TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13099487
Played Sep 9Finished
Artur Daniel
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
116211611611––
Jakub Kuzmicz
Away
1.86
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:31 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Kuzmicz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
64 points played in total.
Set by set
116211611611––
H2H Artur Daniel 14–8 Jakub Kuzmicz Jakub Kuzmicz has won 8 of their 22 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:31What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Daniel
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-8 in 22
Daniel
Wrong
gap of 6 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Daniel 1766 vs Kuzmicz 1755
Daniel
Wrong
both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Daniel 60% vs Kuzmicz 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Daniel 60% vs Kuzmicz 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Daniel +1 · Kuzmicz +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Daniel) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDaniel 1.83 / Kuzmicz 1.86
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Daniel)+3.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13099487
Daniel1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 210 of 345
Up 2–0, closes it94% 104 of 111
Up 1–0, closes it76% 159 of 210
Kuzmicz1.86
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog51% won 132 of 261
Down 0–1, comes back29% 36 of 125
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDaniel7wins
AwayKuzmicz3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderDaniel leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDaniel100%4 of 4
AwayKuzmicz50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Daniel4Kuzmicz6n = 10Kuzmicz took 6 of 10
S2Daniel8Kuzmicz2n = 10Daniel took 8 of 10
S3Daniel6Kuzmicz4n = 10Daniel took 6 of 10
S4Daniel3Kuzmicz3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDanielKuzmiczD − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.832.5+4.3per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDanielKuzmiczBasisWin rate · lifetime781 / 1468 vs 663 / 115053.2%57.7%781 / 1468 vs 663 / 1150Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.040.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DanielDaniel 1.83/Kuzmicz 1.86
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Daniel · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kuzmicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 10:55A. Daniel—911711113J. Kuzmicz—11711792
LAug 26 · 19:40A. Daniel—711371J. Kuzmicz—11711113
WAug 26 · 14:35A. Daniel—101111113J. Kuzmicz—128491
LAug 13 · 10:05A. Daniel—6890J. Kuzmicz—1111113
WAug 12 · 20:05A. Daniel—111013113J. Kuzmicz—7121141
WAug 4 · 20:30A. Daniel—1212113J. Kuzmicz—101070
LJul 15 · 16:30A. Daniel—911441J. Kuzmicz—11911113
WJul 1 · 18:30A. Daniel—1011118113J. Kuzmicz—12391122
WJun 19 · 18:30A. Daniel—1111113J. Kuzmicz—5470
WJun 18 · 18:05A. Daniel—1111113J. Kuzmicz—8550
A. Daniel10
WSep 9 · 11:45A. Daniel2.2561211123J. Braun1.5411105101LSep 9 · 10:05A. Daniel2.608870T. Spanik1.441111113WSep 9 · 09:00A. Daniel1.5311116113K. Wisniewski2.23261161WSep 8 · 19:40A. Daniel1.61116136113K. Glazowski2.20911111192LSep 8 · 18:30A. Daniel1.33851171L. Pietraszko3.2511117113LSep 8 · 17:20A. Daniel1.611198121M. Rutkowski2.2081111143WSep 8 · 16:05K. Kostyk2.75881161A. Daniel1.4011117113WSep 8 · 15:25A. Daniel1.611181111113K. Kapik2.2013119452LSep 8 · 14:35K. Glazowski1.86101111113A. Daniel1.80128581WSep 8 · 13:25A. Daniel1.5441111113K. Wisniewski2.22116761
J. Kuzmicz10
WSep 9 · 12:10J. Kuzmicz1.88971113113M. Benes1.82111191152LSep 9 · 10:30J. Kuzmicz1.571291081K. Wisniewski2.16101112113LSep 9 · 09:45J. Braun1.54128611113J. Kuzmicz2.25101111792WSep 8 · 14:15J. Kuzmicz1.571111113K. Wisniewski2.157650WSep 8 · 12:35G. Poliniewicz2.197611111J. Kuzmicz1.5511116133LSep 8 · 11:45K. Glazowski1.8311119113J. Kuzmicz1.83881181LSep 8 · 10:55J. Kuzmicz1.9011711792A. Daniel1.76911711113WSep 8 · 09:45J. Kuzmicz1.9591111113M. Sklensky1.74116741WSep 6 · 20:05L. Pietraszko3.401110961J. Kuzmicz1.3091211113WSep 6 · 19:15K. Kapik2.258911101J. Kuzmicz1.5711115123
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