TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13101951
Played Sep 9Finished
Michal Benes
Home
1.41
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161513113––––
Karol Wisniewski
Away
2.60
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:03 and never touched — 68.0% is still 68.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Benes to win
68.0%
68.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
59 points played in total.
Set by set
1161513113––––
H2H Michal Benes 2–0 Karol Wisniewski Karol Wisniewski has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:03What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.41 (65%)
Benes
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Benes 1866 vs Wisniewski 1603
Benes
Correct
both rated, 263 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Benes 80% vs Wisniewski 20%
Benes
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Benes 70% vs Wisniewski 30%
Benes
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Benes -1 · Wisniewski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Benes)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wisniewski form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBenes 1.41 / Wisniewski 2.60
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Benes)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13101951
Benes1.41
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite63% won 42 of 67
Up 2–0, closes it94% 17 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it77% 37 of 48
Wisniewski2.60
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 237 of 616
Down 0–1, comes back19% 72 of 379
Down 0–2, comes back4% 8 of 225
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeBenes2wins
AwayWisniewski0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderBenes leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricBenesWisniewskiB − WBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match41.537.0+4.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBenesWisniewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime109 / 215 vs 994 / 219650.7%45.3%109 / 215 vs 994 / 2196Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.436.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BenesBenes 1.41/Wisniewski 2.60
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.6%
Benes · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Benes won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 3 · 10:30M. Benes—117613123K. Wisniewski—9111111102
WAug 6 · 11:45M. Benes—1112113K. Wisniewski—61060
M. Benes10
WSep 9 · 19:40A. Daniel2.388360M. Benes1.531111113LSep 9 · 18:50J. Chmielowski4.33761211113M. Benes1.20111110792WSep 9 · 18:05M. Benes1.221111113J. Krawczyk4.009360LSep 9 · 16:30M. Benes1.837118121J. Braun1.8311811143WSep 9 · 15:45M. Olbrycht5.005850M. Benes1.141111113WSep 9 · 14:35A. Daniel2.10101231142M. Benes1.601210117113LSep 9 · 12:10J. Kuzmicz1.88971113113M. Benes1.82111191152WSep 9 · 10:55J. Braun1.856911101M. Benes1.8011115123WSep 9 · 09:20T. Spanik1.54116861M. Benes2.2561111113WSep 3 · 20:05J. Witkowski5.00411581M. Benes1.1411911113
K. Wisniewski10
LSep 10 · 14:15G. Poliniewicz1.70911811113K. Wisniewski1.9511511952LSep 10 · 13:25J. Kuzmicz1.491111113K. Wisniewski2.348790WSep 10 · 11:20D. Kosmal1.9581111101K. Wisniewski1.7511133123LSep 10 · 10:30M. Miastowski1.391111133K. Wisniewski2.6594110WSep 10 · 09:00F. Krcil2.00109141262K. Wisniewski1.7012111210113WSep 9 · 14:15J. Braun1.3586100K. Wisniewski2.801111123LSep 9 · 11:20T. Spanik1.2491111113K. Wisniewski3.45116891WSep 9 · 10:30J. Kuzmicz1.571291081K. Wisniewski2.16101112113LSep 9 · 09:00A. Daniel1.5311116113K. Wisniewski2.23261161LSep 8 · 14:15J. Kuzmicz1.571111113K. Wisniewski2.157650
Upcoming Matches
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K. Wisniewski1 of 2 neutral
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