TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13103015
Played Sep 10Finished
Bartlomiej Wisniewski
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119911911118117
Karol Sulkowski
Away
1.65
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:37 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeBartlomiej Wisniewski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
97 points played in total.
Set by set
119911911118117
H2H Bartlomiej Wisniewski 10–11 Karol Sulkowski Bartlomiej Wisniewski has won 10 of their 21 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:37What took a side0 for · 2 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.65 (56%)
Sulkowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-11 in 21
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wisniewski 1258 vs Sulkowski 1309
Sulkowski
Wrong
both rated, 52 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wisniewski 40% vs Sulkowski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wisniewski 40% vs Sulkowski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wisniewski -2 · Sulkowski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Sulkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sulkowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (61%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWisniewski 2.10 / Sulkowski 1.65
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Sulkowski)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13103015
Wisniewski2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 185 of 467
Down 0–1, comes back15% 40 of 262
Down 0–2, comes back1% 2 of 140
Sulkowski1.65
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 224 of 409
Up 2–0, closes it97% 96 of 99
Up 1–0, closes it80% 169 of 212
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWisniewski5wins
AwaySulkowski5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWisniewski80%4 of 5
AwaySulkowski80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wisniewski5Sulkowski5n = 10split evenly
S2Wisniewski5Sulkowski5n = 10split evenly
S3Wisniewski4Sulkowski6n = 10Sulkowski took 6 of 10
S4Wisniewski2Sulkowski5n = 7Sulkowski took 5 of 7
S5Wisniewski4Sulkowski2n = 6Wisniewski took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricWisniewskiSulkowskiW − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.340.1−0.8per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWisniewskiSulkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime898 / 1873 vs 629 / 127147.9%49.5%898 / 1873 vs 629 / 1271Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SulkowskiWisniewski 2.10/Sulkowski 1.65
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56%
Sulkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Wisniewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 03:25B. Wisniewski—1211113K. Sulkowski—10990
LSep 7 · 04:30B. Wisniewski—11791262K. Sulkowski—9111110113
LSep 6 · 13:30B. Wisniewski—58100K. Sulkowski—1111123
WSep 6 · 05:15B. Wisniewski—1081111113K. Sulkowski—12116662
WAug 27 · 15:00B. Wisniewski—111178113K. Sulkowski—58111162
LAug 23 · 11:00B. Wisniewski—81080K. Sulkowski—1112113
WAug 9 · 11:25B. Wisniewski—118116113K. Sulkowski—61161152
WAug 9 · 04:10B. Wisniewski—111155113K. Sulkowski—95111162
LJun 18 · 15:00B. Wisniewski—811671K. Sulkowski—11711113
LJun 16 · 20:05B. Wisniewski—71111782K. Sulkowski—118911113
B. Wisniewski10
LSep 9 · 07:40B. Wisniewski3.156790A. Lilien1.301111113LSep 9 · 06:30B. Wisniewski1.7398100M. Lukaszewski1.911111123WSep 9 · 05:15B. Wisniewski2.1661111143A. Szoltysek1.571168121LSep 9 · 04:10M. Zwolinski1.8011119113B. Wisniewski1.80761181WSep 9 · 03:25B. Wisniewski2.101211113K. Sulkowski1.6510990WSep 7 · 07:40B. Czerwinski1.40119871B. Wisniewski2.7541111113LSep 7 · 06:55A. Szoltysek1.68111211113B. Wisniewski2.05714631WSep 7 · 06:05B. Wisniewski1.8513114133M. Zwolinski1.8511911111LSep 7 · 04:30B. Wisniewski2.3411791262K. Sulkowski1.519111110113LSep 7 · 03:50S. Brud—1411133B. Wisniewski—126110
K. Sulkowski10
WSep 9 · 08:35M. Zwolinski2.50611671K. Sulkowski1.4711711113LSep 9 · 07:20K. Sulkowski1.801071191A. Szoltysek1.8612116113WSep 9 · 06:05A. Lilien1.501111891K. Sulkowski2.4013111113LSep 9 · 04:55M. Lukaszewski2.4311118113K. Sulkowski1.45671171LSep 9 · 03:25B. Wisniewski2.101211113K. Sulkowski1.6510990LSep 8 · 07:40K. Sulkowski1.85611871D. Wrobel1.8511611113WSep 8 · 06:30K. Sulkowski2.051111113R. Stapor1.656860LSep 8 · 05:15K. Sulkowski1.9591060A. Myszewski1.741112113WSep 8 · 04:10J. Glanowski1.90711119112K. Sulkowski1.75116711133WSep 7 · 04:30B. Wisniewski2.3411791262K. Sulkowski1.519111110113
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