · 01:10K. Klocek—11761172B. Mrugala—411117113
WJun 10 · 22:45K. Klocek—61111113B. Mrugala—118951
WJun 10 · 01:10K. Klocek—1111113B. Mrugala—7590
LJun 9 · 22:45K. Klocek—11511682B. Mrugala—811911113
LMay 24 · 24:10K. Klocek—51141192B. Mrugala—116118113
WMay 23 · 21:45K. Klocek—11411113B. Mrugala—811341
LMay 23 · 17:45K. Klocek—116118112B. Mrugala—911811133
WMay 23 · 24:20K. Klocek—91111113B. Mrugala—113691
LMay 22 · 21:55K. Klocek—851141B. Mrugala—11118113
K. Klocek10
WSep 8 · 23:45K. Klocek1.3811116113P. Ostachowski2.75421161WSep 8 · 21:05K. Klocek1.4411813113K. Golaszewski2.469111171WSep 8 · 20:05B. Mrugala2.308780K. Klocek1.551111113WSep 8 · 19:20J. Rolak2.46711614102K. Klocek1.441171112123WSep 8 · 17:20P. Ostachowski2.60411471K. Klocek1.4111311113WSep 8 · 16:35D. Szlubowski1.80911791K. Klocek1.8611411113WSep 8 · 15:00K. Golaszewski2.5531240K. Klocek1.411114113LSep 5 · 14:15K. Klocek2.70101113121M. Minda1.3512815143WSep 5 · 12:35A. Mugowski1.73111181242K. Klocek2.00991114113WSep 5 · 11:45J. Przewlocki1.959470K. Klocek1.701111113
B. Mrugala10
WSep 8 · 22:15K. Golaszewski2.00111555112B. Mrugala1.678131111133LSep 8 · 21:30J. Rolak1.911211113B. Mrugala1.7410870LSep 8 · 20:05B. Mrugala2.308780K. Klocek1.551111113WSep 8 · 18:30P. Ostachowski2.00811831B. Mrugala1.7111411113WSep 8 · 17:45K. Golaszewski1.9712981142B. Mrugala1.691011118113WSep 8 · 16:55B. Mrugala1.80119211133J. Rolak1.86811119112LSep 8 · 15:50B. Mrugala2.10115861D. Szlubowski1.6571111113WSep 8 · 24:10M. Trela1.66681111102B. Mrugala2.05111179123WSep 7 · 23:45B. Mrugala1.741112113K. Golaszewski1.9191060LSep 7 · 22:55B. Mrugala2.234111181J. Przewlocki1.5311137113
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