TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13102562
Played Sep 9Finished
Michal Olbrycht
Home
5.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511811511––––
Michal Benes
Away
1.14
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:21 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Benes to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Olbrycht above · Michal Benes below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 51 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Michal Benes at 54.0%
51 points played in total.
H2H Michal Olbrycht 0–1 Michal Benes Michal Olbrycht has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:21What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.14 (81%)
Benes
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Olbrycht 1663 vs Benes 1879
Benes
Correct
both rated, 216 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Olbrycht 80% vs Benes 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Olbrycht 50% vs Benes 80%
Benes
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Olbrycht +1 · Benes +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 84% — Strong (leans Benes) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Olbrycht form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (20%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOlbrycht 5.00 / Benes 1.14
Signal prob.16% / 84%
Edge (Benes)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13102562
Olbrycht5.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog38% won 96 of 256
Down 0–1, comes back18% 28 of 152
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 76
Benes1.14
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite63% won 42 of 67
Up 2–0, closes it94% 17 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it77% 37 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeOlbrycht0wins
AwayBenes1wins
Benes leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricOlbrychtBenesO − BBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match19.033.0−14.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOlbrychtBenesBasisWin rate · lifetime359 / 762 vs 111 / 21647.1%51.4%359 / 762 vs 111 / 216Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.035.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BenesOlbrycht 5.00/Benes 1.14
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
84.2%
Benes · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Benes won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LMay 15 · 19:00M. Olbrycht—8740M. Benes—1111113
M. Olbrycht10
WSep 3 · 24:35M. Rutkowski1.83911861M. Olbrycht1.8311711113LSep 2 · 22:55J. Kuzmicz1.3612119113M. Olbrycht3.001091131WSep 2 · 22:10L. Pietraszko2.108330M. Olbrycht1.671111113WSep 2 · 21:25J. Chmielowski2.20118871M. Olbrycht1.6171111113WSep 2 · 20:05M. Olbrycht1.83611116113K. Kapik1.8311981182LSep 2 · 18:30A. Spychala1.73119411113M. Olbrycht2.0031111772LSep 2 · 17:40L. Pietraszko2.001211113M. Olbrycht1.7310660LSep 2 · 16:55M. Olbrycht1.73912111162J. Chmielowski2.00111498113WSep 2 · 15:45M. Olbrycht1.7391211113J. Witkowski2.001110471LSep 2 · 24:10M. Olbrycht2.00128781M. Rutkowski1.73101111113
M. Benes10
WSep 9 · 14:35A. Daniel2.10101231142M. Benes1.601210117113WSep 9 · 13:25M. Benes1.411115113K. Wisniewski2.6061330LSep 9 · 12:10J. Kuzmicz1.88971113113M. Benes1.82111191152WSep 9 · 10:55J. Braun1.856911101M. Benes1.8011115123WSep 9 · 09:20T. Spanik1.54116861M. Benes2.2561111113WSep 3 · 20:05J. Witkowski5.00411581M. Benes1.1411911113WSep 3 · 19:15J. Chmielowski4.007370M. Benes1.221111113WSep 3 · 17:20J. Braun2.10611471M. Benes1.6711511113LSep 3 · 16:30A. Daniel2.5081111113M. Benes1.50119931WSep 3 · 15:00P. Klos2.0091181152M. Benes1.73111118113
Upcoming Matches
M. Olbrycht1 of 10 neutral
Sep 9 · 16:55M. Olbrycht1.20J. Krawczyk4.33—Sep 9 · 17:40M. Olbrycht1.73J. Chmielowski2.00—Sep 9 · 18:30M. Olbrycht2.20A. Daniel1.61—Sep 9 · 20:05M. Olbrycht3.40J. Braun1.30—Sep 9 · 21:25M. Olbrycht2.17M. Rutkowski1.56—Sep 9 · 22:10M. Olbrycht1.86K. Kapik1.77—Sep 9 · 22:55M. Olbrycht1.66J. Chmielowski2.00—Sep 10 · 24:35M. Olbrycht2.00K. Staszczyk1.73—Sep 10 · 15:00M. Olbrycht—K. Staszczyk——Sep 10 · 16:05M. Olbrycht—K. Kolodziej——
M. Benes
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